Middle East · resolved market
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d3f02264a94bafc676afd7add8b11442e6ec72dabaa69cefef835f0672275c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,362,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,862,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,362,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 3,574 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 25c | 497,369$123,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123,167.72 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 33c | 255,797$83,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,487.55 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes | 22c | 254,044$54,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,692.36 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 36c | 192,547$68,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,931.72 | 138 | 23.2%32 W · 106 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 30c | 175,515$52,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,387.03 | 161 | 25.5%41 W · 120 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Yes | 26c | 138,909$35,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,659.19 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c66…44f3backed No | 74c | 123,241$90,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,557.74 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…5f1abacked No | 64c | 122,336$78,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,243.04 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed Yes | 42c | 121,601$51,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,669.23 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x136a…88eebacked No | 66c | 113,216$74,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,574.99 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5297…7b99backed Yes | 2c | 109,975$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,501.17 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | -11.1wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +123.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked Yes | 28c | 108,064$30,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,460.74 | 166 | 38.6%64 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 32c | 106,228$33,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,607.62 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 46c | 93,766$42,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,782.42 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 37c | 92,756$33,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,883.94 | 168 | 31%52 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…f0fbbacked Yes | 6c | 87,505$5,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,450.22 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 35c | 82,527$28,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,638.74 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…b111backed No | 72c | 80,300$58,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,202 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 33c | 80,048$26,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,227.98 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…f2b8backed Yes | 28c | 69,340$19,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,139.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked No | 55c | 66,900$37,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,822.18 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Yes | 39c | 65,294$25,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,262.38 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 43c | 62,951$26,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,757.16 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe234…304abacked Yes | 49c | 56,398$27,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,775.2 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 69c | 55,911$38,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,461.31 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed No | 39c | 52,062$20,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,591.41 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 37c | 51,000$18,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,906.06 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 76c | 49,914$37,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,069.02 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 25c | 47,239$11,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,915.42 | 215 | 31.2%67 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…79ecbacked No | 67c | 46,843$31,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,597.55 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 42c | 45,992$19,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,400.04 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbe…100abacked Yes | 38c | 45,880$17,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,424.53 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed Yes | 46c | 44,333$20,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,226.96 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 61c | 44,292$27,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,164.66 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d5…c665backed No | 53c | 43,954$23,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,536.71 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b4…1f6ebacked No | 65c | 42,881$27,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,136.04 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 18c | 41,392$7,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,310.91 | 215 | 21.9%47 W · 168 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…19dcbacked Yes | 4c | 40,632$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 11c | 40,565$4,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,515.36 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed No | 54c | 39,417$21,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,986.34 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…0f72backed Yes | 5c | 38,513$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.74 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 57c | 38,124$21,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,751.29 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed Yes | 59c | 36,132$21,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,182.39 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1890…20ebbacked No | 59c | 34,986$20,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,268.09 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc26…32cabacked No | 59c | 34,113$19,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,134 | 87 | 19.5%17 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…9e92backed Yes | 27c | 33,200$8,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,964 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0837…eb21backed Yes | 27c | 32,700$8,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,829 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c4…0926backed Yes | 36c | 32,000$11,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,453.17 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 60c | 31,913$18,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,916.06 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…83a6backed Yes | 23c | 31,877$7,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,423.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 67c | 31,682$21,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,308.41 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…8e72backed No | 74c | 31,388$23,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,267.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…2385backed Yes | 2c | 30,594$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.78 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 25c | 30,485$7,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,731.43 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67d0…db7abacked Yes | 27c | 30,330$8,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,198.09 | 136 | 17.6%24 W · 112 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 43c | 30,166$13,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,082.75 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes | 35c | 30,000$10,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,629.98 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x515e…8309backed Yes | 60c | 29,637$17,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,666.82 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 55c | 29,522$16,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,247.41 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked No | 66c | 29,435$19,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,150.09 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a7…881bbacked Yes | 44c | 29,334$12,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,806.95 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -16.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3a74…b263backed No | 45c | 28,710$12,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,749.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed No | 76c | 28,685$21,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,990.49 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 46c | 27,211$12,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,385.37 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd7…dd08backed Yes | 25c | 26,422$6,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,704.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…cdb9backed No | 63c | 26,400$16,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,696.51 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…9cbabacked No | 53c | 26,156$13,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,184.93 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x879e…060cbacked No | 55c | 25,810$14,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,557.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0f…a925backed No | 49c | 25,750$12,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,084 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…355ebacked Yes | 37c | 25,565$9,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,518.65 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…f939backed Yes | 5c | 25,400$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 77c | 24,909$19,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,621.02 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 46c | 24,822$11,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,298.44 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 47c | 24,551$11,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,426.61 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Yes | 52c | 24,495$12,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,768.41 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb83…77eebacked No | 76c | 24,488$18,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,949.12 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4728…6426backed No | 77c | 23,784$18,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,544.68 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…7822backed No | 46c | 23,585$10,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,732.92 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 45c | 23,115$10,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,459.62 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 26c | 22,835$5,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,978.55 | 152 | 34.2%52 W · 100 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…f876backed No | 75c | 22,610$16,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,653.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86dd…ee55backed No | 77c | 22,424$17,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,062.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 56c | 22,023$12,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,296.8 | 225 | 29.8%67 W · 158 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…a156backed No | 59c | 21,336$12,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,756.47 | 155 | 41.9%65 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d00…6623backed No | 73c | 21,200$15,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,724 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7818…d185backed Yes | 15c | 21,200$3,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,283.55 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb23a…16a9backed No | 53c | 21,098$11,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,835.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Yes | 28c | 20,843$5,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,801.07 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf491…ee5ebacked No | 72c | 20,617$14,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,838.27 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9931…ea8cbacked Yes | 6c | 20,245$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe879…6d22backed Yes | 50c | 19,567$9,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,867.15 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e7…6e8bbacked No | 63c | 19,547$12,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,210.8 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d2…0290backed No | 73c | 18,900$13,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,103 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef6…f63abacked Yes | 25c | 18,873$4,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,745.59 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…3a1bbacked Yes | 58c | 18,539$10,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,813.52 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac0…55f3backed Yes | 52c | 17,985$9,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,362 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eed…cb2abacked No | 58c | 17,981$10,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,538.44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 4c | 17,519$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.79 | 103 | 9.7%10 W · 93 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…c385backed Yes | 26c | 17,364$4,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,514.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Yes | 26c | 17,347$4,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,593.22 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.