TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Japan?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$592,259
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$566,784

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $592,259 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 388 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes37c61,216$22,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,861.344,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes20c58,657$11,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,563.738,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ca5…fd56backed Yes14c28,571$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0002222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Yes13c20,769$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70026320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x878d…22dfbacked Yes13c15,385$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001625%4 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+70.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes14c15,027$2,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,033.7856410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424d…3b7ebacked Yes13c14,849$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,930.3111421.1%24 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Yes13c13,000$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,69014343.4%62 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes39c10,037$3,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,960.012,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb56d…8041backed Yes18c7,406$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3494060%24 W · 16 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked No70c6,311$4,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,891.4224146.1%111 W · 130 L+8.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Yes52c6,233$3,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,211.9939644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16a4…66adbacked Yes18c5,705$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017518.3%32 W · 143 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Yes36c5,080$1,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,808.5923637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No74c4,791$3,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.534,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes14c4,622$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6476729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes14c3,571$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcfb…efc0backed Yes14c3,571$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007129.6%21 W · 50 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes13c3,077$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40025124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes14c2,338$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x500a…6866backed Yes14c2,143$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009341.9%39 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78e5…7d84backed Yes10c2,100$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102030%6 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick19cpaid+86.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No71c2,024$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.13,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3c…d9b0backed Yes12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24011436.8%42 W · 72 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x595d…9ad0backed Yes38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76014430.6%44 W · 100 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-6.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes49c1,948$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.482,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Yes52c1,797$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.533843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eef…dc37backed Yes13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003928.2%11 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5952…db2fbacked Yes36c1,485$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54011826.3%31 W · 87 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes69c1,446$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.374,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7903…685bbacked Yes14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004124.4%10 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5829…5a3abacked Yes29c1,402$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40015141.1%62 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes14c1,200$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16834247.7%163 W · 179 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeeb…87b6backed Yes68c1,167$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.87727.3%21 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick27cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Yes13c1,154$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Yes40c1,154$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.5930054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe10f…1a87backed Yes32c1,145$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.05606.7%4 W · 56 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-75.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes37c1,142$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.671,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No17c1,135$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.053,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d14…e4fabacked Yes14c1,114$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.3910420.2%21 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Yes13c1,102$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.2551032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e95…1776backed Yes13c1,101$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.131567.7%12 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick8cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes13c1,080$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.532,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e5b…abbebacked Yes13c1,077$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa095…6040backed Yes16c1,050$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.5263.8%1 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick14cpaid-76%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12021542.8%92 W · 123 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14031611.4%36 W · 280 L+0.4wins0.00per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9c0…8d4cbacked Yes13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1305856.9%33 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b3…3d44backed Yes11c999.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11213813%18 W · 120 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52c8…9b69backed Yes28c909$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.6447321.6%102 W · 371 L-2.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0c2…b793backed Yes13c846.15$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1104139%16 W · 25 L+5.7wins+0.14per pick25cpaid+33.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7971…8dd0backed Yes61c823.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f4…53c9backed Yes13c803$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.39323.1%1 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-68.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60f3…92d0backed Yes56c790.06$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8788…d6b5backed Yes70c780.57$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7c8…c18bbacked Yes13c770$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.15315.1%8 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a67…5d96backed Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019431.4%61 W · 133 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc20e…642abacked Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012345.5%56 W · 67 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b08…b771backed Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100267.7%2 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92b1…dd8cbacked Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5515…7981backed Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd42d…621cbacked Yes19c750$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.52729.6%8 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick18cpaid+42.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes35c720.47$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.551,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1f3…5187backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008032.5%26 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3ca…02d5backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006630.3%20 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95ff…f2bebacked Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023929.7%71 W · 168 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9706…bc33backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022626.5%60 W · 166 L+0.9wins0.00per pick26cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01d3…4f06backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004047.5%19 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+67.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018544.9%83 W · 102 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes12c698.4$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.812,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e7a…7045backed Yes13c664.69$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.411435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes40c661.71$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.1850833.3%169 W · 339 L-35.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7726…71d2backed Yes23c652.17$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506810.3%7 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes13c630.77$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8238817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked No41c622.25$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.8145536.9%168 W · 287 L-26.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b85…55f5backed Yes11c600$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669912.1%12 W · 87 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa981…ab19backed Yes19c600$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1145217.3%9 W · 43 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick8cpaid+525.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12a9…af78backed Yes19c599.99$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1143514.3%5 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No78c581.9$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.3523750.6%120 W · 117 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked No44c578.96$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.951,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes41c578.08$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.3435719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f00…2f63backed Yes35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007452.7%39 W · 35 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe60…4626backed Yes70c540$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.3460%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21e7…4041backed Yes14c538.65$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.411266.3%8 W · 118 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-75.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No43c500.3$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.062,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea8d…a8efbacked Yes30c500$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1485633.9%19 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c3f…ff4bbacked Yes14c499.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704725.5%12 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+60.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefed…aecdbacked Yes13c482.54$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.736618.2%12 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa286…b3babacked Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005334%18 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Yes13c470.04$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.432642.9%140 W · 186 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7093…c7f9backed Yes13c461.54$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607536%27 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Yes22c452.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7892732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce12…0e76backed Yes13c438.5$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0170%0 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5fe…1471backed Yes13c430.77$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5614818.9%28 W · 120 L-0.4wins0.00per pick19cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x257a…b42abacked Yes13c430.77$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5616524.2%40 W · 125 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-39.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e33…73e7backed Yes14c428.57$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014523.4%34 W · 111 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+47%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c20…a7dfbacked Yes13c407.69$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5330215.2%46 W · 256 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick14cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019224.5%47 W · 145 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72ef…cd31backed Yes24c400$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9720511.7%24 W · 181 L-0.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid+20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97d3…1c30backed Yes13c400$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523023.3%7 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-54%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.