Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs VARREL (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x284fce42c11b30048821b05fc4226052c9713328733f8b2ebcdcde496516a3cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VARRELof T1, VARREL
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e15…7531backed VARREL | 44c | 1,677$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.39 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed VARREL | 46c | 1,451$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.53 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb82…f6babacked T1 | 52c | 1,350$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed VARREL | 47c | 1,086$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.42 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8660…93edbacked T1 | 53c | 702.41$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.28 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked T1 | 55c | 539.88$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.65 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c15…5b4bbacked T1 | 53c | 489.48$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.42 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab93…8479backed VARREL | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed T1 | 55c | 381.82$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebdc…778abacked T1 | 56c | 360$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x253e…84e4backed T1 | 56c | 360$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed VARREL | 44c | 353.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.78 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked T1 | 55c | 338.8$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.34 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed VARREL | 43c | 311.54$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.57 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed T1 | 57c | 287$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.59 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e38bbacked VARREL | 51c | 283.39$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.86 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked T1 | 55c | 273.8$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.45 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5088…cfc5backed T1 | 53c | 241.51$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked T1 | 54c | 239.47$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.36 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed VARREL | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed T1 | 55c | 221.82$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked T1 | 55c | 219.4$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.28 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d3…c92fbacked T1 | 55c | 216.27$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed VARREL | 45c | 216.27$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.95 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…5b5fbacked T1 | 54c | 216.26$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed T1 | 55c | 212.27$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.75 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4237…afe7backed T1 | 56c | 210.71$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed T1 | 55c | 205.19$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.86 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed T1 | 55c | 200$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.69 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed T1 | 55c | 195.56$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.65 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -8.4wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…049bbacked T1 | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…73c7backed T1 | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked T1 | 54c | 175$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed T1 | 56c | 160.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x558d…180ebacked VARREL | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed T1 | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 199 | 45.2%90 W · 109 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…50c1backed VARREL | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed VARREL | 46c | 102.77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.52 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed VARREL | 49c | 100.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.52 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked T1 | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked T1 | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed T1 | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed T1 | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed VARREL | 47c | 73.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed VARREL | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked VARREL | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…fa33backed VARREL | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed T1 | 56c | 59.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked T1 | 56c | 59.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x119d…bec3backed T1 | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed T1 | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked VARREL | 47c | 38.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked T1 | 52c | 38.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed T1 | 56c | 38.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed VARREL | 45c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4442…238cbacked T1 | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs VARREL (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: T1 (-3.5) vs VARREL (+3.5)VARREL won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: T1 (-4.5) vs VARREL (+4.5)VARREL won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Valorant: T1 vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group OmegaVARREL won
- Valorant: T1 vs VARREL - Map 1 WinnerVARREL won
- Valorant: T1 vs VARREL - Map 2 WinnerVARREL won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.