Will Frenkie de Jong score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf44854803618504af22997d707a2da3c0116b430bf0c3450672a40b87ef0d393

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,709
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,800

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,709 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2d5b…7744backed No	69c	289.45$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.45	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x832b…5c91backed Yes	37c	199.95$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.48	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-3.3wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-17%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	20c	169.3$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.06	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09b4…e56dbacked No	73c	162.37$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.25	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92fa…4461backed No	62c	161.29$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.29	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed Yes	12c	129$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.48	162	46.9%76 W · 86 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d57…bd62backed No	72c	126.8$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.8	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+1.8wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	28c	120.77$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.85	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed No	65c	115.79$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.85	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a96…69debacked Yes	30c	110$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	+3.8wins	+0.12per pick	34cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9530…ce5abacked No	73c	100$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed No	63c	92.5$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.22	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes	36c	91.38$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.63	147	39.5%58 W · 89 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	38c	91.29$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.69	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes	29c	85.93$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	144	22.2%32 W · 112 L	-10.5wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x397f…c0edbacked Yes	31c	64.52$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed No	40c	60$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.3	148	39.2%58 W · 90 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked No	72c	56.9$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6238…57c8backed Yes	28c	53.32$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	25	12%3 W · 22 L	-4.2wins	-0.17per pick	29cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x64be…c653backed Yes	27c	52$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.04	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	31c	50$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x7243…83f0backed No	72c	50$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14	55	49.1%27 W · 28 L	+4.2wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcbd1…1da0backed Yes	31c	50$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0138…8451backed Yes	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	28cpaid	-68.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x023d…3431backed Yes	28c	50$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	-3.8wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3406…6ce0backed Yes	31c	50$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c60…5c52backed No	72c	49.99$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14	44	68.2%30 W · 14 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	62cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes	30c	47.71$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.31	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9269…2900backed No	63c	45$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.65	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa673…0152backed No	50c	41$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.5	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x211a…6ef4backed Yes	43c	40.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	60	36.7%22 W · 38 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfa…0093backed No	62c	40$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.2	59	49.2%29 W · 30 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No	70c	38.58$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.57	96	44.8%43 W · 53 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e1…e180backed No	70c	38.42$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.53	69	40.6%28 W · 41 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d82…3a1bbacked No	70c	31.33$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.4	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	36c	30.41$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.93	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0dc1…a08cbacked No	75c	21$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.25	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	72cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a90…de67backed No	75c	21$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.25	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+51.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No	69c	20.68$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.41	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d43…80acbacked Yes	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-3.4wins	-0.18per pick	65cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe1e2…9629backed No	72c	16.25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.5	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Frenkie de Jong score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event