Will Granit Xhaka score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bcd79c15fe1f074bf20d34f21faf24759762109149c2c482888fff5f3966a54

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $5,719
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $6,510

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,719 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4f68…3e9cbacked Yes	59c	671.67$399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.35	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+6.6wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+51.1%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes	49c	438.68$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.63	201	42.8%86 W · 115 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked No	36c	328.95$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.4	138	55.1%76 W · 62 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x357c…7dfebacked No	13c	259$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.67	35	40%14 W · 21 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+46.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed No	60c	200.64$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.22	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	63c	200$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	59c	199.54$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.64	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No	62c	132.98$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	75	52%39 W · 36 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes	69c	122.99$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.85	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97fc…2a61backed No	45c	110$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+53%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	66c	109.99$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.4	263	30%79 W · 184 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No	75c	100$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	318	51.9%165 W · 153 L	+16.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb902…10c0backed No	34c	99.99$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	111	35.1%39 W · 72 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd11a…5ffdbacked No	27c	94$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.62	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+3.7wins	+0.21per pick	52cpaid	+47.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe373…3736backed Yes	36c	90.15$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.7	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes	35c	90$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.5	489	61.3%300 W · 189 L	+71.0wins	+0.15per pick	47cpaid	+35.9%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	56c	89$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.87	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes	64c	86$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.96	249	54.2%135 W · 114 L	+40.3wins	+0.16per pick	38cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes	39c	83.89$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.89	144	22.2%32 W · 112 L	-10.5wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No	58c	82$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.26	225	50.7%114 W · 111 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x73ed…310ebacked Yes	40c	74.62$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.62	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a51…05adbacked No	24c	72.96$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.29	63	65.1%41 W · 22 L	+6.9wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+18%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	58c	63.88$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.13	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	57c	60$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.89	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1959…0b3fbacked Yes	35c	60$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+68.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes	41c	60$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.7	148	39.2%58 W · 90 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18dc…5e90backed No	29c	52.82$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.42	144	36.1%52 W · 92 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked No	54c	51.29$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.7	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a4e…b38cbacked No	52c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed No	63c	50$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	232	45.7%106 W · 126 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x508f…8a22backed Yes	48c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.8wins	+0.21per pick	48cpaid	+69.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked No	63c	49.71$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.45	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb27f…2c41backed Yes	39c	48.72$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.72	114	45.6%52 W · 62 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x89df…f8d0backed No	62c	48.25$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	142	45.8%65 W · 77 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes	53c	47.69$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.41	173	40.5%70 W · 103 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1f1…a99abacked Yes	38c	45.73$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.35	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+2.2wins	+0.20per pick	35cpaid	+111.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa74…78b9backed Yes	70c	44$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.4	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-9.0wins	-0.20per pick	59cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xc217…c697backed No	36c	37.12$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.36	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.6wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes	32c	32.44$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.93	147	39.5%58 W · 89 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed No	61c	31.79$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.37	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No	60c	30$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	130	51.5%67 W · 63 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b7a…86cfbacked No	35c	30$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	234	29.1%68 W · 166 L	-10.4wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes	43c	30$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.1	101	49.5%50 W · 51 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29ef…dddabacked No	69c	24.7$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.97	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-9.0wins	-0.25per pick	64cpaid	-35%equal weight	34-0.15 edge/pick
0x30b8…fbf3backed No	64c	22.86$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.66	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa34a…71bbbacked No	66c	22.73$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+2.4wins	+0.20per pick	47cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3373…3716backed Yes	45c	22.34$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.29	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed No	75c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	166	46.4%77 W · 89 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	76c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.8	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c65…dcf7backed Yes	65c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7437…6e31backed Yes	60c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb886…3024backed No	58c	19.92$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.55	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes	67c	16.1$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.28	198	74.7%148 W · 50 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	74cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	78c	15.24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.39	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Granit Xhaka score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event