TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa288…8a1d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 59 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT3046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$31.06
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$564Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$563.56
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.6
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.72
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$585.82
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.01
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+60.9%+$51.33
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$705.1
Hornets vs. Celtics: 1H Moneylinebacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$135.98
Thunder vs. Bullsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+37.2%+$5.96
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+35.8%+$13.17
Nuggets vs. Jazzbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+35.7%+$42.66
Nuggets vs. Jazz: 1H Moneylinebacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$75.64
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+84%+$86.35
Celtics vs. Bucks: 1H Moneylinebacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+75%+$85.08
Rockets vs. Wizards: 1H Moneylinebacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+55.8%+$37.32
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+180.7%+$139.3
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$45.89
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+28.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Misa Esports vs PCIFIC (BO3) - TCL Regular Seasonbacked PCIFIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.4
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$16.19
LoL: GIANTX iTero vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+80.1%+$10.23
LoL: BIG vs Team Orange Gaming (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group Abacked Team Orange Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$17.07
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.53
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$8.98
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+57.3%+$6.08
LoL: Dark Passage vs BoostGate Esports (BO3) - TCL Regular Seasonbacked Dark Passage · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.7
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$468.79
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.46
LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+481%+$462.4
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+54.7%+$20.8
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+51.2%+$66.18
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Abidjan 2: Aziz Dougaz vs Florent Baxbacked Florent Bax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$25.02
Abidjan 2: Hamish Stewart vs Blaise Bicknellbacked Hamish Stewart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$24.39
Cagliari: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+65%+$22.07
Ostrava: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$9.94
La Bisbal: Xinyu Wang vs Alina Charaevabacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.11
Aix en Provence: Kimmer Coppejans vs Valentin Royerbacked Kimmer Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+86.3%+$12.51
Cagliari: Cristian Garin vs Nuno Borgesbacked Cristian Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Aix en Provence: Rinky Hijikata vs Sebastian Ofnerbacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$31.38
Jiujiang: Adam Walton vs Tung-Lin Wubacked Tung-Lin Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.87
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$11.09
La Bisbal: Emiliana Arango vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$10.61
Huzhou: Sara Saito vs Xinxin Yaobacked Xinxin Yao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$12.4
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick48cpaid+81.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick26cpaid+397.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$58.21
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.