TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc436…76c9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
212
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: NFL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 58 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT4358.1%25 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.47
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Swedenbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$59.21
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+61.3%+$9.19
Red Wings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Utah vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Capitals vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$8.08
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.78
Blue Jackets vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Islanders vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.78
Canucks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+58.7%+$8.81
Capitals vs. Predatorsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Blue Jackets vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Senators vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+88.7%+$13.3
Flames vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.42
Utah vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Canadiens vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Bruins vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$12.78
Predators vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$28.12
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$14.56
KHL: Barys Astana vs. Traktorbacked Traktor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+56.3%+$10.8
Canadiens vs. Penguinsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Capitals vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+110.1%+$41.72
Kraken vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
Spread: Penguins (-1.5)backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+64%+$12.8
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4060%24 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Dani Olmo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$46.9
Will Adidas be the brand of boot worn by the Golden Boot winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Rayan Cherki score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$18.6
Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$13.69
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.02
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26
Will Luis Javier Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.6
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$33.6
Will Bruno Fernandes score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$46.5
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Will Brazil reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$38.4
Will Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.8
Will Gonçalo Ramos score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$7.04
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$8.44
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-01-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.27
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.42
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Crystal Palace FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+37%+$8.14
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-01-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.32
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Leeds United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+62.5%+$9.38
Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+44.9%+$5.03
Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
Manchester City vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+87.5%+$14
Spread: Manchester City (-1.5)backed Fulham · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+47.1%+$4.8
Fulham vs. Manchester City: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+50.8%+$11.03
Spread: Liverpool (-1.5)backed West Ham · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 23 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick59cpaid+41.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$28.77
Spread: Ravens (-10.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+88.7%+$13.3
Giants vs. Raidersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+69.5%+$11.29
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+26.6%+$4.76
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+139.3%+$27.86
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.74
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+63.9%+$15.6
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+55.9%+$5.75
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.21
All 11 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-27.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$19.2
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.11
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.9
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+38%+$11.35
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick32cpaid+118.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+77.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-64.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+38.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+112.8%+$18.04
AJ Auxerre vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+100%+$14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.82
Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)backed FC Viktoria Plzeň · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$6.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penn Quakers vs. Dartmouth Big Greenbacked Dartmouth Big Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Detroit Titans (-7.5)backed Cleveland State Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$26.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+66.7%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Innio's market cap be between $26B and $29B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bayern München vs. FC St. Pauli: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$28.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.