TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Cagliari: Cristian Garin vs Nuno Borges

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nuno Borgesof Cristian Garin, Nuno Borges
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$145,601
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$165,695

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,601 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Nuno Borges35c16,846$5,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,927.158,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x022a…351dbacked Cristian Garin61c11,051$6,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,740.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Nuno Borges30c10,100$3,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,039.1631234.6%108 W · 204 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nuno Borges42c6,207$2,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,584.0511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nuno Borges45c5,141$2,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,803.998,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Nuno Borges44c2,750$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.274,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cristian Garin66c2,684$1,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,771.887,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Cristian Garin59c2,577$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520.4354345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Cristian Garin38c2,522$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.4730744.6%137 W · 170 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Cristian Garin26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50039238.8%152 W · 240 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Cristian Garin40c1,748$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Cristian Garin56c1,747$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.982,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0ce…99f6backed Cristian Garin29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017936.9%66 W · 113 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Cristian Garin71c1,512$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.126,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x695d…60d5backed Nuno Borges39c1,300$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7937444.6%33 W · 41 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2efa…8a01backed Cristian Garin58c1,186$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.557443.2%32 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x097c…5cdebacked Cristian Garin49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008447.6%40 W · 44 L-8.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Nuno Borges67c1,015$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.3936661.7%226 W · 140 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Nuno Borges49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51087251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Nuno Borges41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59031736.9%117 W · 200 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7402…8020backed Cristian Garin60c998.74$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5997526.7%20 W · 55 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Nuno Borges18c961.9$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.474,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32e3…3a5cbacked Cristian Garin78c950.13$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.913946.8%65 W · 74 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Nuno Borges47c930$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.530857.1%176 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Cristian Garin42c878.6$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.542,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Cristian Garin36c841.83$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30036640.7%149 W · 217 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Nuno Borges66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.5872132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Nuno Borges53c750.67$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.671,02650%513 W · 513 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf8…368abacked Cristian Garin70c714.28$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001060%6 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Nuno Borges55c688.95$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.341,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Nuno Borges44c681.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.8210655.7%59 W · 47 L+13.2wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+28.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Nuno Borges37c681$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.451,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Cristian Garin59c677.97$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Nuno Borges63c662.99$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.279,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Nuno Borges47c639.02$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.6825342.7%108 W · 145 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed Cristian Garin34c617.65$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21065840.9%269 W · 389 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Cristian Garin53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31885250%426 W · 426 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Nuno Borges33c599.06$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.513,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Cristian Garin38c527.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Cristian Garin71c517.32$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.6128348.4%137 W · 146 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Cristian Garin59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29545445.4%206 W · 248 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Cristian Garin54c485.69$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.222,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea87…1ad7backed Cristian Garin38c473.68$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18027040%108 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Cristian Garin6c455.54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5612053.3%64 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeab…9cd0backed Cristian Garin30c449.78$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13350442.7%215 W · 289 L+12.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Cristian Garin49c408.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Nuno Borges40c405.8$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.9284736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe132…ca8dbacked Nuno Borges70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Nuno Borges39c378.04$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.7532031.3%100 W · 220 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Nuno Borges42c357.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.1454547.9%261 W · 284 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Nuno Borges72c353.93$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.994,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fa5…63afbacked Nuno Borges53c353.76$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.767810.3%8 W · 70 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-48.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d87…abeabacked Nuno Borges43c344.19$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.199546.3%44 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Nuno Borges41c328.75$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.852,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Cristian Garin32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10087337.1%324 W · 549 L-3.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x536e…b7ffbacked Cristian Garin32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f01…0d90backed Nuno Borges44c312.34$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.5614443.1%62 W · 82 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb002…103dbacked Nuno Borges43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17136852.7%194 W · 174 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33c8…68d7backed Nuno Borges26c283.77$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.9915742%66 W · 91 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Cristian Garin56c267.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.6997745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Nuno Borges53c264.15$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.1546435.3%164 W · 300 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Cristian Garin57c260.53$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.558931.1%183 W · 406 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Nuno Borges68c258.27$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.494,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb267…d710backed Nuno Borges25c251.36$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.153534.3%12 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Nuno Borges55c250$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.362,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2445…ff62backed Nuno Borges41c247.23$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.663839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Cristian Garin79c247$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.264,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Nuno Borges55c236.36$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.3694549.6%469 W · 476 L-23.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Cristian Garin56c235$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.634549.9%172 W · 173 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Nuno Borges46c219.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.381,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Cristian Garin8c200$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.825737%95 W · 162 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Cristian Garin33c199.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6739941.9%167 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…eee6backed Nuno Borges44c199.99$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.9931841.8%133 W · 185 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Nuno Borges50c198.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.51,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Cristian Garin20c187$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.155518.2%10 W · 45 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-54%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8cee…0d1ebacked Cristian Garin56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018849.5%93 W · 95 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xed9f…94bfbacked Cristian Garin19c176$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.631060%6 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+42.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf40e…9addbacked Cristian Garin57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038664%247 W · 139 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Cristian Garin25c173.77$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6117617%30 W · 146 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-45.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Nuno Borges60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6715854.4%86 W · 72 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa74c…1f49backed Cristian Garin75c166.66$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12514674%108 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick75cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a6a…ed83backed Nuno Borges42c166.64$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6513432.8%44 W · 90 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Nuno Borges65c163.03$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.063,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Cristian Garin37c161.58$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6032937.1%122 W · 207 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x415c…d51ebacked Nuno Borges19c158.42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.4214325.9%37 W · 106 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Nuno Borges46c150.71$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.041,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Nuno Borges45c150$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.51,00145.4%454 W · 547 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7708…42cbbacked Cristian Garin38c149.94$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.276628.8%19 W · 47 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc774…f218backed Nuno Borges70c149.74$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0535753.8%192 W · 165 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Nuno Borges44c136.64$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5242344.2%187 W · 236 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ad…7889backed Cristian Garin70c134.2$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4956070.7%396 W · 164 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ae…3a05backed Nuno Borges40c134.17$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.54344.2%19 W · 24 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Nuno Borges44c131.82$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.822,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Cristian Garin30c121.29$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.694,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0293…f15bbacked Cristian Garin64c120.31$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772755.6%15 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Nuno Borges64c114.25$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.981,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Cristian Garin48c114.17$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5552341.5%217 W · 306 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Nuno Borges41c113.51$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9712536%45 W · 80 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Nuno Borges44c113.07$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3215040%60 W · 90 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc287…6d47backed Cristian Garin46c111.46$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7915332%49 W · 104 L-13.3wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.