TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x119d…bec3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
385
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Serie A at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT20432.8%67 W · 137 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 204 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+651.9%+$651.88
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+215%+$64.49
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+400%+$80
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: France 2 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$345
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+235.9%+$165.15
Exact Score: England 0 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+114.6%+$91.7
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$51.08
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+153.2%+$93.43
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 204 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT8940.4%36 W · 53 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$65.07
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$31.43
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.22
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+163.4%+$121.63
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$61
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
LoL: GAM Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$21.11
LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked AG.AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT5536.4%20 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Valorant: TYLOO vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Decidersbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Decidersbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$33.77
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs FunPlus Phoenix (+1.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+563.4%+$281.68
Map Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs VARREL (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+102%+$102.03
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$70.67
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.18
Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Nova Esports (+1.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Map Handicap: BBL (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs BBL Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+245.6%+$49.12
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs BBL Esports (+1.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs BBL Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+948%+$131.77
Will Leviatán win Valorant Masters London 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+945.9%+$331.07
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+172.4%+$77.57
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+30.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$88.89
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.31
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+103%+$123.64
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+122.5%+$245.01
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$354.09
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$78.21
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$100.16
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$335.7
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$76.62
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$239.56
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$234.78
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.02
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$6,593Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,593.01
All 18 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+51.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+110.6%+$65.53
Spread: Chicago Sky (-4.5)backed Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-5.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 4 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$178.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$48.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$211
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.