TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4916…f56f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,346
Categories scored
44
Categories below 50
33

Best Category: Music, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Music at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT17350.3%87 W · 86 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 173 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$12.54
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$8.46
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$5.35
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+167%+$58.14
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.18
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$14.99
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$28.94
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5
Grok 4.4 released by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.12
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$27.32
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$7.42
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.49
Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$22.81
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+176.6%+$37.29
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$36.57
Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.93
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.53
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.12
Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$9.91
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+73.5%+$21.49
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $165B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.91
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $19B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.18
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $42.5B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+152%+$17.59
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.48
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+136.6%+$29.21
Showing 25 of 173 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT11452.6%60 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 114 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$11.13
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.45
Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.12
Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+51.6%+$9.07
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$8.26
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.13
Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$4.74
Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.58
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.37
Will USD be between 1.6M and 1.7M Iranian rials on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$16.49
Will USD be less than 1.5M Iranian rials on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.78
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+105.7%+$47.94
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.2
Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.13
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.5
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.64
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.04
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.38
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$48.64
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.2
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.42
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+96.3%+$27.45
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$8.37
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.02
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Showing 25 of 114 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT11139.6%44 W · 67 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 111 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.73
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.18
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.99
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.43
Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.05
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.72
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$6.83
Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.42
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.57
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.41
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.15
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.5
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.34
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+248.9%+$25.44
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.14
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+240.4%+$50.57
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,800 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.21
Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.18
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.2
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+69.3%+$47.23
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.09
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$41.66
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$30.23
Showing 25 of 111 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT11045.5%50 W · 60 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 110 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.88
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.83
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.23
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.57
Will Catherine West be in the Burnham cabinet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.49
Will Rachel Reeves be in the Burnham cabinet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.06
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.34
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$14.4
Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.57
Will Al Carns be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.38
Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.21
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.26
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$9.15
Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.66
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+39%+$10.41
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.49
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.66
Labour leadership election scheduled by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$4.99
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$34.7
Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.64
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$11.54
Showing 25 of 110 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT9244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.27
Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.22
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.63
Will "My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.46
Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+84.6%+$21.57
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.72
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.36
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.79
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.55
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.57
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.01
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$12.97
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.31
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.89
Will Zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$25.13
Will "Chalamet" be said 5+ times at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+135%+$22.97
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+164.6%+$39.53
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will All the Empty Rooms win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.67
Will "Epstein" be said at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.24
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.47
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.79
Will "Sentimental Value" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$17.16
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT8643%37 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 86 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$6.36
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.05
Will GRVT launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.91
Over $250k committed to the ALIGN public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+161.3%+$38.03
Cap FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$14.67
Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+183.2%+$47.12
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.51
Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$51.79
Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
o1 FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$12.52
o1 FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+134.5%+$14.4
Will o1 launch a token by September 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.97
Will Reppo launch a token by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.37
Will Reppo launch a token by June 30, 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$8.33
Tea FDV above $40M one day after launchbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.14
XMAQUINA FDV above $60M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$12.46
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.4
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.28
Nexus FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+74.3%+$25.96
Nexus FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.76
Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.37
Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$17.49
Space FDV above $15M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$22.55
Showing 25 of 86 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8542.4%36 W · 49 L-11.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-25%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.12
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+82%+$19.44
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$8.3
Will Pau Cubarsí score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
Will Spain score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.58
Will Pedri score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+118.4%+$17.7
Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$12.47
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.95
Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$23.42
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.76
Will Trump attend 2 World Cup matches?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.96
Will Rayan Cherki score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
Will Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.39
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$13.33
Will Argentina be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.94
Will there be 5+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.75
Will Christian Pulisic score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.89
Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.31
Will Ricardo Pepi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.11
Will USA be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+33%+$9.29
Will Weston McKennie score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+147.2%+$17.5
Will Christian Pulisic score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.63
Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.86
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT5950.8%30 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+107.5%+$29.68
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$4.29
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.5
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$28.17
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+90.8%+$15.06
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$6.35
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.24
Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.61
Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.29
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Will Vicente Ada win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.23
Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.09
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.56
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.78
Jay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.77
Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.1%+$14.1
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.42
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.21
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$12.87
Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.47
Will Nicholas Sciretta be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$10.64
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT5844.8%26 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$7.58
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.09
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.85
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.02
Will Bitcoin outperform NVIDIA (NVDA) in April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+90.1%+$16.4
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+124.9%+$24.68
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $340 end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.87
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.3
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.34
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.53
Will Bitcoin outperform NVIDIA (NVDA) in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.57
Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44%+$6.04
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,600 on the final trading day of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+138.2%+$16.38
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,500 on the final trading day of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+68.6%+$14.77
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.03
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.94
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.35
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (HIGH) in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$11.28
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $240 end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4
Will Meta (META) close above $680 end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.33
Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 2% on any day in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$27.11
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.08
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.62
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT5843.1%25 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.17
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.15
Will Wemby Cry During the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+91.4%+$12.95
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$6.89
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.25
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+150.9%+$19.15
Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.79
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.92
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.62
Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+39%+$6.07
Will Detroit Pistons advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.33
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.83
Will Denver Nuggets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+230.6%+$59.24
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.59
Will Jalen Duren win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+88.6%+$65.59
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.04
Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+111%+$30.55
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.16
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+97.2%+$85.4
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$8.2
Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.33
NBA to pass Luka Doncic’s “Extraordinary Circumstances Challenge”?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.68
Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$113.84
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+221.7%+$43.97
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT5534.5%19 W · 36 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-33.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Weather — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$5.77
Will Hong Kong have 500mm or more of precipitation in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.38
Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$38.19
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+112.6%+$18.07
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$25.33
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.93
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+66%+$9.56
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.37
Another confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.3
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.39
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$6.48
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.95
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.19
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.03
Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.47
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+192.9%+$25.17
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.75
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.93
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.89
Will fewer than 70 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.26
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT4544.4%20 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.35
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.25
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.56
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.33
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.07
Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.59
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+143.7%+$55.47
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Will Putin visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$20.85
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.07
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.82
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.93
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.33
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$39.99
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$17.32
Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$11.11
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+256.9%+$80.98
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.04
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+136.2%+$34.6
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$8.69
More EU sanctions on Russia by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.52
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$57.33
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+37%+$7.2
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT4362.8%27 W · 16 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Music — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+203.1%+$27.2
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$8.92
Will Ariana Grande have a #1 hit in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$6.95
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$22.34
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$19.46
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.99
Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+66%+$7.95
Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$22.73
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$14.86
Will Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+34%+$5.56
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.39
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.26
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.1
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$15.19
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+81.1%+$17.2
Will "Covid" be said on ICEMAN?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.66
Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.98
Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$20.61
Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+241.9%+$24.69
Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$23.97
Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
Will Taylor Swift have a #1 hit in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$6.45
Will Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will North West release an album by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$7.42
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will XRP reach $1.40 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.66
Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+198%+$46.06
Will Solana reach $100 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+111.3%+$21.06
Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.23
Will Solana dip to $80 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+151.8%+$26.41
Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+261.3%+$77.48
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 70 by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+46%+$12.6
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 100 by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.99
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.23
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Hyperliquid reach $44 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.47
Will Solana dip to $80 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.98
Will XRP reach $1.60 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.23
Will Hyperliquid reach $44 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.35
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.55
Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.96
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+72.4%+$39.86
Will Solana dip to $90 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$18.4
Will Solana dip to $80 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$28.11
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$21.6
Will Solana reach $150 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+124%+$18.21
Will BNB reach $1000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+55.9%+$8.22
Will XRP reach $2.60 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.2
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT3056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.3
Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.24
Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.47
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 1-4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.52
Will President Trump sign 0 pieces of legislation into law in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.23
Will the Department of Homeland Security receive full-year funding by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+40.1%+$4.12
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.92
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+69.6%+$9.79
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.76
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+38.9%+$11.2
Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$13.28
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+34.5%+$3.72
Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+133.3%+$24.61
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$16.4
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$18
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+53.8%+$6.19
Will Reid Hoffman be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+103.2%+$13.65
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+39.1%+$13.58
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+170.3%+$25.2
Will Trump’s approval rating be 40.0–41.9% on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+89%+$9.08
Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+203.5%+$69.78
Will Jamie Dimon be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+41.2%+$10.47
Will Anderson Cooper be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.21
Will Kirsten Gillibrand be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+48.5%+$8.99
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$9.89
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.47
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.47
Will Andrei Vasilevskiy win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.01
Will Lindy Ruff win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+352%+$50.23
Will Zach Werenski win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.23
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+93.9%+$54.16
Will Montreal Canadiens advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+165.4%+$24.92
Will Tampa Bay Lightning advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Edmonton Oilers advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.23
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.65
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.34
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.32
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+106%+$124.11
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+277.4%+$72.14
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.79
Will the Los Angeles Kings make the NHL Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.19
Will the San Jose Sharks make the NHL Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$9.39
Will the Philadelphia Flyers make the NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+178.3%+$49.34
Will the Ottawa Senators make the NHL Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.93
Will the Seattle Kraken make the NHL Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$10.19
Will the Florida Panthers make the NHL Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+115%+$12.13
Will the Chicago Blackhawks make the NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.49
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will no one dissent the June Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$27.47
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.51
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.86
Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$15.18
Will two people dissent the April Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$6.44
Will Powell say "Shut down" or "Shutdown" during April press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$13.07
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+145.9%+$26.69
Will Powell say "Dollar" 2+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.26
Will Powell say "Housing" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Powell say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" 7+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+111.4%+$25.82
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+142.6%+$41.13
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.35
Will Christopher Waller dissent the next Fed Decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.34
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+113.1%+$63.68
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+34.4%+$6.18
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$16.92
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+61.8%+$17.55
Will three people dissent the December Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+365.1%+$64.53
Will two people dissent the December Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$18.06
Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+31.6%+$3.32
All 22 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST2147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winter Games 2026: Athlete to be stripped of medal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+110.2%+$17.97
Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$41.74
Will Norway win the most medal points in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.3
Will the United States win the most medal points in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+44.9%+$12.4
Will the United States win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.14
Winter Games 2026: Lindsey Vonn to medal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+60%+$15
Will Brazil record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.69
Will Switzerland win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+54.8%+$6.45
Will Eileen Gu (CHN) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.22
Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20.82
Will Finley Melville Ives (NZL) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+58.7%+$9.25
Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+104.4%+$30.66
Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$11.55
Will Laura Nolte (GER) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Bobsled - Women's Monobob at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Will Scotty James (AUS) win the gold medal for Snowboard Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15.86
Will Erik Perrot (FRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 10km Sprint at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+50.6%+$5.18
Will Einer Hedegart (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Men's 10km Interval Start Free at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12.42
Will Chloe Kim (USA) win the gold medal for Snowboard Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$23.44
Will Merle Fraibel (GER) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Luge - Women's Singles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+51.5%+$7.16
Will Julia Taubitz (GER) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Luge - Women's Singles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+45.5%+$5.73
Will Joy Beune (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 3000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+74.4%+$9.6
All 21 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.32
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$13.36
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$3.54
Will annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$4.62
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$4.19
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$27.27
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$4.42
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+90.4%+$17.27
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.36
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$15.95
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.44
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.58
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+108.5%+$53.08
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+31.4%+$5.98
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+80.6%+$33.34
Will monthly inflation be between 2.1% and 2.3% in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+91.7%+$17.04
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+57.9%+$15.23
All 18 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-44.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
IPO — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$6.72
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.15
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.34
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+107.5%+$23.04
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.75
Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.39
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.77
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.58
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.59
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.76
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$6.47
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+58.3%+$41.34
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.11
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.23
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.69
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$23.43
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.47
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.06
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-57.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.91
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.37
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.53
English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.08
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.65
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.94
Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.85
Will Chelsea qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.62
Will Robert De Zerbi be appointed as manager of Tottenham?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+249.4%+$32.56
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.87
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$18.08
All 12 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.86
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.43
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$21.06
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.61
Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.96
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.39
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+60.2%+$8.24
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+117.1%+$12.21
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+101.7%+$22.38
DeepSeek V4 released by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.86
All 11 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.09
Will there be seven or eight announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+292.6%+$40.99
Will there be five or six announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.97
Will Trump say "2026" this week? (January 18)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$12.22
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$22.8
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$29.51
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+93.7%+$12.28
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.88
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$30.84
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+43.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+51%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+101.6%+$27.02
Will Japan make the 2026 World Baseball Classic final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-34%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympiacos win the 2025-26 Euroleague?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.25
Will Fenerbahçe Beko win the 2025-26 Euroleague?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$7.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Holloway fight Conor McGregor next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Trump attend UFC 327?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cruz Azul win Liga MX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$14.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$25.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mason Greenwood be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.92
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.