Fifa International · resolved market
Spain leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ee48b3992c32a48a8858c9563b68790210318f147f2c18f4eea27e4c18201ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $962,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,087,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $962,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 583 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 181,400$86,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,866.24 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 25c | 139,410$35,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,357.68 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 66c | 127,809$84,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,826.51 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 75c | 49,694$37,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,453.53 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 40c | 46,513$18,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,419.94 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920f…10d5backed Yes | 0c | 41,000$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 74c | 23,444$17,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,315.14 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 58c | 21,882$12,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,799.03 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 56c | 21,672$12,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,051.07 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 54c | 20,990$11,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,336.47 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 75c | 20,000$15,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,052.9 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 60c | 16,192$9,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,665.9 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 75c | 16,170$12,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,132.77 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 24c | 15,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,399.96 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed No | 26c | 14,269$3,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,586.97 | 93 | 23.7%22 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 24c | 12,614$3,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,586.36 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 42c | 10,833$4,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,231.92 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 25c | 10,731$2,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,048.14 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 25c | 10,458$2,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,877.19 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 76c | 10,437$7,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,903.88 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 59c | 10,014$5,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,912.69 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked No | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,699.85 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed Yes | 73c | 9,865$7,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,250 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Yes | 76c | 9,555$7,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,261.8 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 25c | 8,729$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,588.37 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…910dbacked No | 33c | 8,658$2,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,834.13 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 30cpaid | +219.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 25c | 7,758$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,818.2 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c11…e77abacked Yes | 77c | 6,497$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…50bcbacked Yes | 31c | 6,286$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952.72 | 71 | 9.9%7 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed No | 45c | 6,177$2,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,413.06 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 57c | 6,117$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,509.56 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Yes | 76c | 5,557$4,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,210 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed No | 25c | 5,555$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,166.17 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked No | 32c | 5,130$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,493.74 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 25c | 5,007$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,756.52 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8762…cc57backed Yes | 73c | 4,841$3,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,552.86 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 41c | 4,589$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.91 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 25c | 4,556$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,417 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd32f…4f71backed Yes | 75c | 3,933$2,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.42 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c0…9519backed Yes | 63c | 3,598$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Yes | 72c | 3,274$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,344.23 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68b…b796backed Yes | 75c | 2,897$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.08 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 36c | 2,690$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.29 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 25c | 2,632$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a6…310ebacked Yes | 72c | 2,576$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 55c | 2,406$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.92 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 25c | 2,386$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.44 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 24c | 2,352$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.95 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 23c | 2,280$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.6 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1926…83ccbacked Yes | 52c | 2,186$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.2 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Yes | 48c | 2,068$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.64 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc0…dcd8backed Yes | 71c | 2,033$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.6 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +8.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…d383backed No | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.97 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 26c | 1,965$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.92 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea9…9d42backed Yes | 77c | 1,949$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…4a2ebacked Yes | 77c | 1,948$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 62c | 1,844$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.81 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…45c0backed Yes | 67c | 1,801$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 60c | 1,736$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.24 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 50c | 1,720$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.28 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f41…e6aebacked No | 24c | 1,690$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.15 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed No | 28c | 1,624$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.4 | 232 | 36.6%85 W · 147 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 25c | 1,600$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 25c | 1,600$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…5e05backed No | 24c | 1,600$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd64d…28a6backed Yes | 62c | 1,586$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.6 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d6…8b36backed Yes | 69c | 1,500$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…92b8backed Yes | 71c | 1,462$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.11 | 144 | 61.1%88 W · 56 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…18cdbacked Yes | 71c | 1,401$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.74 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866c…19c0backed No | 45c | 1,364$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.95 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 54c | 1,350$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.28 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 25c | 1,258$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.32 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 24c | 1,206$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.69 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed Yes | 44c | 1,199$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.81 | 138 | 30.4%42 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 24c | 1,136$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.25 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9a…3f4bbacked No | 25c | 1,120$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8783…db0cbacked Yes | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 24c | 1,107$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.14 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…29a4backed Yes | 75c | 1,061$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed No | 33c | 1,058$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.29 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc217…fd5abacked Yes | 76c | 1,053$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 24c | 1,041$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.22 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 75c | 1,017$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.75 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e6…82debacked Yes | 75c | 1,011$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.27 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 60c | 1,010$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.6 | 561 | 51%286 W · 275 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5f…c63dbacked Yes | 73c | 1,006$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Yes | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed Yes | 66c | 1,000$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.49 | 178 | 28.1%50 W · 128 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6347…4390backed Yes | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Yes | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 226 | 43.4%98 W · 128 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.99 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.99 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ec…267dbacked Yes | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 278 | 45.7%127 W · 151 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes | 76c | 999.98$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.99 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684e…2d3abacked Yes | 73c | 987.97$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed No | 24c | 978.74$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.84 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab97…6b5ebacked Yes | 75c | 934.05$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.54 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain leading at halftime?this page
- Cabo Verde leading at halftime?No won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.