Will Endrick score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd81da9d89abb35070d1f6629913ccc6179f4c588c3464c978daf33d7913fba2c

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $8,349
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $8,345

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,349 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8d85…f4e0backed Yes	59c	519.79$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.84	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+5.3wins	+0.20per pick	45cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	47c	495.98$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$263.74	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes	48c	295.25$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.76	249	54.2%135 W · 114 L	+40.3wins	+0.16per pick	38cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed Yes	60c	275.07$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.1	139	57.6%80 W · 59 L	+18.4wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed No	39c	258.69$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.85	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x78ae…143abacked No	47c	252.99$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.18	116	32.8%38 W · 78 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc06d…485bbacked No	80c	250$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed No	28c	229.88$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.48	185	38.9%72 W · 113 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x802c…6120backed No	70c	222.22$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.36	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes	45c	209.99$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.88	113	54%61 W · 52 L	+6.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a50…edb1backed Yes	53c	185$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.15	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92fa…4461backed No	56c	179.15$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.15	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	49c	170$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.6	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked No	62c	169.16$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.16	138	55.1%76 W · 62 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No	32c	168.99$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.39	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x167a…91d5backed No	36c	162.54$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.51	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+4.4wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+93.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4de5…e874backed Yes	47c	159.99$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.2	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	58cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd8e…435cbacked Yes	47c	154.77$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.83	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+3.2wins	+0.24per pick	53cpaid	+59.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes	69c	150.64$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.98	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed No	40c	140$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84	120	38.3%46 W · 74 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No	40c	129.45$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.16	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No	41c	128.92$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.47	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	41c	121.41$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.14	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x89df…f8d0backed No	53c	112.42$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.42	142	45.8%65 W · 77 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf00…33a7backed No	43c	111.15$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.46	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+4.7wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+54%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb6f…64b6backed No	42c	108.98$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.98	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No	38c	100$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62	96	44.8%43 W · 53 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb766…1d83backed No	53c	99.44$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.74	145	34.5%50 W · 95 L	-11.4wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b56…ef7cbacked Yes	66c	94.58$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.79	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e10…1186backed No	41c	93.13$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.94	63	58.7%37 W · 26 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64be…c653backed Yes	57c	87$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.54	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0599…fc58backed Yes	43c	81.59$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.09	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2db…140abacked No	41c	71.65$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.27	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+8.8wins	+0.17per pick	41cpaid	+44.1%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked No	35c	70$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.5	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…aca8backed No	29c	67.56$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.97	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	23cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed13…6382backed Yes	55c	66.86$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.77	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x601f…76adbacked No	42c	66.86$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.56	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No	38c	57.18$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.45	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes	70c	55.57$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.67	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf51…b295backed No	40c	55.25$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.99	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Yes	55c	54.08$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.9	129	36.4%47 W · 82 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e88…bd30backed Yes	43c	53.84$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.24	104	54.8%57 W · 47 L	+4.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed Yes	30c	52.5$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.75	162	46.9%76 W · 86 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No	44c	50$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.84	764	45.9%351 W · 413 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c89…0057backed Yes	62c	50$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	-3.7wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcc4…f3dabacked Yes	33c	50$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	60	58.3%35 W · 25 L	+5.6wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa74…78b9backed Yes	60c	50$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-9.0wins	-0.20per pick	59cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0eb7…8725backed Yes	57c	50$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+2.4wins	+0.13per pick	31cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa59e…16c3backed Yes	65c	50$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.5	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-3.9wins	-0.18per pick	42cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfec1…b807backed No	36c	50$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc23…5a3dbacked No	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e2…9629backed No	46c	43.48$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.48	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No	31c	42.9$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.6	318	51.9%165 W · 153 L	+16.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No	54c	41.36$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.06	130	51.5%67 W · 63 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked No	73c	41.08$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.09	239	43.5%104 W · 135 L	-11.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-14%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x317d…dc2dbacked Yes	59c	40$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked No	37c	39.2$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.76	85	42.4%36 W · 49 L	-11.7wins	-0.14per pick	56cpaid	-25%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	38c	37$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.94	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbbe4…2a32backed No	54c	36.75$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.75	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Yes	59c	35.16$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.74	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked Yes	62c	34.71$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.45	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc456…2e1abacked Yes	65c	30.77$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	63	60.3%38 W · 25 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70b2…5805backed Yes	61c	30$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.3	156	35.9%56 W · 100 L	-12.8wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b7a…86cfbacked No	34c	30$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.8	234	29.1%68 W · 166 L	-10.4wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf6d…f13bbacked No	50c	29.99$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.89	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes	62c	26.32$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.32	201	42.8%86 W · 115 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No	78c	26.31$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.79	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a72…a2abbacked No	46c	23.75$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.83	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-2.9wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x211a…6ef4backed Yes	62c	21$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.02	60	36.7%22 W · 38 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x306b…179ebacked Yes	65c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	55	49.1%27 W · 28 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15e1…1b3dbacked Yes	76c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-3.4wins	-0.21per pick	59cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa586…a14dbacked Yes	73c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.6	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.9wins	-0.48per pick	73cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes	58c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	235	43%101 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25bd…30a1backed No	74c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.2	75	62.7%47 W · 28 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ab…f12abacked Yes	61c	18.85$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	34cpaid	-68.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f70…312bbacked Yes	71c	15.03$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.67	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked No	75c	14.71$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.65	198	74.7%148 W · 50 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	74cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Endrick score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event