TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: T1 vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
VARRELof T1, VARREL
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,173
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,955

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,173 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f62…d989backed VARREL20c12,757$2,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,253.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+409.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked VARREL19c6,526$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,271.1315431.2%48 W · 106 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed VARREL31c4,993$1,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,431.4432462.7%203 W · 121 L+31.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked T180c4,961$3,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,968.6578162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed VARREL19c3,500$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,834.9941734.8%145 W · 272 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x191b…5b67backed T156c3,500$1,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,954.742263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.9wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+520.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed VARREL18c2,075$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,695.9426447.3%125 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed VARREL20c2,000$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,591.2232245.7%147 W · 175 L+52.2wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x899c…81b0backed VARREL47c1,894$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.862254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked VARREL20c1,875$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50029733.3%99 W · 198 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed T179c1,800$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41322344.4%99 W · 124 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed VARREL28c1,570$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.6546326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked VARREL44c1,465$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.6957151%291 W · 280 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed VARREL49c1,310$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.7660022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ac6…122fbacked VARREL44c1,148$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.93666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+58%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked T180c1,080$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.3311458.8%67 W · 47 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed T171c1,076$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.7444342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked VARREL43c1,068$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.6377744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked VARREL31c1,053$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.541,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8976…7367backed T168c1,013$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.415343.4%23 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed VARREL20c1,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8008640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe454…8b7dbacked T180c996.75$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.48058.8%47 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked VARREL45c974.91$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.0850944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed VARREL17c930.81$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.1356551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed T180c875.05$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.855362.3%33 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked T174c828.37$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.6728743.2%124 W · 163 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c90…5b3ebacked VARREL59c790.31$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.893658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+59.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d40…dd57backed VARREL42c771.85$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.671850%9 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked VARREL54c742$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.541,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed T18c651.36$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3916033.8%54 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x615d…bd5bbacked VARREL17c627.61$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.923256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed VARREL42c604.73$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.3551749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed T167c597.79$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed T151c597.69$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.4181134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed VARREL17c564.76$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.7517948.6%87 W · 92 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed T130c535.34$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.4277929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6f0b…8e1dbacked VARREL46c514$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.44450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+50.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked VARREL19c500$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40536648.4%177 W · 189 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed VARREL17c499.94$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.6918641.4%77 W · 109 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2957…b26abacked T180c489.72$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.856250%31 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb72…6532backed VARREL19c463.76$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.813650%18 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked VARREL48c458.9$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.621,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed VARREL27c444.01$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.963046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked VARREL34c420.99$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2781,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcaa5…4859backed VARREL18c407.43$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.091573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+58.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked T142c401$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.4236138.5%139 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked VARREL18c400$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32886747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked T131c394.82$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2690733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed VARREL33c375.48$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.5274642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed T158c347.48$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick56cpaid-57.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked VARREL34c340.54$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.1170043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed VARREL46c332.08$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.3993049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82a1…e38bbacked T155c331.49$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.322650%13 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed T158c323.28$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.4679650%398 W · 398 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked T158c318.7$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.8555152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1ec…64b6backed VARREL16c317.48$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.686028.3%17 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a1b…dcf3backed T149c305.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506352.4%33 W · 30 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked T159c303.33$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.9552050%260 W · 260 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked T121c293.11$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.291,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed VARREL18c288$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.8846347.1%218 W · 245 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed T126c280.2$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.811,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ee6…07cabacked T177c273.94$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.915160.3%91 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked VARREL50c271.01$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.221,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked T156c269.83$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.9255348.3%267 W · 286 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b50…fd61backed T157c265$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.051225%3 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-61.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed VARREL19c250.1$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.5825453.5%136 W · 118 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed T156c250$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14023644.9%106 W · 130 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked T157c250$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.52152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked VARREL41c244.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.2725336.4%92 W · 161 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed T157c235.09$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1344949%24 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92df…7a08backed VARREL18c234.45$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.0610151.5%52 W · 49 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed T179c234$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.863633.3%12 W · 24 L-6.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-29.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed VARREL19c211.85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.613661%83 W · 53 L+14.8wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4aff…9200backed T135c210$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.59139.6%36 W · 55 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked T152c202.69$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3362856.4%354 W · 274 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa6f…b34fbacked VARREL26c191.69$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.4540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed T113c190$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3866438.1%253 W · 411 L-31.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed VARREL45c186.82$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.141,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed VARREL44c182.24$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2423847.9%114 W · 124 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked T117c172.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7415833.5%53 W · 105 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked VARREL41c168.82$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8225843%111 W · 147 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3c…9f22backed VARREL20c165$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13212149.6%60 W · 61 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51cf…45fbbacked VARREL39c164$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4255…1792backed VARREL20c162.97$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.3816041.9%67 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed T163c162.08$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1665347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed VARREL22c160$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.811442.1%48 W · 66 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed T156c153.83$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6414254.9%78 W · 64 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked VARREL20c150$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12013148.1%63 W · 68 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed VARREL29c150$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10637545.6%171 W · 204 L-1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc2f…20a5backed VARREL20c144.95$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.965839.7%23 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+35%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a2e…3ceabacked T167c143.57$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.044951%25 W · 24 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed T158c134.35$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9319945.2%90 W · 109 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked VARREL45c132$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4813662.5%85 W · 51 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked T139c129.97$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7342140.4%170 W · 251 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked T139c129.44$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5724032.1%77 W · 163 L-18.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-34.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d26…f4f8backed VARREL20c128.08$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.0812335.8%44 W · 79 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+1.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc21d…50c1backed VARREL28c125.25$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.256470.3%45 W · 19 L+7.0wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x795d…f703backed VARREL44c120.64$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.972055%11 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed VARREL20c120$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9628241.1%116 W · 166 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked T179c119.77$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.624542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.