TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x795d…f703

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: MLB, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 51 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorantlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs QT DIG∞ (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked QT DIG∞ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked Sharper Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$22.22
Valorant: VARREL vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked VARREL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+120.8%+$241.52
Valorant: VARREL vs DRX - Map 1 Winnerbacked VARREL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.8
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Rex Regum Qeon - Map 1 Winnerbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$47.31
Valorant: T1 vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$26.36
Valorant: Global Esports vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.59
Valorant: Team Secret vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$18.27
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs ZETA DIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked ZETA DIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
Valorant: VARREL vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked VARREL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Valorant: VARREL vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Map 1 Winnerbacked VARREL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Rex Regum Qeon - Map 1 Winnerbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.22
Valorant: QT DIG∞ vs Fennel - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fennel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.12
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.92
Valorant: T1 vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked VARREL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+124.8%+$66.97
Valorant: T1 vs VARREL - Map 2 Winnerbacked VARREL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+269.1%+$40.36
Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+44%+$33.83
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$28.27
All 20 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Phantom (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 10backed EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$5.76
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagebacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.84
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs UNiTY esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$6.12
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stagebacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$68.56
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$19.54
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+27%+$44.04
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Bbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$167.64
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Bbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: SAW Youngsters vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked SAW Youngsters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$57.27
Counter-Strike: SAW Youngsters vs Misa Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked SAW Youngsters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$69.33
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.3
LoL: Blue Otter vs Contingent Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stagebacked Blue Otter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
LoL: Blue Otter vs Contingent Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Contingent Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$43.7
LoL: RMD Gaming vs RED Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked RMD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.27
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.56
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$29.07
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$65.4
LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.76
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-49.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$43.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Level UP vs Team AION (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Bbacked Team AION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.