TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa01f…8192

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Dota2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Phantom (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 10backed Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.34
Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs Yawara Esports (+1.5)backed Yawara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+95.4%+$9.79
Map Handicap: UNO (-1.5) vs ODDIK Academy (+1.5)backed ODDIK Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+115.5%+$19.24
Map Handicap: JustP (-1.5) vs ENJOY (+1.5)backed ENJOY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.6
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Leo Team (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.21
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked ARCRED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Map Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs MOUZ (+2.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.66
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.23
Map Handicap: JustP (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Academy (+1.5)backed Inner Circle Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.66
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$4.97
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagebacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+77.2%+$16.13
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.46
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs largadosypelados (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.37
Map Handicap: JustP (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Academy (+1.5)backed Inner Circle Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Map Handicap: FX (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5)backed Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.89
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.56
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.78
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stagebacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.55
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$17.43
Map Handicap: QUA (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5)backed NEW VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$13.64
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.09
All 21 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$6.83
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.97
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.7
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.6
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.38
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$8.45
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$8.38
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+40.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+280.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+280.5%+$42.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series Sri Lanka vs Pakistan, Women: Sri Lanka vs Pakistanbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)backed Real Salt Lake · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.09
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.