TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$300,035
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$276,475

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $300,035 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x64e4…e4e3backed Yes19c20,304$3,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,878.531241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick26cpaid+33.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes19c19,442$3,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,762.291,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes19c7,400$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41019735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Yes20c7,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4004148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Yes22c6,478$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes15c6,459$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97035428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe63e…525abacked Yes19c5,263$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick32cpaid+146.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x769c…5c05backed Yes21c5,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0501540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bdc…b5e9backed Yes12c4,158$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+34.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No79c4,100$3,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86110159.4%60 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes21c4,043$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.622846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff8c…a378backed Yes19c3,616$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No79c3,079$2,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.0542043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes22c3,050$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67168026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Yes19c3,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5707929.1%23 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed Yes21c3,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63015944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes21c3,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63019729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9985…a45cbacked Yes16c2,778$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4403450%17 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes18c2,321$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.776240.3%25 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No77c2,280$1,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.346651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No75c2,225$1,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.891,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fc7…8416backed Yes20c2,096$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.11560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No78c2,030$1,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.471,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked No78c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42019239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd980…4772backed Yes17c1,849$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes2c1,600$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3923325.8%60 W · 173 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab82…bfbdbacked Yes7c1,597$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Yes6c1,556$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.912619.2%5 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick15cpaid-18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…3d87backed Yes3c1,553$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1603…301cbacked Yes19c1,315$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No80c1,307$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.591,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf40…7fa4backed Yes8c1,300$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d4e…6e96backed Yes11c1,240$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.66720.9%14 W · 53 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes19c1,166$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.255127.5%14 W · 37 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8f…d351backed Yes13c1,125$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…e6febacked Yes13c1,078$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1455335.8%19 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Yes9c1,077$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.658041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x30d6…8c9dbacked Yes19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes6c1,028$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0126319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35cb…bd5fbacked Yes20c1,002$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.49520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick8cpaid+105.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002030%6 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick17cpaid+51.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No79c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21011645.7%53 W · 63 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde6c…c5d8backed Yes21c999.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2107844.9%35 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes21c999.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a9c…c9aebacked No77c995.38$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.942466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+64.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes21c993.65$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.6737054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes20c989.4$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.884020%8 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Yes21c979.05$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.63941%16 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes11c953.03$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10545224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Yes15c912.5$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1332934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes22c909.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015757.3%90 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes23c869.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017234.9%60 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc57a…fe9fbacked Yes21c854.95$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.143040%12 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+18.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Yes7c835.61$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4913829%40 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfa79…f645backed Yes24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003923.1%9 W · 30 L-6.2wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-47.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes26c761.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011942%50 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9148…2d9ebacked Yes13c757.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004134.1%14 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes19c729.21$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.5520027%54 W · 146 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x75ff…9aaabacked Yes17c704.55$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No78c699.97$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.997853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes24c697$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.5124146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No76c690.44$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.852,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd30…fed8backed Yes7c685.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe724…1938backed Yes19c668.42$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12711044.5%49 W · 61 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No76c664.43$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.4633057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes20c660$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1328927%24 W · 65 L-11.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-32.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x225e…ce2abacked Yes19c638.65$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6452…30a1backed No80c627.5$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.54731.9%15 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4ba3…317ebacked Yes9c623.61$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes21c621.2$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.4322229.3%65 W · 157 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1022…cfeebacked No80c591.45$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.821546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df1…2da7backed Yes19c583.9$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.78933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…f3a4backed Yes22c554.55$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5a…0ea1backed Yes22c552.41$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.71633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-42%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes21c537.16$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.6532453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006240.3%25 W · 37 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed No79c525.75$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.3314128.4%40 W · 101 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8479…37f8backed Yes20c502.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003531.4%11 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+44.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x28da…c39bbacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x832b…5c91backed Yes21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052520%5 W · 20 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-50.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956233.9%21 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes26c492.31$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12825225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x275f…39d9backed No58c491$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.272040%8 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+68.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Yes24c490$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes21c480$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.812060%72 W · 48 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae47…eba4backed Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Yes21c476.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.99329.4%3 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x63e1…2ebabacked Yes7c470.76$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes17c457.58$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806420.3%13 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+55.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaa9…c084backed Yes21c447$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.87633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+111.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes22c427$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9430143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce27…8a7dbacked Yes4c425$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173129%9 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf17…9c04backed Yes10c422$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.546728.4%19 W · 48 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes19c421.05$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8024630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes24c420$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.823531.1%73 W · 162 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f5d…1a81backed Yes20c414.85$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No80c410.81$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.0627948%134 W · 145 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60d1…0c8fbacked Yes22c409.62$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1212042.5%51 W · 69 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.