Will Ricardo Pepi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a31e6a26bafd5bdd6f925824f123c0804f23ea7090aee3192fc39e306fbb317

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $4,295
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,224

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,295 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes	50c	612.99$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.2	201	42.8%86 W · 115 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked No	53c	457.3$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.3	138	55.1%76 W · 62 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes	50c	372$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.76	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed No	67c	312.07$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.82	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed No	49c	273.38$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.61	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	25c	244.25$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.9	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x827a…a12bbacked Yes	39c	229.46$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.84	83	26.5%22 W · 61 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes	35c	212.14$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.25	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d5b…7744backed No	49c	204$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed No	44c	189.78$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.28	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No	46c	169.48$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.52	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Yes	54c	162.96$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	624	52.7%329 W · 295 L	+10.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64be…c653backed Yes	36c	102.48$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.99	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x78ae…143abacked Yes	29c	101$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.29	116	32.8%38 W · 78 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	46c	64.68$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.9	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked No	52c	63.44$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.45	44	54.5%24 W · 20 L	+4.2wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+31%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9362…d4a4backed No	47c	62.04$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.88	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	-5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf51…b295backed No	45c	62.03$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.12	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	62c	60.72$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.79	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked No	62c	60$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.7	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked No	48c	60$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.14	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45e7…d77cbacked No	54c	59.78$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.5	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No	46c	50$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	318	51.9%165 W · 153 L	+16.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcc4…f3dabacked Yes	27c	50$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	60	58.3%35 W · 25 L	+5.6wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf4e9…bf77backed No	65c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.5	54	50%27 W · 27 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2db…140abacked No	48c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+8.8wins	+0.17per pick	41cpaid	+44.1%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2d82…3a1bbacked Yes	22c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86b9…5225backed Yes	31c	48.39$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.1wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes	56c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.2	147	39.5%58 W · 89 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed No	41c	40$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.6	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29ef…dddabacked No	57c	40$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-9.0wins	-0.25per pick	64cpaid	-35%equal weight	34-0.15 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked Yes	37c	35.17$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.11	85	42.4%36 W · 49 L	-11.7wins	-0.14per pick	56cpaid	-25%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9eae…c61fbacked No	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	77c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.6	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25bd…30a1backed No	80c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4	75	62.7%47 W · 28 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	66c	15.53$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.3	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Ricardo Pepi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event