Will Declan Rice score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x868d7c0898c2e35dc1e4556a2173e9d7287f3e6228ea6d8c5293250e1f78899d

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $13,925
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $15,306

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,925 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked No	64c	1,396$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$899.81	201	42.8%86 W · 115 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed No	73c	891.5$651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650.9	403	55.3%223 W · 180 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes	28c	617.99$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$446.99	431	45.2%195 W · 236 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	28c	594.46$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$425.69	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	66c	481.5$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.33	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed No	64c	432.44$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.76	125	56.8%71 W · 54 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	7c	402.98$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$375.69	167	4.2%7 W · 160 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Yes	13c	386.85$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$334.65	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f68…3e9cbacked Yes	73c	321.98$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.37	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+6.6wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+51.1%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8f9b…8b23backed No	4c	321.42$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	49	16.3%8 W · 41 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Yes	6c	300$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282	237	41.8%99 W · 138 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe79…8801backed Yes	32c	299.95$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.96	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d5b…7744backed No	71c	280.71$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…6a8ebacked Yes	7c	249.99$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.49	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	+2.1wins	+0.11per pick	15cpaid	+159%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked No	77c	221.89$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.97	138	55.1%76 W · 62 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes	5c	207$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.65	1,114	49.4%550 W · 564 L	+57.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes	36c	200$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128	235	43%101 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59fb…eceabacked No	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.5	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Yes	35c	199.04$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.35	617	52%321 W · 296 L	-13.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed No	51c	171.7$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	624	52.7%329 W · 295 L	+10.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes	52c	161$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.74	249	54.2%135 W · 114 L	+40.3wins	+0.16per pick	38cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes	12c	150$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.75	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5044…ae88backed Yes	30c	150$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d9…496abacked Yes	35c	142.66$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.66	76	19.7%15 W · 61 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1f…fed5backed Yes	22c	136.36$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.36	135	26.7%36 W · 99 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4de5…e874backed Yes	55c	133$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.85	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	58cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb673…329abacked Yes	23c	123.32$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.99	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+3.1wins	+0.14per pick	31cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes	27c	115.79$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.9	130	51.5%67 W · 63 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes	51c	112.99$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.1	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x167a…91d5backed Yes	35c	103.25$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.11	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+4.4wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+93.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e49…54f6backed Yes	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed No	69c	92.99$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.45	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Yes	34c	90$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.3	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc972…dcd9backed Yes	38c	90$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.1	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+5.5wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No	60c	86.8$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.45	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Yes	35c	84.84$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.84	117	30.8%36 W · 81 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+25%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes	72c	83.01$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.25	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes	15c	79.21$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.4	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	63c	77.51$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.79	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed No	52c	69$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.59	81	61.7%50 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f52…b510backed Yes	33c	68.25$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.73	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes	52c	63.46$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.46	144	22.2%32 W · 112 L	-10.5wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e4b…83e2backed Yes	30c	63.25$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.13	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+5.3wins	+0.14per pick	45cpaid	+48.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x59d6…0704backed Yes	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x823e…fc4fbacked No	48c	49.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.1	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.16per pick	32cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb477…673ebacked No	80c	48.5$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.8	85	71.8%61 W · 24 L	+7.0wins	+0.08per pick	64cpaid	+14%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc049…d4b9backed No	67c	44.78$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89df…f8d0backed No	48c	41.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	142	45.8%65 W · 77 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb090…7085backed No	49c	41$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.09	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.21per pick	55cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x70b2…5805backed Yes	52c	40$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.2	156	35.9%56 W · 100 L	-12.8wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbbe4…2a32backed No	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad9…0eaebacked Yes	32c	40$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.2	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	32c	40$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.2	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x18dc…5e90backed Yes	51c	37.77$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.51	144	36.1%52 W · 92 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe49e…2672backed No	49c	37$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.13	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+35.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8604…cb8fbacked No	68c	36.76$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0f1…599ebacked No	49c	33$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.17	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+25%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a51…05adbacked No	46c	30.5$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.03	63	65.1%41 W · 22 L	+6.9wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+18%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb326…d18bbacked Yes	34c	30$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.84	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2db…140abacked No	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+8.8wins	+0.17per pick	41cpaid	+44.1%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x0ea8…65a7backed Yes	51c	29.43$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.43	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.7wins	+0.33per pick	47cpaid	+50.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xca78…1b88backed No	68c	29.41$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.22per pick	55cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb85d…2315backed No	49c	24.04$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.78	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No	48c	22.07$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.59	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked No	65c	21$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.65	163	36.2%59 W · 104 L	-9.2wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d91…f592backed No	70c	20$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	141	30.5%43 W · 98 L	-8.1wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked No	65c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Declan Rice score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event