MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03f10ef3366645b40874b14e7a4f01ebc09f79573cbeaeb3648031a695d0d4bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $343,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $393,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $343,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 38,803$17,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,729.44 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 35,000$16,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,550 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 34,483$18,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,965.52 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 30,000$16,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,799.93 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 26,499$11,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,574.69 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 17,375$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 33c | 15,187$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 8,728$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 0c | 8,480$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 8,012$4,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,058.31 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 4,500$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 4,267$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265.36 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…d9f7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 1c | 3,501$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b29…9108backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 3,046$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 2,978$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.39 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 2,489$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.09 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 1c | 2,243$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28d3…92a3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 2,228$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 2,220$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.53 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 2,009$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.97 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 1,740$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.6 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 1,661$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.97 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 26c | 1,490$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.51 | 218 | 41.3%90 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 1,417$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.19 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 1,400$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 24c | 1,315$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.41 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 1,207$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.93 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 1,111$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.67 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 1,068$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.52 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 1,005$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.85 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 963.47$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.91 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 919.99$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.6 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 856.14$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…ff78backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 833.32$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 769.07$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.06 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 747.92$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.82 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…db25backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 11c | 719.85$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.41 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 6c | 680.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 680$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.24 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 679.89$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.87 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 678.91$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.15 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 582.32$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.07 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 19c | 574$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.01 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 499.98$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 490.04$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.42 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 31c | 476.5$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.66 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 406$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.36 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 399.99$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 372.27$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.47 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe18…3980backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…78abbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 24c | 324.29$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.58 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 320$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.6 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e2…3ceabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 306.82$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.82 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 213 | 23.5%50 W · 163 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 273$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.58 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed99…2677backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 270.87$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.98 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa288…8a1dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 265.96$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.96 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 48cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 265.48$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.2 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 243$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 232.12$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.82 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 220$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 214.89$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.89 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…6901backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 212.64$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.79 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 211.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.72 | 767 | 52.3%401 W · 366 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f7…3c0cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 206$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.42 | 134 | 59.7%80 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 201.97$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.56 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…eda7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 200.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.54 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 200.4$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.69 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 197.63$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8356…16b7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 10c | 194.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 182.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.94 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 172.32$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.62 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 163.25$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 153$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 152.51$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.88 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 78c | 140.03$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 136$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 134.06$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.34 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 133$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 128.44$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.17 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Philadelphia Phillies | 78c | 119.82$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 17c | 117.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…41dfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 112.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.82 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 111.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 4.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-5.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh PiratesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.