Will Jamal Musiala score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9bcc3b7589249dde40eae150e3dc4b43fead3306f6f11fb12490d5e4d73759e

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $6,792
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $8,197

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,792 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xefee…1c08backed No	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	55	14.5%8 W · 47 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes	78c	631.29$492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.48	201	42.8%86 W · 115 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No	27c	499.99$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	318	51.9%165 W · 153 L	+16.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Yes	79c	486.73$386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.08	617	52%321 W · 296 L	-13.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes	75c	455.08$341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.88	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No	3c	417.84$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.81	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No	25c	400.26$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.43	119	45.4%54 W · 65 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d4…453bbacked No	26c	378.91$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	81	40.7%33 W · 48 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb99…0730backed Yes	74c	253.41$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.42	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe158…509fbacked Yes	73c	230$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.1	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-2.5wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-37%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes	74c	204.54$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	235	43%101 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes	73c	200$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f02…c78fbacked Yes	73c	186.15$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.1	120	47.5%57 W · 63 L	-7.0wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1da…0370backed No	22c	182.73$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes	76c	168.46$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.37	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7c8…e573backed No	20c	160$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	70	50%35 W · 35 L	+4.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f5b…b598backed Yes	73c	111$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.97	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed No	27c	103.7$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	117	30.8%36 W · 81 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+25%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed No	23c	100.74$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.32	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7a…07a0backed Yes	75c	92.49$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.12	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	68cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb6f…64b6backed No	25c	82.36$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.59	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb326…d18bbacked No	21c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7976…f3dcbacked Yes	80c	50$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes	73c	48.31$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.04	159	42.1%67 W · 92 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes	77c	40$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.2	232	45.7%106 W · 126 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes	78c	38.46$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.46	396	48.7%193 W · 203 L	-23.6wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x167a…91d5backed Yes	79c	37.84$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.95	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+4.4wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+93.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	71c	30$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.7	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x914b…a886backed Yes	78c	26$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.72	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	74c	25.94$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.74	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30b8…fbf3backed Yes	78c	23.19$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.22	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x05ec…f767backed Yes	79c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.2	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	66cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked Yes	80c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad9…0eaebacked Yes	74c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.2	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f99…6734backed Yes	79c	19.21$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.03	116	36.2%42 W · 74 L	-7.6wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a51…05adbacked Yes	73c	17.47$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.72	63	65.1%41 W · 22 L	+6.9wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+18%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Jamal Musiala score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event