Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: VARREL vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0d9132490899e688b27fb9a59dc10611b68b28bd1b2ba1afb1c861d2ba7e467
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VARRELof VARREL, DetonatioN FocusMe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 55c | 10,000$5,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,498.82 | 289 | 55.7%161 W · 128 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed VARREL | 48c | 2,686$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.81 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed VARREL | 45c | 2,660$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed VARREL | 45c | 1,698$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.61 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed VARREL | 53c | 1,315$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.05 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 52c | 1,039$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.34 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…5709backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 10c | 889$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.39 | 322 | 45.7%147 W · 175 L | +52.2wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked VARREL | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.89 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed VARREL | 45c | 844$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.2 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.26 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed VARREL | 48c | 520$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed VARREL | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked VARREL | 48c | 360$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 52c | 360$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed VARREL | 46c | 355.14$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.38 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 57c | 324.84$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.79 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed VARREL | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 342 | 53.2%182 W · 160 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed VARREL | 44c | 272.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.54 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked VARREL | 62c | 269.66$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.31 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked VARREL | 64c | 269.19$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.64 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa940…9bf1backed VARREL | 56c | 268.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.88 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa771…c2c1backed VARREL | 48c | 254$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +404.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15fa…f856backed VARREL | 69c | 249.28$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.28 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae0…8661backed VARREL | 50c | 200.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed VARREL | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 37c | 193.16$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.47 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…0f3abacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 19c | 150$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9562…fbd4backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 29c | 145.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…79d7backed VARREL | 67c | 142.09$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.09 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 56c | 136.56$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.6 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0c…4d9cbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 12c | 120.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed VARREL | 45c | 115.52$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…c12abacked VARREL | 68c | 109.23$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked VARREL | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked VARREL | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 385 | 48.6%187 W · 198 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 389 | 50.6%197 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 57c | 97.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91b3…6db7backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 57c | 85.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed VARREL | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…e4f5backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…cbc6backed VARREL | 44c | 59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed VARREL | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed VARREL | 64c | 45.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 28c | 44.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed VARREL | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 48c | 41.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed8…2c70backed VARREL | 62c | 35.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3b…05aabacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 56c | 34.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ac…cae8backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 57c | 21.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 56c | 17.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa01f…8192backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 56c | 17.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: VARREL vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: DetonatioN FocusMe (-2.5) vs VARREL (+2.5)VARREL won
- Valorant: VARREL vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group OmegaDetonatioN FocusMe won
- Valorant: VARREL vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Map 1 WinnerDetonatioN FocusMe won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.