TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc9de…b193

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
126
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Middle East, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT5831%18 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$197
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$276.04
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$49.68
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.3
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$464.89
Will Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$210.39
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.07
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.11
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.73
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.94
Will Southampton FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.77
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+772.9%+$700.32
Will Port Vale FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.99
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.04
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$142
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$81.69
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$235
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$62.57
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$369.02
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$300.4
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT2227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.44
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.73
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 DR Congo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.14
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$22.53
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+826.4%+$132.22
Cabo Verde leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Portugal leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.6
Will Serbia win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$94.58
Will Ghana win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.3
Will Colombia win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Armenia win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.81
Will Georgia win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+91.4%+$210.32
Will Lithuania win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Belgium win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+167.8%+$251.74
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Japan win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+169.8%+$169.81
Will England win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 22 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$677Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+76.6%+$518.64
Trump removed via 25th Amendment in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.82
Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.05
Trump out as President in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53.79
Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for 15 seconds or more on November 21 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Trump resign today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.38
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$60.27
50% tariff goes into effect on EU by July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
US military action against Iran by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.29
Will Donald Trump or Elon Musk Say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during the press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Donald Trump or Elon Musk Say "White Genocide" during the press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick24cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-45.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+164.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+270.4%+$811.11
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$646Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+58.8%+$379.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+96.1%+$240.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Kordabacked Sebastian Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$24.43
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+71.9%+$179.82
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$120
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Sep 10, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+192.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+192.6%+$161.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$86.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$22.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.