Will Alexander Sørloth score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a1e39bb7068abff5c54744b6f8b84541f9671b4854effc224a542458bc3bc63

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $6,069
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $6,245

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,069 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes	62c	651.5$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$404.56	201	42.8%86 W · 115 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9fd…d5d2backed No	78c	508.54$397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.88	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed No	35c	499.71$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$323.4	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed No	29c	348.28$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.28	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+2.9wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes	72c	300$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216	249	54.2%135 W · 114 L	+40.3wins	+0.16per pick	38cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x6a68…6679backed Yes	68c	299.99$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.99	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	-6.3wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d5b…7744backed No	74c	271.89$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.89	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb766…1d83backed No	43c	260.31$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.65	145	34.5%50 W · 95 L	-11.4wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c64…c471backed Yes	22c	227.71$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	41	22%9 W · 32 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-19%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Yes	23c	175.62$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.1	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed No	75c	174.31$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.32	403	55.3%223 W · 180 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4de5…e874backed Yes	58c	174$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.92	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	58cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bd6…52b6backed No	29c	173.66$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.66	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d82…3a1bbacked No	75c	165.56$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.93	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	38c	154.69$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.67	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	24c	130.16$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.54	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	10c	102$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	167	4.2%7 W · 160 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76b…924cbacked Yes	71c	100$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.37per pick	70cpaid	-55%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Yes	72c	100$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	617	52%321 W · 296 L	-13.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed No	34c	100$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	320	44.1%141 W · 179 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3578…8c5fbacked Yes	73c	95.65$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-8.9wins	-0.20per pick	59cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	33c	86.01$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.01	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	22c	73.41$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.19	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed No	25c	66.67$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	75	40%30 W · 45 L	+6.6wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	+30.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x45e7…d77cbacked No	37c	66$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.58	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked No	33c	63$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.92	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7ec…e53abacked Yes	22c	62.32$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.71	72	44.4%32 W · 40 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-16%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a0…2f95backed No	56c	56.63$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.81	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No	71c	53.09$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.14	130	51.5%67 W · 63 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf00…33a7backed No	31c	52.23$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.04	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+4.7wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+54%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	22c	51.33$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.33	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda20…cb8dbacked No	78c	50$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	81	51.9%42 W · 39 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb58…ccd0backed Yes	21c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	64c	50$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes	62c	48.06$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	144	22.2%32 W · 112 L	-10.5wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes	72c	30$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	148	39.2%58 W · 90 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes	69c	30$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.7	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2134…0734backed No	72c	29.99$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.4	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc92…27c9backed No	72c	29.66$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.3	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a51…05adbacked Yes	72c	24.81$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.86	63	65.1%41 W · 22 L	+6.9wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+18%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf0ac…80c0backed No	76c	22.4$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.37	53	86.8%46 W · 7 L	+9.6wins	+0.18per pick	69cpaid	+35.9%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0xb226…4163backed No	76c	20.32$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.88	73	68.5%50 W · 23 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	66cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4760…33f4backed No	75c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Alexander Sørloth score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event