TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$156,342
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$153,586

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,342 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No78c22,145$17,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,860.122,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes22c13,821$3,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,055.222,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No77c10,388$7,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,389.2410057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed07…886abacked No70c10,000$7,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,955.131758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes22c8,202$1,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,77135428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No78c6,336$4,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.839856.1%55 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes23c5,000$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1509347.3%44 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes13c4,344$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.316,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Yes23c4,325$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.53933.3%13 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes15c3,501$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.951,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes22c3,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67019735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes26c2,826$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.5911446.5%53 W · 61 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f38…d5bebacked Yes4c2,667$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes22c2,500$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55072249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe49…9c28backed No77c2,466$1,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.281866.7%12 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d7…45f2backed Yes19c2,400$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fba…92e7backed Yes11c2,200$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2482623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x039b…7007backed Yes24c2,083$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5cd…05f7backed Yes24c2,083$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick26cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7028…e0e9backed Yes23c1,789$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.541723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Yes24c1,657$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008448.8%41 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes22c1,500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes22c1,414$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.5210626.4%28 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a7c…eab7backed No77c1,247$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.85650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-32%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes22c1,219$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.1821253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No76c1,100$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.983971.8%28 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked No74c1,095$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.6124146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No76c1,079$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.041,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec9a…ad34backed Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb5…7349backed Yes23c990.96$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.922548%12 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…e6febacked Yes21c870.85$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805335.8%19 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes19c837$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.034129.3%12 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick29cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcf1…e06bbacked Yes29c834.41$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.9830%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes23c771$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.3310246.1%47 W · 55 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59a1…7c0ebacked No78c764.1$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes26c743.5$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.8814128.4%40 W · 101 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0bc…b904backed Yes29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fc7…8416backed No75c659.99$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x095f…c96ebacked Yes9c634$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.06714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes23c613.6$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14045224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No79c603.17$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.4582763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Yes23c599.98$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13850%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes22c558$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.761,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No76c556.15$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.3549753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked No74c554$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8516548.5%80 W · 85 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8479…37f8backed Yes19c517.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003531.4%11 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+44.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37eb…6bf7backed No77c510.68$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.461833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes24c484.32$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.919625%24 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No77c472.41$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11125530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes30c450$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13523632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019426.3%51 W · 143 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed No76c416.66$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1007851.3%40 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x624b…6190backed Yes25c409.67$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed No77c389.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6113565.2%88 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb18…d006backed Yes24c378.93$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.67933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+130.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked No76c366.77$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.363360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb49…43febacked Yes28c357$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.967963.3%50 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a53…8c81backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59a6…6987backed Yes25c332.17$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d89…340cbacked Yes25c312.86$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.021566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No77c307.56$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6641344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes23c300.01$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6932453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6930050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No75c288.71$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.2261143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes19c278.37$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.898927%24 W · 65 L-11.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-32.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x8ec2…00f6backed Yes24c270.83$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651540%6 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2668…2c56backed Yes23c270.61$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.241010%1 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick27cpaid-75.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes19c259$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2167042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Yes29c240.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704535.6%16 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Yes26c230.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed No78c218.45$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7120246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes19c210.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406420.3%13 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+55.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf232…4fc6backed No71c210$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.95865.5%38 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No74c202.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7214975.8%113 W · 36 L+26.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+38.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3827227.9%76 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66c0…42b5backed Yes23c199.98$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes16c194.68$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.384,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x263f…c744backed Yes26c192.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502552%13 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked Yes24c180$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.21662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9db…6e2abacked Yes24c179.17$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes22c178.9$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9952454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9de…b193backed Yes15c176.84$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.245831%18 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed Yes19c174.79$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.21728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab85…81e6backed No77c172.13$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.59933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-43.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed No77c170$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.12259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75e8…eb8cbacked Yes25c169.6$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404533.3%15 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes23c166.66$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.822229.3%65 W · 157 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked Yes24c161.29$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.713040%12 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Yes19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304938.8%19 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c8e…cebfbacked Yes23c134.78$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314827.1%13 W · 35 L-6.6wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-26.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5eac…525ebacked Yes24c133.33$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Yes24c126.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.31936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe809…bd31backed Yes24c125.64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.15425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes23c125$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2521143.1%91 W · 120 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b0…58bebacked Yes18c116.67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3b…f1c5backed Yes23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252429.2%7 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf07…5129backed Yes23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255022%11 W · 39 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6af0…a676backed Yes23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.