Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Japan?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd175691cbe5078e11ce7920465d03a7bbddf0ea52029c600b6b09365fad1c90

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $312,066
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $298,149

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $312,066 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	2c	44,747$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$839.87	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11fd…a851backed Yes	2c	21,792$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.46	38	10.5%4 W · 34 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-66.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe275…f1eebacked Yes	2c	10,660$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bca…ca1fbacked Yes	2c	10,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes	1c	10,000$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.95	63	11.1%7 W · 56 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes	1c	7,555$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.03	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Yes	2c	6,500$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.5	228	13.2%30 W · 198 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7195…f4eebacked Yes	2c	6,076$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	106	17.9%19 W · 87 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf346…8232backed Yes	1c	5,830$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.32	255	10.6%27 W · 228 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe10f…1a87backed Yes	2c	4,000$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.33	60	6.7%4 W · 56 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	12cpaid	-75.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb50f…2c5dbacked Yes	2c	4,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	114	43%49 W · 65 L	+5.4wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8733…5460backed Yes	2c	3,504$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	84	9.5%8 W · 76 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecab…e8d4backed Yes	2c	3,188$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.93	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c04…03febacked Yes	2c	3,147$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	50	28%14 W · 36 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617e…79efbacked Yes	2c	3,125$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Yes	3c	3,000$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	98	19.4%19 W · 79 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+146.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…4073backed Yes	2c	2,950$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.3	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Yes	2c	2,580$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	151	50.3%76 W · 75 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8760…a2c6backed Yes	2c	2,353$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	114	21.1%24 W · 90 L	-6.1wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2d8…6e1fbacked Yes	2c	2,276$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	145	31.7%46 W · 99 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+35%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d6e…4018backed Yes	2c	2,258$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.95	91	14.3%13 W · 78 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Yes	2c	2,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	122	27.9%34 W · 88 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf53e…2728backed Yes	1c	2,000$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.36	92	30.4%28 W · 64 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5ed…f2f8backed Yes	2c	1,813$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.3	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	3c	1,589$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	535	14.6%78 W · 457 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e95…1776backed Yes	2c	1,360$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.65	156	7.7%12 W · 144 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd6e…0633backed Yes	2c	1,245$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	-36%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a80…9608backed Yes	2c	1,222$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	110	11.8%13 W · 97 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x257a…b42abacked Yes	3c	1,214$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	165	24.2%40 W · 125 L	-11.2wins	-0.07per pick	31cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x20bc…a3a7backed Yes	2c	1,181$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-2.9wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb39e…5182backed Yes	2c	1,108$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	46	28.3%13 W · 33 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40ea…4949backed Yes	1c	1,060$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	-2.7wins	-0.09per pick	31cpaid	-32%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5aa…5792backed Yes	2c	1,031$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.99	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Yes	3c	1,000$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.64	463	19.9%92 W · 371 L	-8.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e6…1abcbacked Yes	2c	1,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5718…d232backed Yes	3c	1,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	160	13.8%22 W · 138 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes	1c	999$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.79	245	41.2%101 W · 144 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…3769backed Yes	2c	979.17$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	90	41.1%37 W · 53 L	+6.9wins	+0.08per pick	33cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77a8…a003backed Yes	2c	962$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.24	71	18.3%13 W · 58 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes	2c	937.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	502	14.5%73 W · 429 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b5f…7750backed Yes	1c	928.57$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	143	25.9%37 W · 106 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes	2c	889.01$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	626	6.7%42 W · 584 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Yes	2c	882.35$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	291	38.8%113 W · 178 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+40.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3923…8939backed Yes	2c	843.25$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-72.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a7d…d997backed Yes	3c	782.6$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	97	37.1%36 W · 61 L	+5.1wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+14%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1318…69afbacked Yes	3c	780.93$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	180	28.3%51 W · 129 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa761…6281backed Yes	2c	776.9$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed Yes	2c	768$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.29	123	25.2%31 W · 92 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76bf…1604backed Yes	1c	720$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f91…2819backed Yes	2c	672.5$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.76	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	16cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c29…efe5backed Yes	2c	667$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	73	15.1%11 W · 62 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d36…9c54backed Yes	3c	666.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	125	17.6%22 W · 103 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeca0…a8a7backed Yes	2c	625$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea9a…65d8backed Yes	2c	625$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	33	0%0 W · 33 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a94…6fdbbacked Yes	2c	625$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	42	11.9%5 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc36…9d2ebacked Yes	2c	625$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5362…d3fbbacked Yes	2c	625$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	77	44.2%34 W · 43 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Yes	2c	594.11$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.1	124	54.8%68 W · 56 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e11…39d9backed Yes	2c	577.28$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e69…755bbacked Yes	3c	517.24$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	160	19.4%31 W · 129 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes	3c	517$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.93	335	10.1%34 W · 301 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cad…e203backed Yes	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	100	44%44 W · 56 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x570a…009dbacked Yes	3c	500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-72.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc82e…0d6abacked Yes	3c	468.3$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.07	40	7.5%3 W · 37 L	-4.0wins	-0.10per pick	17cpaid	-84.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2fc7…7fbabacked Yes	3c	366.67$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	82	2.4%2 W · 80 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Japan?this page
Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Japan?No won
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Japan?No won
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Japan?No won
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Japan?No won
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Japan?No won
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Japan?No won
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Japan?No won
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Japan?No won
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?Yes won
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Japan?No won
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Japan?No won
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Japan?No won
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Japan?No won
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Japan?No won
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Japan?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Japan?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event