TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Japan?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$237,955
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$237,247

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,955 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes5c49,578$2,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,542.428,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes6c12,907$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.782,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43e3…43f7backed Yes5c10,447$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023230.2%70 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes5c8,785$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.3256410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc54…4582backed Yes5c6,617$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016319.6%32 W · 131 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes6c4,906$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.992,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5823…8782backed Yes5c3,704$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.59826.1%5 W · 77 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-55.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes5c3,064$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.891,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes5c2,777$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.5236123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed Yes5c1,997$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8911218.8%21 W · 91 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes5c1,828$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.46729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes5c1,597$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.371,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc92a…169cbacked Yes3c1,400$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.86142.6%26 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d8…100dbacked Yes5c1,285$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6032739.1%128 W · 199 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebe6…4fd0backed Yes9c1,269$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.954032.5%13 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5123…2f31backed Yes6c1,144$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3617414.4%25 W · 149 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes5c1,132$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0728…40f4backed Yes5c1,111$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016225.9%42 W · 120 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc74b…4e15backed Yes5c1,014$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507613.2%10 W · 66 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Yes5c940$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9492732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68ef…89cabacked Yes6c909.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028143.8%123 W · 158 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes6c882.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cc9…47f2backed Yes5c754.72$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4024226.4%64 W · 178 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a0f…a1acbacked Yes4c666.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305520%11 W · 44 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid+14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf29b…dd1abacked Yes5c638.3$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303710.8%4 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick11cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1557…3e6cbacked Yes5c588.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303941%16 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+45.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x118c…ae45backed Yes4c577.78$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2625115.5%39 W · 212 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x877b…4f25backed Yes5c566.04$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305822.4%13 W · 45 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes5c561.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028716.4%47 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfd…038bbacked Yes6c499.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.236423.6%86 W · 278 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0a1…3b09backed Yes5c470.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25449.1%4 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick6cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes5c454.55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2535621.9%78 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78a2…9d46backed Yes4c444.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204216.7%7 W · 35 L-5.7wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-48%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x3ef5…ea5cbacked Yes4c429.69$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.34955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+39.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf408…afe0backed Yes5c427.62$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.814748.9%23 W · 24 L+7.0wins+0.15per pick34cpaid+94.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6eb7…6994backed Yes5c425.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40ea…4949backed Yes5c425.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203122.6%7 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-32%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes4c420.61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.242,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes5c403.59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9887938.6%339 W · 540 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x593a…b9f4backed Yes5c384.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207727.3%21 W · 56 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0553…e967backed Yes6c357.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012023.3%28 W · 92 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes4c340.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee4a…ad4cbacked Yes4c333.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159112.1%11 W · 80 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f92…c27cbacked Yes4c333.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb931…b2a9backed Yes5c332.3$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3db…0f98backed Yes5c319.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1519020.5%39 W · 151 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaa0…17e8backed Yes5c311.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144314%6 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-72.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc60…95dfbacked Yes6c302.47$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.24per pick38cpaid+80.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes5c292.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.461,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5648…a6c4backed Yes5c272.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152078.2%17 W · 190 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6243…0e83backed Yes6c267.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159439.4%37 W · 57 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Yes5c256$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9434231.3%107 W · 235 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7de3…0703backed Yes5c218.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.731921.1%4 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d36…9c54backed Yes5c217.39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012517.6%22 W · 103 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01e5…9342backed Yes5c216.88$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.414656.5%26 W · 20 L+6.3wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+34.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf9fd…b710backed Yes6c205.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5333040%132 W · 198 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda64…208fbacked Yes6c201.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.66825%2 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+89.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df2…f9e3backed Yes5c196.56$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103040%12 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Yes5c190.62$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.091,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Yes5c187.71$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2198439.2%386 W · 598 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x119d…bec3backed Yes8c125.44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020432.8%67 W · 137 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.