Ukraine · resolved market
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8698572ca0243d41683c62f45ccb6ad17b6c90393188d48e54ea47c319ba5c4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,027,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,002,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,027,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3744…d422backed No | 0c | 900,161$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd55f…0f76backed No | 0c | 536,200$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb08…e1e7backed No | 0c | 359,447$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…8488backed No | 0c | 143,057$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…d39abacked No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0c…d930backed No | 0c | 99,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…9d51backed No | 0c | 47,120$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a3…121fbacked No | 0c | 44,454$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8966…5d80backed No | 0c | 41,067$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae31…7fa1backed No | 0c | 40,091$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…7048backed No | 1c | 39,903$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.73 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…ef05backed No | 0c | 38,500$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…5a0bbacked No | 0c | 38,333$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf48…6f13backed No | 0c | 36,790$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5604…f26bbacked No | 2c | 27,939$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4314backed No | 0c | 23,341$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b95…af88backed No | 0c | 20,083$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf6…a89fbacked No | 0c | 15,488$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x647e…2f6cbacked No | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df2…01afbacked No | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6f…d047backed No | 0c | 14,870$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d5…81f6backed No | 0c | 14,690$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06f…6571backed No | 0c | 13,430$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1806…5234backed No | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 1c | 11,874$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c53…8c30backed No | 0c | 11,750$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd29d…cbbcbacked No | 0c | 11,400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe005…9e23backed No | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe03d…589cbacked No | 0c | 10,200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…a931backed No | 0c | 9,857$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x268d…4820backed No | 1c | 9,779$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3c…e276backed No | 1c | 9,109$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8323…6bb8backed No | 0c | 8,346$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de4…427cbacked No | 0c | 7,827$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e47…08bcbacked No | 0c | 6,912$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b3…c131backed No | 15c | 5,580$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe485…f7eebacked No | 14c | 5,336$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8af6…b244backed No | 0c | 5,173$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…1d8ebacked No | 9c | 4,952$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…7a77backed No | 1c | 4,064$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3104…7048backed No | 0c | 4,050$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc603…c240backed No | 0c | 3,980$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x233a…00ddbacked No | 2c | 3,490$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…8f06backed No | 1c | 3,020$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 1c | 3,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98e…a597backed Yes | 26c | 2,638$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +194.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…b599backed No | 1c | 2,616$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e27…ef09backed No | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23ed…aebcbacked No | 1c | 2,294$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3148…bc30backed Yes | 12c | 1,313$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +742.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 61c | 863.75$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.45 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dd…5514backed Yes | 17c | 817$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +271%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 10c | 810$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.9 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x549c…ad91backed No | 49c | 806.63$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed Yes | 17c | 790$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +257.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…33ecbacked No | 2c | 773.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc0…4942backed Yes | 17c | 772$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca41…3af9backed Yes | 16c | 671.77$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.59 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 52c | 646.39$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.8 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…4484backed No | 58c | 611.08$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.16 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5092…86c3backed Yes | 44c | 603.65$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…e61bbacked No | 65c | 571$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.69 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed No | 57c | 560.94$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…e02bbacked No | 62c | 532.15$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…3a04backed No | 32c | 525.29$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.39 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +113%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fc…42a0backed No | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…d242backed No | 68c | 477.15$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Yes | 46c | 467.75$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +222.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked No | 37c | 399.97$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.02 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382a…b590backed Yes | 30c | 399.09$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b0…3ef4backed No | 39c | 331.7$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 23c | 301.56$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.12 | 113 | 22.1%25 W · 88 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed No | 57c | 276.58$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe397…bfcbbacked No | 35c | 269.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed No | 27c | 268.45$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.88 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…3caabacked Yes | 19c | 267.9$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 26c | 260.54$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.86 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eae…5e6dbacked Yes | 60c | 254.58$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bd…f03ebacked No | 20c | 250$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +163.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 38c | 237$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.06 | 85 | 10.6%9 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270d…d850backed Yes | 43c | 231.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +131.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 51c | 227.58$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.27 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 70c | 211.43$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.83 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 61c | 208.85$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.16 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8c…47c0backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.59per pick | 16cpaid | +457.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 60c | 192.76$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.4 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f03…d3eebacked Yes | 35c | 172.31$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc972…dcd9backed Yes | 48c | 149.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9521…9e2bbacked Yes | 48c | 146.36$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.46 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…2fe9backed Yes | 53c | 142.27$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…e6bdbacked No | 36c | 138.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 22c | 130.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.53 | 172 | 32%55 W · 117 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 43c | 119.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…d647backed No | 48c | 118.69$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.09 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Yes | 43c | 116.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +407.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 68c | 115.47$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.44 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d26…f91dbacked No | 73c | 113.76$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 28c | 112.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.98 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf3…57f7backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?this page
- Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by April 15, 2026?Yes won
- Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by February 28, 2026?No won
- Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 17, 2026?No won
- Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 24, 2026?No won
- Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.