Tennis · resolved market
Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Pablo Carreno Busta
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa99bbfe20427fabfaf526099c20c51b0979fa4bd0ea9be2a3a440fcb8a1dd04e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luca Van Asscheof Luca Van Assche, Pablo Carreno Busta
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $450,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $497,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $450,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 304 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc430…1ebfbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 46c | 49,721$22,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,806.3 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ab…13a1backed Luca Van Assche | 74c | 45,000$33,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,700 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 39c | 16,774$6,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,517.6 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x760f…326abacked Luca Van Assche | 32c | 15,625$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,625 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef53…4591backed Luca Van Assche | 51c | 14,654$7,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200.66 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Luca Van Assche | 33c | 9,753$3,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,534.22 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Luca Van Assche | 31c | 9,616$2,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,634.84 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 35c | 9,431$3,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,256.88 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22d5…bef9backed Luca Van Assche | 45c | 9,299$4,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,149.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 67c | 8,640$5,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,788.77 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc293…fac3backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 65c | 8,198$5,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,359.7 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Luca Van Assche | 55c | 7,578$4,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,410.18 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 54c | 5,676$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040.32 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…9b39backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 66c | 5,536$3,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,653.7 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 5c | 5,518$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.55 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Luca Van Assche | 61c | 4,928$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927.58 | 348 | 57.2%199 W · 149 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Luca Van Assche | 33c | 4,576$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,081.07 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Luca Van Assche | 65c | 4,531$2,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.91 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…e3aebacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 48c | 4,279$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.87 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa00…f736backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 69c | 4,232$2,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,932.22 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 45c | 3,700$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.99 | 312 | 34.6%108 W · 204 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 68c | 3,676$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 66c | 3,483$2,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,313.9 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…4633backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…ffddbacked Luca Van Assche | 30c | 3,024$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116.8 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb00c…dfa2backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 59c | 2,803$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.73 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed Luca Van Assche | 60c | 2,447$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.85 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 52c | 2,383$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.99 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 43c | 2,245$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.36 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x693b…84e3backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 28c | 2,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 47c | 2,145$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.08 | 488 | 55.9%273 W · 215 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 49c | 2,143$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 47c | 2,106$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 65c | 2,086$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.64 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Luca Van Assche | 57c | 2,017$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.92 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf764…61e6backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 237 | 23.6%56 W · 181 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…6382backed Luca Van Assche | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…b689backed Luca Van Assche | 60c | 1,807$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.69 | 141 | 62.4%88 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 58c | 1,725$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.61 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Luca Van Assche | 76c | 1,620$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.79 | 366 | 40.7%149 W · 217 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…2c33backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 68c | 1,618$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Luca Van Assche | 59c | 1,604$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.54 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 67c | 1,573$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.76 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Luca Van Assche | 32c | 1,453$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.32 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…5ec9backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 18c | 1,450$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.5 | 440 | 18.9%83 W · 357 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Luca Van Assche | 41c | 1,443$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.43 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 51c | 1,373$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Luca Van Assche | 77c | 1,309$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.3 | 681 | 57.6%392 W · 289 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…3c69backed Luca Van Assche | 46c | 1,296$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.45 | 370 | 44.3%164 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 43c | 1,292$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.99 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 42c | 1,191$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Luca Van Assche | 33c | 1,096$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.6 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Luca Van Assche | 35c | 1,077$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Luca Van Assche | 58c | 1,032$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.95 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 66c | 1,027$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.82 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 66c | 1,027$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.82 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Luca Van Assche | 32c | 1,019$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.71 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Luca Van Assche | 60c | 1,017$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.67 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Luca Van Assche | 33c | 1,006$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.01 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Luca Van Assche | 32c | 999.99$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.99 | 377 | 38.2%144 W · 233 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Luca Van Assche | 52c | 986.26$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.82 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Luca Van Assche | 47c | 985.19$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.15 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Luca Van Assche | 70c | 979.98$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.19 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…43f7backed Luca Van Assche | 52c | 926.35$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.65 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Luca Van Assche | 45c | 875.81$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.78 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…9971backed Luca Van Assche | 33c | 801.76$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +44%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 68c | 797.7$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.81 | 127 | 39.4%50 W · 77 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…c936backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 42c | 748.35$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67c5…2642backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 67c | 741.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf87…ce4cbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…f4aabacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 65c | 692.31$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 368 | 48.4%178 W · 190 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Luca Van Assche | 55c | 651.4$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.12 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Luca Van Assche | 43c | 645.97$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.91 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Luca Van Assche | 53c | 633.46$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.77 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 40c | 630$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f1…3cc5backed Luca Van Assche | 59c | 625.83$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Luca Van Assche | 34c | 622.99$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.18 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…a747backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 43c | 613.31$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Luca Van Assche | 32c | 600$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.47 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Luca Van Assche | 36c | 597.42$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.35 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Luca Van Assche | 78c | 580.29$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.13 | 251 | 58.6%147 W · 104 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…4c29backed Luca Van Assche | 43c | 563.86$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.15 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 47c | 558.17$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.13 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Luca Van Assche | 60c | 548.25$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.54 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Luca Van Assche | 68c | 532.65$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.45 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 66c | 530.3$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…2e6bbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Luca Van Assche | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.32 | 483 | 31.1%150 W · 333 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Luca Van Assche | 66c | 518.14$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.89 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 59c | 514.12$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.33 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 47c | 500.01$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f4…dd7cbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 68c | 495$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.6 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Luca Van Assche | 33c | 487.68$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.99 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 72c | 455.97$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.3 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Luca Van Assche | 45c | 454.49$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.18 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 34c | 450$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 523 | 41.5%217 W · 306 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Luca Van Assche | 54c | 439.85$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.02 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Luca Van Assche | 34c | 436.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.41 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 45c | 427.87$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.54 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Pablo Carreno Bustathis page
- Assche vs. Busta: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Assche vs BustaAssche won
- Set 2 Winner: Assche vs BustaBusta won
- Set Handicap: Busta (-1.5) vs Assche (+1.5)Assche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.