Will Luis Javier Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d83b387031a3d20a1db443389356af4f0201fd5500cc56e0e3d064749c1d336

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,648
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,901

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,648 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc049…d4b9backed No	21c	192.38$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.38	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	61c	183.6$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.44	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes	79c	152.38$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.38	159	42.1%67 W · 92 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ad8…43e2backed Yes	68c	145.16$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.31	49	34.7%17 W · 32 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e693backed No	48c	120.21$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.21	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+1.9wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed No	36c	117.52$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.11	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked Yes	67c	103.46$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	138	55.1%76 W · 62 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Yes	72c	99.99$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.66	617	52%321 W · 296 L	-13.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad9…0eaebacked Yes	71c	80$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.8	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	65c	76$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.12	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	67c	48.33$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.55	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a51…05adbacked No	28c	46.82$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.71	63	65.1%41 W · 22 L	+6.9wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+18%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x45e7…d77cbacked No	29c	40$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.4	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc436…76c9backed Yes	79c	40$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.6	40	60%24 W · 16 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No	59c	40$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.4	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a50…edb1backed Yes	41c	40$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.4	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2db…140abacked No	37c	38$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.06	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+8.8wins	+0.17per pick	41cpaid	+44.1%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x23ab…6c93backed Yes	60c	33.28$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.5wins	-0.28per pick	51cpaid	-67.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2956…d31bbacked No	47c	32.09$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.01	71	42.3%30 W · 41 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4594…db1abacked Yes	67c	28.34$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.99	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes	66c	25$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	764	45.9%351 W · 413 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30b8…fbf3backed No	41c	24.84$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.64	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x51d0…ce35backed Yes	61c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.2	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-2.6wins	-0.26per pick	36cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes	71c	20$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.2	232	45.7%106 W · 126 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb326…d18bbacked Yes	69c	15$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.35	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Luis Javier Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event