Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Japan?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1514ba022ea75bca868bf49ebf47178f3b2c6a52fe9282cc0e6dfbc88635866a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $443,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $450,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $443,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 1c | 100,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 55,954$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.97 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e3…43f7backed Yes | 1c | 21,664$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 232 | 30.2%70 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216c…33e5backed Yes | 1c | 11,853$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb49…eb31backed Yes | 1c | 10,677$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…4073backed Yes | 1c | 9,931$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.88 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…1a87backed Yes | 2c | 7,521$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.82 | 60 | 6.7%4 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65d9…7875backed Yes | 1c | 6,852$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Yes | 1c | 6,066$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,519$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2824…4aacbacked Yes | 3c | 3,759$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc20e…642abacked Yes | 1c | 2,932$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08d6…2e41backed Yes | 1c | 2,873$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6e…4018backed Yes | 2c | 2,478$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 91 | 14.3%13 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…6337backed Yes | 1c | 2,429$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a56…50c2backed Yes | 2c | 2,400$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 189 | 18.5%35 W · 154 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e11…39d9backed Yes | 1c | 2,286$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6087…61e8backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4926…e7cdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,892$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd45f…c086backed Yes | 3c | 1,865$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 1c | 1,740$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 117 | 24.8%29 W · 88 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,653$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…414ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,628$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 4cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…5032backed Yes | 1c | 1,578$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae3…9534backed Yes | 1c | 1,467$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 7c | 1,407$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…0f47backed Yes | 1c | 1,270$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8733…5460backed Yes | 1c | 1,152$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 84 | 9.5%8 W · 76 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…2819backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…0b41backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 463 | 19.9%92 W · 371 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6f…ddf5backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x362f…3113backed Yes | 2c | 999$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 2c | 994.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac9…92d3backed Yes | 2c | 836.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 226 | 22.1%50 W · 176 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad6…8f97backed Yes | 2c | 827.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b0…588fbacked Yes | 2c | 816.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 213 | 21.1%45 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…19e5backed Yes | 2c | 799.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf406…f305backed Yes | 3c | 717.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3129…22edbacked Yes | 2c | 690.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7903…685bbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53a2…b9a3backed Yes | 2c | 401.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Japan?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?Yes won
- Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Japan?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.