MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60d59f2d67231e12630be49cf77f1ebae970268dbdeae6550274996deebecb9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $609,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $600,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $609,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 45c | 294,206$132,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132,220.94 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 55c | 265,776$146,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119,605.89 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 56c | 160,000$89,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,999.82 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 45c | 42,861$19,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,235.96 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Under | 54c | 39,990$21,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,395.39 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba48…5b0abacked Under | 54c | 36,508$19,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,793.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 46c | 27,830$12,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,801.92 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…4c4fbacked Over | 46c | 25,000$11,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,499.99 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 42c | 23,942$10,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,150.62 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 45c | 18,888$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,499.6 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 44c | 17,045$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,499.85 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 44c | 12,728$5,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,625.17 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 39c | 7,983$3,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,124.75 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 44c | 7,677$3,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,377.88 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 44c | 7,500$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 39c | 6,732$2,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.02 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 37c | 6,452$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.86 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x359c…3272backed Over | 44c | 5,478$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,410.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Under | 54c | 5,417$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,491.82 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 39c | 5,136$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under | 54c | 5,015$2,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.05 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 4,673$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.75 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Over | 44c | 4,545$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Over | 39c | 4,218$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.99 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 37c | 3,500$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Over | 46c | 2,712$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.52 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 46c | 2,339$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.49 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 56c | 2,334$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.07 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 47c | 2,177$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.92 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 47c | 2,096$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 39c | 2,004$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.01 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Over | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 54c | 1,821$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.1 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 46c | 1,784$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.86 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 44c | 1,573$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.12 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 55c | 1,397$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.5 | 446 | 48.7%217 W · 229 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 46c | 1,280$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.12 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 39c | 1,269$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.48 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 53c | 1,124$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.51 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 55c | 1,116$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.2 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Under | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 46c | 999.94$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.97 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 44c | 802.23$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.98 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 45c | 799.9$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.62 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 39c | 756.13$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.76 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 39c | 755.79$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.76 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 43c | 729.78$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.95 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 714.03$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.03 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 46c | 711.88$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.47 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 44c | 651.99$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.88 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 46c | 642.04$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.92 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 39c | 596.66$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.88 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Over | 46c | 545$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.7 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Over | 47c | 456.87$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.12 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 38c | 421$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.67 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 39c | 415.45$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.16 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Under | 56c | 359.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.56 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 36c | 358.67$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.89 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Over | 69c | 355.03$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.2 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf748…c387backed Over | 41c | 348.29$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Over | 47c | 333$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.51 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Under | 77c | 274.53$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.48 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Over | 46c | 260.87$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 39c | 256.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 40c | 235.65$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.64 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Under | 54c | 228.67$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.35 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Over | 45c | 222.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 54c | 208.12$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.74 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb267…5f55backed Over | 47c | 198.39$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.26 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeae…523dbacked Under | 55c | 192.55$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Over | 44c | 182.31$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.67 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Over | 44c | 151.6$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.42 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 44c | 147.8$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.03 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Under | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Over | 45c | 109.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Over | 46c | 108.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 163 | 53.4%87 W · 76 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…a70fbacked Over | 44c | 106.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 44c | 105.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 46c | 103.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Over | 41c | 102.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 314 | 49.4%155 W · 159 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 64c | 101.86$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…b45fbacked Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Over | 29c | 99.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 44c | 97.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…7dfbbacked Over | 46c | 97.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 330 | 32.7%108 W · 222 L | -22.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Over | 59c | 94.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.04 | 418 | 36.4%152 W · 266 L | -31.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Over | 47c | 93.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.91 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 57c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…edd3backed Over | 27c | 85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked Over | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 509 | 62.9%320 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5this page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh PiratesPhiladelphia Phillies won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 4.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-5.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh PiratesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.