TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Japan?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$967,877
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$896,082

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $967,877 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes5c106,825$5,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,316.868,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Yes5c72,000$3,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,56026320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes5c40,565$2,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,018.011,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ed4…e181backed Yes5c33,325$1,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6597416.2%12 W · 62 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick20cpaid+20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed Yes5c27,137$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.5112325.2%31 W · 92 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7967…f4a0backed Yes5c19,000$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93113118.3%24 W · 107 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfba4…187ebacked Yes5c15,529$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11fd…a851backed Yes5c14,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6303810.5%4 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-66.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x878d…22dfbacked Yes5c11,900$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.41625%4 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+70.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4e2…cac2backed Yes5c10,491$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1e0…206dbacked Yes5c10,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008826.1%23 W · 65 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde0f…ddd3backed Yes11c9,872$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.615743.9%25 W · 32 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+38.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes5c7,197$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.792,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes5c6,904$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.572,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes6c6,792$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4346729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes5c6,680$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.6878317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes5c6,142$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.2756022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16a4…66adbacked Yes5c6,099$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017518.3%32 W · 143 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x500a…6866backed Yes5c6,014$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009341.9%39 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes4c5,670$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.994,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes5c5,670$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.9127520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes5c5,000$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22552522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe785…1ccdbacked Yes5c4,990$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.2215420.8%32 W · 122 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+69.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes3c4,942$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.262,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes5c4,451$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.291,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes5c4,321$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Yes5c4,317$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e95…1776backed Yes5c4,005$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.221567.7%12 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick8cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc656…abbbbacked Yes5c3,872$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.41850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes5c3,787$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015616%25 W · 131 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes5c3,300$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.426216%42 W · 220 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfae3…c20ebacked Yes2c3,009$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.261137.1%8 W · 105 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+90.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9254…3af8backed Yes5c2,945$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017211%19 W · 153 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f0…0cf1backed Yes5c2,540$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201155.2%6 W · 109 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes3c2,334$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8031611.4%36 W · 280 L+0.4wins0.00per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b1…7451backed Yes5c2,130$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.111030%3 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-50.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc20e…642abacked Yes5c2,128$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012345.5%56 W · 67 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02a6…3463backed Yes5c2,128$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011723.1%27 W · 90 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78a4…3727backed Yes7c2,100$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1481241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+41.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e1f…92febacked Yes5c2,083$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003221.9%7 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe708…c3aabacked Yes5c2,083$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004112.2%5 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes5c2,044$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.971,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9706…bc33backed Yes5c2,041$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022626.5%60 W · 166 L+0.9wins0.00per pick26cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x210d…a85cbacked Yes5c2,041$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d64…0b24backed Yes5c2,039$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007816.7%13 W · 65 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ddd…39eebacked Yes5c2,007$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+85.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd753…6053backed Yes5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030219.9%60 W · 242 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x928c…331ebacked Yes6c2,000$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11813322.6%30 W · 103 L+0.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20e7…ba07backed Yes6c1,999$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.93911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Yes5c1,952$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9021226.9%57 W · 155 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8608…8b76backed Yes4c1,836$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2812015%18 W · 102 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8260…a14bbacked Yes5c1,818$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Yes3c1,724$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bff…5c18backed Yes3c1,610$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.321429.4%63 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc6b…8115backed Yes5c1,604$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7722914%32 W · 197 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa5…2aa1backed Yes5c1,600$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+137.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3bc…03efbacked Yes6c1,556$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.958716.1%14 W · 73 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ad9…7e66backed Yes6c1,552$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.97631.6%24 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes5c1,442$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.971,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes3c1,434$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3973626.5%195 W · 541 L-0.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes5c1,432$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes5c1,413$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4733510.1%34 W · 301 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes5c1,397$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3258530.9%181 W · 404 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa553…789dbacked Yes5c1,338$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5419517.9%35 W · 160 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-35.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed Yes5c1,240$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6210929.4%32 W · 77 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4247…421bbacked Yes4c1,206$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.58432.1%27 W · 57 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac8b…30a8backed Yes5c1,200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+64%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadf4…069ebacked Yes5c1,167$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1814323.1%33 W · 110 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3838…f22cbacked Yes8c1,130$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.16303.3%1 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick16cpaid-72.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd69…f53abacked Yes5c1,100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5667.6%5 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-36.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad3f…6657backed Yes4c1,100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.24623.9%11 W · 35 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27ad…6254backed Yes5c1,099$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.465935.6%21 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+34.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x056e…14afbacked Yes5c1,068$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509214.1%13 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c16…04f7backed Yes7c1,067$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8015621.8%34 W · 122 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21e7…4041backed Yes5c1,066$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501266.3%8 W · 118 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-75.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6366…8c41backed Yes5c1,064$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022324.2%54 W · 169 L-13.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf10b…9c50backed Yes5c1,064$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508940.4%36 W · 53 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecc1…1178backed Yes5c1,064$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68ef…89cabacked Yes5c1,043$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028143.8%123 W · 158 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb47…993abacked Yes5c1,042$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010412.5%13 W · 91 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+9.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x58a4…4cf7backed Yes5c1,042$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Yes5c1,042$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…43d3backed Yes5c1,036$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504454.5%24 W · 20 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x07ff…0548backed Yes5c1,020$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504526.7%12 W · 33 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd99c…2efdbacked Yes5c1,020$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015312.4%19 W · 134 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-34%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015150.3%76 W · 75 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f61…8687backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013511.1%15 W · 120 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f1…b052backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015930.2%48 W · 111 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+44.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cf3…43abbacked Yes5c992.75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4519118.8%36 W · 155 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes5c985.51$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4531520.3%64 W · 251 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e80…f46fbacked Yes5c980.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5d0…8011backed Yes5c962.8$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.14220%0 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77a8…a003backed Yes5c962.8$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.147118.3%13 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-53.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5648…a6c4backed Yes5c957.45$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452078.2%17 W · 190 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77f9…655dbacked Yes6c909.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-64.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52c8…9b69backed Yes5c884$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.247321.6%102 W · 371 L-2.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes5c851.85$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4553514.6%78 W · 457 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a1…f99ebacked Yes5c845.35$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.46238.7%2 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick15cpaid-76.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7c4…511bbacked Yes6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502313%3 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8760…a2c6backed Yes5c833.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011421.1%24 W · 90 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.