TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc287…6d47

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
163
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: La Liga, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 51 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT15332%49 W · 104 L-13.3wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 153 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanovbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Tunis: Guy Den Ouden vs Dali Blanchbacked Guy Den Ouden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Paris: Anastasia Zakharova vs Katie Boulterbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.07
Zagreb: Zsombor Piros vs Jonas Forejtekbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+300%+$415.54
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.84
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ugo Humbert vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.83
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rebeka Masarova vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Rebeka Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+217.8%+$84.19
Francavilla: Facundo Acosta vs Chun-Hsin Tsengbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Laura Siegemundbacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.63
Brazzaville: Calvin Hemery vs Blaise Bicknellbacked Blaise Bicknell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.69
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dino Prizmic vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.71
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alejandro Tabilo vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.43
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$34.83
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.57
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Talia Gibson vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.05
Wuxi: Adam Walton vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.35
Jiujiang: Hayu Kinoshita vs En-Shuo Liangbacked Hayu Kinoshita · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.34
Jiujiang: Heather Watson vs Xiaodi Youbacked Heather Watson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.96
Santos: Luis Guto Miguel vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Juan Manuel La Serna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.34
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Denis Shapovalov vs Mariano Navonebacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
Santos: Miguel Tobon vs Facundo Menabacked Facundo Mena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.58
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marie Bouzkova vs Taylor Townsendbacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.83
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Gianluca Cadenassobacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+77%+$17.4
Santos: Murkel Dellien vs Nick Hardtbacked Murkel Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$20.35
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Katerina Siniakova vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Katerina Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.85
Showing 25 of 153 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.09
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.