TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x401e…6fc9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
591
Categories scored
31
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: World Politics, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 61 out of 100; worst Commodities at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT19648%94 W · 102 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 196 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.71
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,680Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$852.98
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.44
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$348.02
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.53
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+408.7%+$371.98
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+57.4%+$184.81
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,378Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,378.35
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$814Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+106%+$862.59
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,421Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$586.27
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$56.35
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.45
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16,247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,247.41
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,496Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,495.52
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,223Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$735.68
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.04
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.05
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,917Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,917.46
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.46
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$884Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$884.17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$6,168Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$2,779.8
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$756Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$756.14
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$30.8
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,117Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$438.03
Showing 25 of 196 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT17540%70 W · 105 L-0.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 175 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Minions & Monsters" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 14m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+86.7%+$162.5
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$82.5
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+203.3%+$205.56
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.5
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$449.99
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$456.99
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$689Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$381.22
Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.57
Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.16
Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$631Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$561.05
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$664Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$663.7
Will "Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$584Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$227.15
Will Zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$13.05
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.27
Oscars Bingobacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.3
Will "Chalamet" be said 5+ times at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.93
Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$69.91
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.11
Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Will "Dream Big" be said at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.4
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$42
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$85.71
Showing 25 of 175 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT3046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,213Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$440.27
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$885Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$884.97
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$721Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$365.18
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,838Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,837.56
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,043Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,043.33
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$330
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.6
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+135.8%+$346.25
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$92.73
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$612Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$188
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.4
AWS service disrupted by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$665Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$664.86
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$850Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$650
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$575Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$425
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.26
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+156.4%+$91.5
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,573Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+26.2%+$412.22
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20.52
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$287.48
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+50.1%+$288.63
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$504.47
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$252.12
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT3023.3%7 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-58%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Commodities — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$623Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$270.39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,138Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,138.14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,549Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,548.93
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,071Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,070.9
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11,627Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,626.74
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.94
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$447.44
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$808Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$807.94
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$9,163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,162.91
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,014Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+170.1%+$1,725.42
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,075Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,074.56
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11,388Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,387.9
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,657Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,656.92
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,205Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,204.98
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.66
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,476Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$1,822.1
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,318Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$984.59
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,487Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,486.9
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT2360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Cricket — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.13
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kingsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.71
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.59
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+84%+$44.53
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$479
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+77.2%+$368.13
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.35
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titansbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$220.99
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$604Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+84.8%+$511.81
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.91
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+139.3%+$411.98
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$252
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$56.97
ODI Series England vs. New Zealand, Women: England vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+82.7%+$306.11
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$199.28
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+86.2%+$168.97
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$191.86
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kingsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+87%+$188.66
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.78
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$689Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$191.08
All 23 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+66.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
World Politics — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.97
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$715Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$285
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$135
Starmer out by June 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$135
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$387.78
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,896Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+189%+$7,365.61
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.91
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$440
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+166%+$51.74
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,154Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$1,184.74
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$249.5
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,322Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,321.86
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$818Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$817.81
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$845Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$282.3
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$204.99
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,431Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+29%+$996.02
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+141.4%+$428.15
Will Seguro win Portugal's Overseas Vote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.26
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.03
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+173.6%+$53.3
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$12.24
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.78
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.77
Will Karl-Anthony Towns lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+36%+$5.66
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+82.6%+$10.12
Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$21.56
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+145.3%+$60.77
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$113.27
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+65%+$29.56
Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$124.89
Bulls vs. Hawksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+101%+$20.1
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$114.63
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,693Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,693.47
Will Bahrain vs. Syria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$8,892Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+29%+$2,574.65
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+156.5%+$195.08
Wales vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.45
Will Poland win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.2
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.2
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$103
Will Slovakia win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.8
Will Italy win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$21.7
Czechia vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.3
All 11 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+29.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.95
Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.51
Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$59.77
Will Lady Gaga win 3 Grammys?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+85.5%+$38.46
Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+90.7%+$63.05
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+213.5%+$60.59
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+44.2%+$179.36
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick31cpaid-87.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.39
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$443.05
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,379Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$403.53
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$377.89
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$33.57
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$122
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$24.43
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$169.1
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$23.68
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$35.55
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-35.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LA CANCIÓN be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$32.72
Will La Santa be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+51.8%+$7.85
Will Callaita be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12.67
Will LA MUDANZA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+162%+$22.26
Will Ojitos Lindos be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$18.5
Will Me Porto Bonito be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$18.32
Will La Jumpa be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$16.86
Will MIA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$21.57
Will Safaera be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
All 9 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+30.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-62%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-38.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+78%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$37.84
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.6%+$46.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Huracán vs. CA Belgrano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$66.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$662Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$662.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Granada CF vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$17.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.