Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: VARREL vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62b0e588ffb65fd3bf05adf79405d2c917242016d707343f3f8de76226072af9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DetonatioN FocusMeof VARREL, DetonatioN FocusMe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 67c | 1,505$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.62 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +10.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…f85bbacked VARREL | 48c | 1,241$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.45 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 58c | 768.5$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.83 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…f51abacked VARREL | 2c | 742.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e19…e1e8backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…5069backed VARREL | 61c | 491.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…1e47backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 60c | 460$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.6 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed VARREL | 37c | 420.18$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.38 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked VARREL | 33c | 417.92$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.97 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked VARREL | 55c | 356.24$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.73 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 74c | 354.6$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.2 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed VARREL | 54c | 323.27$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.08 | 342 | 53.2%182 W · 160 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 41c | 319.8$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.1 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed VARREL | 29c | 312.51$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.98 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed VARREL | 26c | 305.23$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.39 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked VARREL | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 61c | 235.46$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.29 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 65c | 191.57$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked VARREL | 34c | 188$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.55 | 385 | 48.6%187 W · 198 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed VARREL | 20c | 183.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 48c | 181.03$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.13 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 45c | 177.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 47c | 176.04$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.3 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 66c | 166.67$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a4…32a8backed VARREL | 44c | 155.31$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked VARREL | 38c | 146.56$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9562…fbd4backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 56c | 140$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed VARREL | 52c | 136$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.72 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 41c | 135.93$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.2 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed VARREL | 49c | 132.25$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc566…f8d7backed VARREL | 31c | 112.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 147 | 37.4%55 W · 92 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 73c | 111.44$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…79d7backed VARREL | 49c | 102.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…20bdbacked VARREL | 51c | 98.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed VARREL | 19c | 95.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2292…8adfbacked VARREL | 51c | 94.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b7…c8a8backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 68c | 81.04$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed VARREL | 31c | 80.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 48c | 73.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…c12abacked VARREL | 48c | 70.76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed VARREL | 37c | 67.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…3860backed VARREL | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 65c | 65.46$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 46c | 65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae0…8661backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa5…00b2backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 74c | 60.49$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…f703backed VARREL | 50c | 60.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 58c | 48.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked VARREL | 53c | 40.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked VARREL | 31c | 39.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 183 | 3.3%6 W · 177 L | -73.1wins | -0.40per pick | 43cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 11-0.35 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…19f9backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 72c | 27.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed VARREL | 38c | 27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b9…ad06backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 76c | 25.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed VARREL | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd48…0ea2backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 61c | 22.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb6…052dbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 72c | 20.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4967…340bbacked VARREL | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf380…17bbbacked VARREL | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec7…4a76backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…321ebacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 65c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…1b3abacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 66c | 15.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: VARREL vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: DetonatioN FocusMe (-2.5) vs VARREL (+2.5)VARREL won
- Valorant: VARREL vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group OmegaDetonatioN FocusMe won
- Valorant: VARREL vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Map 2 WinnerVARREL won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.