Tennis · resolved market
Savannah: Nicolas Kicker vs Aidan Mayo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f3e721b66b16ed723f3ddcba5832f54a3051e53647bb199ad682180d78dde26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aidan Mayoof Nicolas Kicker, Aidan Mayo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nicolas Kicker | 17c | 3,752$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.82 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Aidan Mayo | 35c | 2,572$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.09 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Nicolas Kicker | 64c | 2,234$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.96 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Nicolas Kicker | 51c | 2,107$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.51 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Aidan Mayo | 78c | 2,034$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.78 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nicolas Kicker | 53c | 1,852$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.01 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Aidan Mayo | 36c | 999.96$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.97 | 395 | 34.4%136 W · 259 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…0175backed Nicolas Kicker | 2c | 949.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 45 | 0%0 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Aidan Mayo | 63c | 689.82$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.13 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Aidan Mayo | 24c | 525.08$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.91 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Nicolas Kicker | 57c | 384.69$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.59 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Nicolas Kicker | 58c | 364.41$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.74 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Nicolas Kicker | 68c | 317.3$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.67 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Aidan Mayo | 37c | 296.44$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.75 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Aidan Mayo | 36c | 252.62$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.55 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nicolas Kicker | 46c | 224.15$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.88 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Nicolas Kicker | 77c | 216.95$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.35 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Nicolas Kicker | 76c | 204$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.04 | 389 | 55.3%215 W · 174 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Aidan Mayo | 77c | 186.64$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 567 | 54.5%309 W · 258 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aidan Mayo | 28c | 186.37$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.55 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Nicolas Kicker | 77c | 161.74$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.54 | 264 | 57.6%152 W · 112 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Nicolas Kicker | 64c | 155.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.56 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Nicolas Kicker | 71c | 154.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.19 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Aidan Mayo | 37c | 148.2$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.37 | 604 | 46.7%282 W · 322 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…9389backed Nicolas Kicker | 66c | 114$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.94 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Nicolas Kicker | 64c | 109.58$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.63 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Nicolas Kicker | 80c | 108.34$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.67 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Nicolas Kicker | 50c | 101.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 196 | 34.2%67 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Aidan Mayo | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Aidan Mayo | 78c | 98.68$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 553 | 60.4%334 W · 219 L | +32.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a53…0eecbacked Aidan Mayo | 37c | 95.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.04 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Nicolas Kicker | 64c | 76.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 386 | 64%247 W · 139 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Nicolas Kicker | 63c | 75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb14…9235backed Aidan Mayo | 36c | 71.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Nicolas Kicker | 67c | 69.59$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Aidan Mayo | 37c | 61.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 435 | 58.6%255 W · 180 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa41…2239backed Aidan Mayo | 60c | 60.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…9b6ebacked Nicolas Kicker | 54c | 54.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Nicolas Kicker | 58c | 51.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 134 | 67.2%90 W · 44 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nicolas Kicker | 29c | 50.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Aidan Mayo | 28c | 50.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 313 | 39.9%125 W · 188 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Aidan Mayo | 38c | 48.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Nicolas Kicker | 70c | 46.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 502 | 59%296 W · 206 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Nicolas Kicker | 64c | 45.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Nicolas Kicker | 77c | 44.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 643 | 58.8%378 W · 265 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Aidan Mayo | 35c | 42.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Nicolas Kicker | 42c | 42.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 292 | 41.8%122 W · 170 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Nicolas Kicker | 64c | 41.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fe…09c9backed Nicolas Kicker | 62c | 40.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 220 | 49.5%109 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f0…f424backed Nicolas Kicker | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Nicolas Kicker | 43c | 33.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 349 | 57.6%201 W · 148 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Nicolas Kicker | 61c | 33.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…36c6backed Aidan Mayo | 34c | 33.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed Aidan Mayo | 41c | 32.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 134 | 58.2%78 W · 56 L | +11.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Nicolas Kicker | 64c | 29.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 574 | 47.7%274 W · 300 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd1…34efbacked Nicolas Kicker | 61c | 29.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b3…f8c1backed Nicolas Kicker | 72c | 27.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b2…dcc5backed Nicolas Kicker | 80c | 25.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf748…c387backed Nicolas Kicker | 80c | 20.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…8923backed Nicolas Kicker | 77c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Nicolas Kicker | 64c | 17.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Nicolas Kicker | 70c | 14.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.