TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x832b…5c91

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
125
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fed Rates at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4143.9%18 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$4,687Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,687.22
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,782Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+623.2%+$17,338.43
Will Lamine Yamal score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$449.63
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,316Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+124.3%+$4,122.23
Will Lamine Yamal score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.7
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$366.02
Will Lionel Messi record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,875Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,875.2
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.4
Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$570.65
Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$119.75
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12,662Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,662.33
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$870Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$869.93
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.5
Will Erling Haaland score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$161
Will Erling Haaland score 8+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$333
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$612Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$192.92
Will Lionel Messi score 8+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,093Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$341.13
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$530
Will Christian Pulisic score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$5.85
Will Christian Pulisic score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,756Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,756.5
Will Bernardo Silva score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Will Vinicius Jr. score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$370
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+41%+$77.28
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2520%5 W · 20 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-50.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Premier League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.99
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,883Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+31%+$1,201.98
Will Mohamed Salah be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.06
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.92
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$6,183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,182.54
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.8
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.91
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,971Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,970.71
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+203%+$2,010
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$394
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$445
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Newcastle finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$98.2
Will Tottenham finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$680.3
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$152.49
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$90
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+400%+$200
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$202.46
Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Crystal Palace vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
All 25 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$430
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Bayern Munich finish first in UCL league phase?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$832Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$832.2
Will Arsenal finish first in UCL league phase?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$159.25
Will Manchester City FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$170
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,600 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.68
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,418Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,418.2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$789.26
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$782Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+30.5%+$238.56
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$53.78
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+29.9%+$9.44
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+29.4%+$182
Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,000 on the final trading day of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.85
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$130
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,689Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+33%+$556.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+127.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Micron Technology (MU) be the best performing company in the Nasdaq 100 during 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+72.4%+$20.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$248.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monaco finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$312.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Syria by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SBF tweet again by Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.