Will Gabriel Magalhães score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe229b2e7c9842e49de4df395be1fb6c2fd5bbb04a4babf1ff9f78a942d2fa4fa

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $4,912
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,765

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,912 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1a32…9c25backed Yes	19c	704.68$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.96	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No	76c	686$521 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.64	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-4.2wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed No	72c	682.26$492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.39	139	57.6%80 W · 59 L	+18.4wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No	78c	304.01$237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.94	75	52%39 W · 36 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73ed…310ebacked Yes	27c	303.57$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b90…9ffdbacked Yes	20c	300$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	51	5.9%3 W · 48 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes	24c	289.68$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.83	113	54%61 W · 52 L	+6.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	18c	184.09$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.71	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes	27c	121$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Yes	22c	120.45$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.26	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d25…ced8backed Yes	21c	119.05$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e33…1482backed Yes	20c	114.58$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.92	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	72c	103.57$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc48e…0ebebacked Yes	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-3.0wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec8c…8961backed Yes	24c	100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed Yes	24c	89.68$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.52	162	46.9%76 W · 86 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fc…ed09backed Yes	47c	75$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	58	34.5%20 W · 38 L	-6.0wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-29%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	14c	74.99$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	293	7.5%22 W · 271 L	-13.2wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked No	75c	55$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.75	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked No	73c	50.4$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.61	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	235	43%101 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a4e…b38cbacked No	55c	50$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.5	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes	29c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked No	31c	47.22$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.5	201	42.8%86 W · 115 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb326…d18bbacked Yes	22c	45$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.02	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No	80c	40$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8	764	45.9%351 W · 413 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	80c	25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ac5…894cbacked No	80c	25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+2.6wins	+0.17per pick	43cpaid	+84%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked No	78c	23$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.06	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Gabriel Magalhães score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event