TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2f63…f247

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
480
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Valorant, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 54 out of 100; worst AI at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT15052.7%79 W · 71 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 150 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.39
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,559Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,559.36
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.42
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Misa Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group Dbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$514Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+117.3%+$602.49
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$678Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+227.9%+$1,544.29
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Nemiga (+3.5)backed Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$348.45
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.5
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Nemiga (+3.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$578Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$473.05
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$671Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$539.3
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$221.57
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+3.5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$998Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+91.2%+$910.45
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$878Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$233.46
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,136.98
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.22
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,067Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,066.56
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial (BO5) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$572Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$468.13
Counter-Strike: Mindfreak vs Ground Zero (BO3) - HyperX & Intel Nationals Playoffsbacked Mindfreak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.89
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$475.6
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs ENCE (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group Cbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.68
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs ENCE - Map 2 Winnerbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.94
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs ENCE - Map 1 Winnerbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$563Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$562.92
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Brute - Map 2 Winnerbacked Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$566Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+169.6%+$960.55
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs SPARTA - Map 2 Winnerbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$42.7
Showing 25 of 150 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT12325.2%31 W · 92 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 123 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,318.15
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+108.4%+$289.75
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,268Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$1,618.92
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 2 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,555Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$20,665.42
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 3 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.04
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.85
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$3,140.81
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$445.87
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,778Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,778.22
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.88
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,112.31
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.68
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.29
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,267Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,266.51
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$871Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$871.36
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$101.5
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$35.82
Colombia leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,805Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,600.32
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Ghana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.3
Norway leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,096Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,096.16
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.62
Spread: France (-2.5)backed Iraq · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,467Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,467.46
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,775Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+104.4%+$1,853.75
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.32
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$417.39
Showing 25 of 123 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT8650%43 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 86 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$655Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$655.49
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$44.74
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,186Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+91.7%+$1,087.24
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$822Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$714.14
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+138.9%+$438.95
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$395.4
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.03
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.99
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$91.41
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,196Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+255.3%+$3,053.41
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$471.98
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,002Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.8%+$1,280.89
Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9.9
Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+90%+$80.31
Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.51
Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+151.2%+$29.32
Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.96
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.5
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,039Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$336.42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$584.55
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.94
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,464Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,464.1
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,164.06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$885Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$884.87
Showing 25 of 86 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT5151%26 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+220.5%+$386.15
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$802.19
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs GIANTX - Map 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+106.6%+$228.81
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-3.5) vs FunPlus Phoenix (+3.5)backed FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.06
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.3
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$817Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$816.97
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: All Gamers (-2.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+2.5)backed Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+82%+$252.01
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$810Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$809.97
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Dragon Ranger Gaming (-2.5) vs Wolves Esports (+2.5)backed Wolves Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$318.19
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Wolves Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$61.5
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs MIBR (+2.5)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$13.44
Valorant: NRG vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$51.42
Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,467Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,866.48
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$690.42
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Global Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$649Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$648.69
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$976Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$976.04
Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$452.68
Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,437Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,436.94
Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,311Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$911.02
Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$152.02
Valorant: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$778Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$777.7
Valorant: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$591Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$964.09
Valorant: All Gamers vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$359.02
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs ZETA DIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked ZETA DIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs All Gamers - Map 2 Winnerbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$218.44
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+87.4%+$15.39
Team Liquid to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.97
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+217%+$2,691.65
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$47.28
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$518.24
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,333.2
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+92.5%+$391.21
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$33.92
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 4 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,749Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,749.42
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,127.46
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,412Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+87.4%+$1,233.02
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,055Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$388.76
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,730Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,729.96
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.45
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$711Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$399.96
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$82.14
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$613Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$613.42
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Abacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.25
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffsbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$87
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winnerbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+123.7%+$235.53
All 20 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-57.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+209.3%+$391.88
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $185B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$666Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$412.18
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,726Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$932.12
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$3,751Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,751.14
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$485.35
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.37
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.96
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,465Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,464.7
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.02
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,248.12
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$909Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$908.78
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.3
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,384Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,383.84
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$570.78
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.1
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $172.5B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$149.02
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$577Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$576.66
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.4
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.88
All 19 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,401Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,400.91
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,576Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,575.95
LoL: Ei Nerd Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked Ei Nerd Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$336.03
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+212.3%+$758.32
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$666Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$444
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,928Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,928.37
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,046Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,101.74
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$765Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$765.25
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$322.19
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$899.35
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,935Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,935.12
LoL: Bohemian Guardians vs BRUTE (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Seasonbacked Bohemian Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.93
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.5
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,420Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$5,580
All 14 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3T yuan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.84
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2T yuan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$930Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$930.49
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2.5T yuan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+121%+$17.62
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 1T yuan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.07
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.4
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.89
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$622.16
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$192.07
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$414.75
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$106.56
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$6,503Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,503.07
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$637Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$637.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto Tempobacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$19.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$889Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$222.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$598.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.