Exact Score: Any Other Score?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53eedb207bd0ce310b19fa66d50f873a2275bfd3e3a3d5e027a95d26a99953ea

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $124,917
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $115,915

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,917 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	9c	22,231$2,079 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,078.88	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Yes	8c	6,000$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495	380	26.6%101 W · 279 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Yes	10c	3,077$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.33	224	37.1%83 W · 141 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07ce…db5cbacked Yes	10c	2,989$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.94	72	30.6%22 W · 50 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17d6…f1e2backed Yes	8c	2,694$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.95	49	30.6%15 W · 34 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Yes	8c	2,500$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	228	13.2%30 W · 198 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7aae…3132backed Yes	8c	2,179$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.49	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes	3c	2,145$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.25	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes	10c	2,023$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.89	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe6e…074ebacked Yes	8c	2,000$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158	91	11%10 W · 81 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes	8c	1,361$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.56	215	42.8%92 W · 123 L	+10.4wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes	9c	1,250$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.05	189	29.1%55 W · 134 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc32a…f7ebbacked Yes	9c	1,250$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	121	9.1%11 W · 110 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4926…e7cdbacked Yes	1c	1,196$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.08	59	0%0 W · 59 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes	8c	1,154$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	285	28.8%82 W · 203 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe2…5b75backed Yes	9c	1,151$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	42	9.5%4 W · 38 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-59.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58a4…4cf7backed Yes	9c	1,144$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf87c…8c97backed Yes	9c	1,140$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	161	23.6%38 W · 123 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb72d…f11ebacked Yes	9c	1,136$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	172	23.3%40 W · 132 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed Yes	7c	1,111$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.88	123	25.2%31 W · 92 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Yes	1c	1,096$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.16	536	29.9%160 W · 376 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68ef…89cabacked Yes	9c	1,064$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	281	43.8%123 W · 158 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc220…5012backed Yes	9c	1,048$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.34	296	36.1%107 W · 189 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes	9c	1,036$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.36	471	27.8%131 W · 340 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd79c…9f33backed Yes	9c	1,017$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.48	53	20.8%11 W · 42 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes	7c	1,011$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.75	262	16%42 W · 220 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+35%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdf0…be9cbacked Yes	10c	970.87$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7195…f4eebacked Yes	8c	900.37$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	106	17.9%19 W · 87 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfd…038bbacked Yes	8c	733.52$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.86	364	23.6%86 W · 278 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5324…cc22backed Yes	14c	730.49$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.26	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93b7…cc8ebacked Yes	9c	711.29$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.96	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-59.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cab…4880backed Yes	9c	704.59$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3db…0f98backed Yes	8c	657.89$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	190	20.5%39 W · 151 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdfd2…e6d0backed Yes	8c	652.9$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	+99.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed Yes	8c	625$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	356	14.3%51 W · 305 L	-14.3wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a1f…a962backed Yes	8c	625$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	103	50.5%52 W · 51 L	+4.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x387a…8eaebacked Yes	8c	600$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.8	329	28%92 W · 237 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes	8c	595.24$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	549	17.9%98 W · 451 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe275…f00cbacked Yes	9c	581.4$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	8cpaid	+127.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9733…22f0backed Yes	8c	574.97$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.67	27	0%0 W · 27 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes	9c	559.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	502	14.5%73 W · 429 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fbc…4b80backed Yes	9c	555.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…ec91backed Yes	8c	553.46$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.17	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x118c…ae45backed Yes	6c	535.57$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	251	15.5%39 W · 212 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x752e…b1b3backed Yes	9c	528.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	92	31.5%29 W · 63 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed Yes	9c	488.49$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.02	112	18.8%21 W · 91 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	8c	469.33$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.96	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dfe…068fbacked Yes	9c	465.12$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	55	14.5%8 W · 47 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x280e…b409backed Yes	9c	464.05$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	128	18%23 W · 105 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Yes	7c	371.42$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	211	43.1%91 W · 120 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf29b…dd1abacked Yes	9c	348.84$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	37	10.8%4 W · 33 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x402c…e2e7backed Yes	9c	333.33$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	63	47.6%30 W · 33 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed Yes	9c	315.79$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x877b…4f25backed Yes	10c	313.6$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	58	22.4%13 W · 45 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x93e2…1b8cbacked Yes	5c	312.28$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	67	55.2%37 W · 30 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf408…afe0backed Yes	9c	300$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.2	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	+7.0wins	+0.15per pick	34cpaid	+94.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x40ea…4949backed Yes	8c	297.62$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	-2.7wins	-0.09per pick	31cpaid	-32%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes	9c	291.41$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	373	23.1%86 W · 287 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes	10c	280$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.82	129	14.7%19 W · 110 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes	9c	276.58$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	356	21.9%78 W · 278 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ba…e2b1backed Yes	9c	263.16$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	126	46.8%59 W · 67 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d86…9241backed Yes	8c	256.41$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	120	20.8%25 W · 95 L	-6.0wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-31%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92f8…6956backed Yes	8c	256.41$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fba…700cbacked Yes	8c	253.16$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5daa…d619backed Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	188	29.3%55 W · 133 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb341…bb28backed Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.75	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a2f…5468backed Yes	10c	245.1$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	157	8.9%14 W · 143 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes	8c	241$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	315	20.3%64 W · 251 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0763…6d79backed Yes	15c	233.67$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	40	10%4 W · 36 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x593a…b9f4backed Yes	9c	227.27$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	77	27.3%21 W · 56 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x926f…f72ebacked Yes	13c	225.29$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	250	18.4%46 W · 204 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00dd…5215backed Yes	9c	224.72$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	136	15.4%21 W · 115 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+73.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f83…8568backed Yes	7c	222.95$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.6	40	7.5%3 W · 37 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1abc…45e7backed Yes	5c	212$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.71	357	34.5%123 W · 234 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4912…eab8backed Yes	11c	185.19$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Yes	11c	174.97$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	226	22.1%50 W · 176 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+48.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f20…186bbacked Yes	12c	167.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.86	124	17.7%22 W · 102 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb553…457bbacked Yes	9c	166.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	142	16.2%23 W · 119 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed Yes	8c	150$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	99	19.2%19 W · 80 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3df9…a8ecbacked Yes	8c	149.62$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.67	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3020…d641backed Yes	9c	123.97$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+3.1wins	+0.16per pick	37cpaid	+32.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f4c…f3bfbacked Yes	9c	119.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.56	164	18.9%31 W · 133 L	-7.4wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bf4…55f5backed Yes	9c	115.33$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.61	45	33.3%15 W · 30 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee8f…819dbacked Yes	23c	100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb39e…5182backed Yes	12c	91.75$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	46	28.3%13 W · 33 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x38d4…4a36backed Yes	13c	80$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.10per pick	15cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a83…920dbacked No	78c	63.35$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.7	114	40.4%46 W · 68 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event