TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Draw at halftime?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$211,687
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$251,150

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,687 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No46c37,605$17,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,204.873,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No55c32,931$17,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,968.172,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes43c31,808$13,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,209.764,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes43c9,378$3,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,379.848,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No4c6,941$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.3265737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes21c6,044$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,757.142,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x722b…c68bbacked Yes80c3,796$3,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.781747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No78c3,610$2,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,813.1365651.7%339 W · 317 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3a…55babacked No79c3,580$2,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,828.215044%66 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Yes70c2,998$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.8620547.3%97 W · 108 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes80c2,646$2,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.942,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked Yes57c2,577$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.382763%17 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No78c2,386$1,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,863.021,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x654a…cc32backed Yes43c2,195$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2414429.5%13 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick32cpaid+10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a98…1b92backed No58c2,009$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.2811249.1%55 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes21c1,955$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,543.523,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae5a…6746backed Yes21c1,846$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,458.081070%7 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+197.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No39c1,844$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.9637644.9%169 W · 207 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5eb…93bfbacked Yes55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.181844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes46c1,720$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.332,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6567…c807backed Yes31c1,515$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.4411942%50 W · 69 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No5c1,500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8019939.7%79 W · 120 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes24c1,274$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.131,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes21c1,190$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.11,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bba…d7b8backed Yes26c1,154$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.854535.6%16 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes23c974.99$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.7478317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No78c898.1$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.32,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No79c800$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6321,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Yes21c799.99$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.9916935.5%60 W · 109 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes24c668.42$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.691,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes54c633.63$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.6315747.1%74 W · 83 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84e0…e90dbacked Yes50c612.36$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.183435.3%12 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes21c563$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.773,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26eb…c940backed No4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-70.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40052522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b0d…07acbacked Yes21c476.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.191838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No57c471.06$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.772,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No79c462.47$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.272,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No34c446.2$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.4848438.2%185 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Yes48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6712848.4%62 W · 66 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Yes35c416.63$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.4569744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes76c415.09$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.574,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa855…3a4ebacked Yes54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.375532.7%18 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes22c366.24$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.211,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda6…84c5backed No53c350$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.52347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed Yes22c340.91$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.9135614.3%51 W · 305 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x866c…19c0backed Yes73c330.96$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.9724849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No74c321$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.622,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked No35c299.02$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5898134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No77c293$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.928554.4%155 W · 130 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Yes65c264.72$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.655442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8818…fc42backed Yes58c258.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.622927.6%8 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes42c250$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14558642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1798…3c1cbacked Yes21c238.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.19127.5%25 W · 66 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked Yes31c235.71$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.7119957.3%114 W · 85 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84bc…4aadbacked Yes48c233.33$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.334940.8%20 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…3a98backed Yes22c227$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.0616425.6%42 W · 122 L-10.6wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…95dabacked Yes48c205.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.86933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-43.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec83…7014backed Yes22c202$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.5615447.4%73 W · 81 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab90…e314backed Yes21c200.35$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.132653.8%14 W · 12 L+4.8wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+147.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7615646.2%72 W · 84 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14053436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x355f…1847backed Yes77c181.82$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8210543.8%46 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Yes64c179.47$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4752441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60f1…dc7cbacked Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5718441.8%77 W · 107 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No47c176.06$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.272,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No78c150$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.728256.7%160 W · 122 L-0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7736…6f6abacked Yes67c149.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.74928.6%14 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc037…c387backed Yes21c142.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.864639.1%18 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed No26c135.6$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3534924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e60…536bbacked Yes55c128.69$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.916753.7%36 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes31c128.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2454917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9d6…910dbacked Yes37c127.02$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.021752.9%9 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.23per pick30cpaid+219.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Yes36c122.1$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8578234.3%268 W · 514 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bb6…7319backed Yes51c118$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582540%10 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27ab…e521backed No77c115$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8912150.4%61 W · 60 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x794c…0238backed Yes27c111.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.111656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+38.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No80c105.63$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.52,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1853…17bebacked Yes56c104.86$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.142744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes25c104$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7863035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes29c103.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4537320.9%78 W · 295 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf509…86dcbacked Yes61c101.64$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.647342.5%31 W · 42 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa40…9e37backed No75c101.29$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8822247.7%106 W · 116 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ad…6a6bbacked Yes26c101$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.743548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa09a…5cb8backed No75c101$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7517356.1%97 W · 76 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3409…6839backed Yes22c101$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.785048%24 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa10…8f6bbacked Yes21c100.95$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.751833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a9b…44ccbacked Yes60c100.62$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.25862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…44c1backed Yes24c100$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769839.8%39 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc808…fffebacked Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801560%9 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+52.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e50…0d32backed Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8010934.9%38 W · 71 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1abe…f19fbacked No75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7522931%71 W · 158 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4617…af74backed Yes21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick40cpaid+123%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x09fe…76eebacked No79c98.45$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7817856.2%100 W · 78 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d7d…10fcbacked No62c93$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.215657.1%32 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe46e…c07dbacked Yes54c89.85$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.332937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55bb…0513backed Yes61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.97450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc30d…c27ebacked Yes37c81.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0811948.7%58 W · 61 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes48c79.17$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1745248.9%221 W · 231 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed No78c75$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7992038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.