Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Japan?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c6e3f1f57ff58c8207bd2928e9e13af47189a89db5da73af02d10a95b267980
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $592,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $566,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $592,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 388 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 61,216$22,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,861.34 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 20c | 58,657$11,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,563.73 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca5…fd56backed Yes | 14c | 28,571$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Yes | 13c | 20,769$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x878d…22dfbacked Yes | 13c | 15,385$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 14c | 15,027$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033.78 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424d…3b7ebacked Yes | 13c | 14,849$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.31 | 114 | 21.1%24 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d06…7910backed Yes | 13c | 13,000$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 39c | 10,037$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960.01 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…8041backed Yes | 18c | 7,406$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked No | 70c | 6,311$4,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,891.42 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Yes | 52c | 6,233$3,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,211.99 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16a4…66adbacked Yes | 18c | 5,705$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…050ebacked Yes | 36c | 5,080$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.59 | 236 | 37.7%89 W · 147 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 74c | 4,791$3,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.53 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 14c | 4,622$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 14c | 3,571$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfb…efc0backed Yes | 14c | 3,571$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Yes | 13c | 3,077$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 251 | 24.7%62 W · 189 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 14c | 2,338$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x500a…6866backed Yes | 14c | 2,143$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…7d84backed Yes | 10c | 2,100$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 2,024$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.1 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3c…d9b0backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Yes | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 144 | 30.6%44 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 49c | 1,948$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.48 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Yes | 52c | 1,797$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.5 | 338 | 43.5%147 W · 191 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eef…dc37backed Yes | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…db2fbacked Yes | 36c | 1,485$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 69c | 1,446$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.37 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7903…685bbacked Yes | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5829…5a3abacked Yes | 29c | 1,402$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes | 14c | 1,200$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeeb…87b6backed Yes | 68c | 1,167$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.8 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…2e34backed Yes | 13c | 1,154$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 274 | 33.9%93 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Yes | 40c | 1,154$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.59 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…1a87backed Yes | 32c | 1,145$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.05 | 60 | 6.7%4 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 37c | 1,142$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.67 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 17c | 1,135$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.05 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…e4fabacked Yes | 14c | 1,114$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.39 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Yes | 13c | 1,102$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.25 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e95…1776backed Yes | 13c | 1,101$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.13 | 156 | 7.7%12 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,080$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.53 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…abbebacked Yes | 13c | 1,077$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa095…6040backed Yes | 16c | 1,050$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.5 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -76%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 215 | 42.8%92 W · 123 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c0…8d4cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b3…3d44backed Yes | 11c | 999.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 138 | 13%18 W · 120 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 28c | 909$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.64 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c2…b793backed Yes | 13c | 846.15$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7971…8dd0backed Yes | 61c | 823.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f4…53c9backed Yes | 13c | 803$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.39 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60f3…92d0backed Yes | 56c | 790.06$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8788…d6b5backed Yes | 70c | 780.57$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…c18bbacked Yes | 13c | 770$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 31.4%61 W · 133 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc20e…642abacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b08…b771backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b1…dd8cbacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5515…7981backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42d…621cbacked Yes | 19c | 750$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 35c | 720.47$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.55 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…5187backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ca…02d5backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ff…f2bebacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 239 | 29.7%71 W · 168 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…bc33backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 26.5%60 W · 166 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01d3…4f06backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 12c | 698.4$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.81 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…7045backed Yes | 13c | 664.69$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.41 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 40c | 661.71$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.18 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…71d2backed Yes | 23c | 652.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 68 | 10.3%7 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 13c | 630.77$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked No | 41c | 622.25$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.81 | 455 | 36.9%168 W · 287 L | -26.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…55f5backed Yes | 11c | 600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 99 | 12.1%12 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa981…ab19backed Yes | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +525.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12a9…af78backed Yes | 19c | 599.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 78c | 581.9$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.35 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked No | 44c | 578.96$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.95 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 41c | 578.08$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.34 | 357 | 19.6%70 W · 287 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f00…2f63backed Yes | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe60…4626backed Yes | 70c | 540$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.34 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…4041backed Yes | 14c | 538.65$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.41 | 126 | 6.3%8 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 43c | 500.3$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.06 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…a8efbacked Yes | 30c | 500$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…ff4bbacked Yes | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefed…aecdbacked Yes | 13c | 482.54$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa286…b3babacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Yes | 13c | 470.04$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 326 | 42.9%140 W · 186 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7093…c7f9backed Yes | 13c | 461.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 22c | 452.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.78 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce12…0e76backed Yes | 13c | 438.5$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fe…1471backed Yes | 13c | 430.77$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 148 | 18.9%28 W · 120 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x257a…b42abacked Yes | 13c | 430.77$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 165 | 24.2%40 W · 125 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…73e7backed Yes | 14c | 428.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 145 | 23.4%34 W · 111 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c20…a7dfbacked Yes | 13c | 407.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 302 | 15.2%46 W · 256 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 192 | 24.5%47 W · 145 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…cd31backed Yes | 24c | 400$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 205 | 11.7%24 W · 181 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…1c30backed Yes | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -54%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Japan?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?Yes won
- Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Japan?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.