Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Japan?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x906bb19a2d2db6aec7fbf0ef66bf99c1a156993f2e90b0c5e79f1c388d5728b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $237,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $237,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 5c | 49,578$2,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,542.42 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 6c | 12,907$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.78 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e3…43f7backed Yes | 5c | 10,447$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 232 | 30.2%70 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 5c | 8,785$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.32 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc54…4582backed Yes | 5c | 6,617$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 163 | 19.6%32 W · 131 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 6c | 4,906$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.99 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5823…8782backed Yes | 5c | 3,704$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.59 | 82 | 6.1%5 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 5c | 3,064$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.89 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 5c | 2,777$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.52 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…7d41backed Yes | 5c | 1,997$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.89 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 5c | 1,828$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,597$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.37 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92a…169cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,400$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…100dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,285$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…4fd0backed Yes | 9c | 1,269$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.95 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Yes | 6c | 1,144$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.36 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,132$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0728…40f4backed Yes | 5c | 1,111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 162 | 25.9%42 W · 120 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc74b…4e15backed Yes | 5c | 1,014$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 5c | 940$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ef…89cabacked Yes | 6c | 909.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 281 | 43.8%123 W · 158 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 6c | 882.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc9…47f2backed Yes | 5c | 754.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 242 | 26.4%64 W · 178 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0f…a1acbacked Yes | 4c | 666.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd1abacked Yes | 5c | 638.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1557…3e6cbacked Yes | 5c | 588.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…ae45backed Yes | 4c | 577.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 251 | 15.5%39 W · 212 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877b…4f25backed Yes | 5c | 566.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes | 5c | 561.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 287 | 16.4%47 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked Yes | 6c | 499.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…3b09backed Yes | 5c | 470.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes | 5c | 454.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 356 | 21.9%78 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…9d46backed Yes | 4c | 444.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -48%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef5…ea5cbacked Yes | 4c | 429.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf408…afe0backed Yes | 5c | 427.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +7.0wins | +0.15per pick | 34cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…6994backed Yes | 5c | 425.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ea…4949backed Yes | 5c | 425.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 4c | 420.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 5c | 403.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x593a…b9f4backed Yes | 5c | 384.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0553…e967backed Yes | 6c | 357.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 23.3%28 W · 92 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 4c | 340.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4a…ad4cbacked Yes | 4c | 333.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 12.1%11 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f92…c27cbacked Yes | 4c | 333.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb931…b2a9backed Yes | 5c | 332.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…0f98backed Yes | 5c | 319.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 190 | 20.5%39 W · 151 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa0…17e8backed Yes | 5c | 311.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…95dfbacked Yes | 6c | 302.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes | 5c | 292.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5648…a6c4backed Yes | 5c | 272.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6243…0e83backed Yes | 6c | 267.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Yes | 5c | 256$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 342 | 31.3%107 W · 235 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…0703backed Yes | 5c | 218.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d36…9c54backed Yes | 5c | 217.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e5…9342backed Yes | 5c | 216.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fd…b710backed Yes | 6c | 205.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 330 | 40%132 W · 198 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…208fbacked Yes | 6c | 201.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df2…f9e3backed Yes | 5c | 196.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 5c | 190.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Yes | 5c | 187.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 984 | 39.2%386 W · 598 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x119d…bec3backed Yes | 8c | 125.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 204 | 32.8%67 W · 137 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Japan?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?Yes won
- Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Japan?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.