TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf748…c387

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
184
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Tennis, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 61 out of 100; worst MLB at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT6660.6%40 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+38.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Tennis — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Alex de Minaurbacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.96
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.78
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.46
Bengaluru 3: Karan Singh vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leongbacked Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$83.27
Bengaluru 3: Ryuki Matsuda vs Yusuke Takahashibacked Yusuke Takahashi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22.73
Geneva Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Edas Butvilasbacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.64
Geneva Open: Raul Brancaccio vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$33.99
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Marie Bouzkova vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Katerina Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.65
Istanbul: Andres Martin vs David Jorda Sanchisbacked Andres Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.6
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Julia Grabherbacked Jil Teichmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$42.78
Hamburg European Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.1
Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.9
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$125.13
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Daria Kasatkina vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$98.4
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Arthur Geabacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$115.07
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Henri Squirebacked Henri Squire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.26
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem, Qualification: Fiona Ferro vs Elina Avanesyanbacked Fiona Ferro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+98.3%+$96.35
Zagreb: Jan Choinski vs Arthur Ferybacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$49.19
Valencia: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaume Munarbacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$118.58
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$76.88
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderibacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.33
Valencia: Adolfo Vallejo vs Zizou Bergsbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.96
Paris: Alina Charaeva vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Alina Charaeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+125.7%+$58.83
Paris: Madison Keys vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$12.12
Oeiras 4: Jaime Faria vs Emilio Navabacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.65
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4112.2%5 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.03
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$148.75
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.26
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.82
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.41
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.42
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.54
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Canada reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT2025%5 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-40.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$110.41
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$84.93
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.2
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.5
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.65
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.68
San Francisco Giants vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.64
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.8
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.92
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$153
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$59.56
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.46
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$24.78
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$35.33
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.94
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.59
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.94
Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.43
All 20 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+101.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$185.19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$425
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$930Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$930
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+1,907.8%+$2,187.68
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.87
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$941Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$940.84
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$420
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$79.45
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick30cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+66.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-45.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Midtjylland vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$143
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.