Will Dani Olmo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5760e07494c6a497f6bc6be6fdb7edcb2841679ec22b4e5f84d4dde83266310a

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $12,601
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $11,709

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,601 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x92a9…fb3cbacked Yes	19c	738.6$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.74	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Yes	34c	621.1$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.56	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03be…e99cbacked Yes	17c	591.6$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	12.5%3 W · 21 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-49%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1dc…3e56backed Yes	18c	555$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.9	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x234e…240bbacked No	66c	455.64$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.64	77	51.9%40 W · 37 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Yes	70c	377.93$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d2f…4adbbacked No	30c	370.61$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$259.43	50	62%31 W · 19 L	+6.4wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	19c	287.42$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.59	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes	19c	281$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.39	58	32.8%19 W · 39 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d2f…7964backed Yes	19c	263.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.8wins	+0.37per pick	23cpaid	+192.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	43c	217.55$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.16	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf51…b295backed Yes	54c	210$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.91	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes	21c	169.94$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.88	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	78c	157.05$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.55	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	61c	155.98$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.39	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes	32c	150$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.6	130	51.5%67 W · 63 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No	48c	150$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.5	96	44.8%43 W · 53 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes	19c	149.99$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	431	45.2%195 W · 236 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed No	32c	142$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.26	185	38.9%72 W · 113 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	32c	137.88$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.35	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d82…3a1bbacked No	52c	132.51$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.03	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed No	69c	130$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.8	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	36c	109.01$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.46	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdfe6…2769backed Yes	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	37	27%10 W · 27 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Yes	19c	102.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	129	36.4%47 W · 82 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0ba…b3f9backed No	61c	102.62$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.99	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf00…33a7backed Yes	68c	102$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.87	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+4.7wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+54%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.5	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dea…e9bdbacked Yes	27c	100$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd399…3f46backed No	31c	100$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69	97	23.7%23 W · 74 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f64…32b3backed No	78c	99.98$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	25c	95.81$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.82	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a69…228fbacked No	61c	75.41$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.41	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes	70c	71.43$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	396	48.7%193 W · 203 L	-23.6wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked No	34c	71.41$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.34	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc436…76c9backed No	33c	70$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.9	40	60%24 W · 16 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x598d…8d49backed Yes	19c	68.42$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781f…8a5abacked Yes	39c	64.1$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	87	50.6%44 W · 43 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Yes	70c	61.61$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.43	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes	20c	61$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes	17c	60$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	383	29.8%114 W · 269 L	-9.5wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed No	79c	58.5$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.35	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1912…ed21backed Yes	19c	57.89$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed No	46c	55$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.7	159	42.1%67 W · 92 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1694…8badbacked No	31c	50.96$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.16	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No	30c	50$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0xc104…f24fbacked Yes	67c	50$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.5	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8647…d870backed No	33c	50$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.5	64	43.8%28 W · 36 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes	62c	50$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…6b2bbacked No	31c	50$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.5	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18dc…5e90backed No	46c	50$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	144	36.1%52 W · 92 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc635…abe6backed No	80c	50$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.2	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc3…e370backed Yes	32c	50$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	80c	44.6$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.92	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5576…0a66backed Yes	39c	40$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-3.3wins	-0.17per pick	44cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x04a1…9c13backed Yes	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdee5…d210backed No	32c	31.25$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.25	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x064f…e6b8backed Yes	40c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd677…aa0ebacked No	38c	27.51$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.06	58	58.6%34 W · 24 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No	61c	25.9$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.1	112	56.3%63 W · 49 L	+9.5wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x17a2…630bbacked No	80c	25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+2.3wins	+0.14per pick	33cpaid	+172%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked Yes	71c	21$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.91	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05ec…f767backed Yes	69c	20$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	66cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b73…e9f3backed Yes	71c	20$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.2	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87d6…551abacked No	60c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad9…0eaebacked Yes	67c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.4	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Dani Olmo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event