CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs Yawara Esports (+1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3998d13020a05d71d6fa8d47c8db0feef076cb0418fb1f6b60e69d67f2e0bd1e

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yawara Esportsof BESTIA, Yawara Esports
Resolved: Aug 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $45,057
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $46,668

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,057 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked BESTIA	50c	27,145$13,514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,513.7	5,028	55%2,763 W · 2,265 L	+112.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Yawara Esports	50c	15,335$7,658 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,676.32	754	52.7%397 W · 357 L	+27.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0993…525fbacked Yawara Esports	51c	15,000$7,579 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,420.53	64	54.7%35 W · 29 L	+4.2wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Yawara Esports	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980	294	49.3%145 W · 149 L	-10.3wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yawara Esports	50c	1,530$765 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$765	569	41.3%235 W · 334 L	-21.0wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed BESTIA	51c	1,500$763 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$763.31	590	55.3%326 W · 264 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked BESTIA	50c	1,237$621 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$620.89	1,476	51.8%765 W · 711 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed BESTIA	49c	1,233$604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$604.16	1,998	53.7%1,073 W · 925 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed BESTIA	49c	1,208$592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$591.92	323	45.2%146 W · 177 L	+12.8wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07e8…faaebacked Yawara Esports	49c	1,193$588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$604.77	147	47.6%70 W · 77 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Yawara Esports	51c	1,050$532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$518.02	179	54.2%97 W · 82 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed BESTIA	49c	929.61$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.51	1,017	53.4%543 W · 474 L	+65.1wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed BESTIA	50c	806.98$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$403.49	122	49.2%60 W · 62 L	+6.9wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked BESTIA	50c	750$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375	270	41.1%111 W · 159 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed BESTIA	48c	614.34$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.82	317	44.8%142 W · 175 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed Yawara Esports	51c	500$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245	78	56.4%44 W · 34 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed BESTIA	50c	388.1$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194	135	45.2%61 W · 74 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yawara Esports	50c	327.33$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.77	2,599	47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L	-30.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed BESTIA	49c	307.08$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152	357	39.2%140 W · 217 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed28…87cebacked BESTIA	49c	304$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.96	34	61.8%21 W · 13 L	+2.5wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Yawara Esports	49c	279.88$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.74	67	47.8%32 W · 35 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Yawara Esports	51c	233.23$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.28	982	48.3%474 W · 508 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d0…6cbabacked Yawara Esports	51c	226.09$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.78	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+3.3wins	+0.12per pick	49cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed BESTIA	49c	223.89$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.71	543	39.4%214 W · 329 L	-21.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked BESTIA	46c	208.32$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.11	246	46.7%115 W · 131 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Yawara Esports	52c	202.24$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.61	415	55.4%230 W · 185 L	+12.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked BESTIA	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	349	43%150 W · 199 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Yawara Esports	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	171	50.9%87 W · 84 L	+12.8wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc2f5…ea74backed Yawara Esports	53c	183.32$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.42	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked BESTIA	49c	181$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.69	384	44.3%170 W · 214 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8ef…f7a1backed Yawara Esports	52c	169.8$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.17	132	58.3%77 W · 55 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yawara Esports	52c	149.97$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.27	171	31%53 W · 118 L	-9.3wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x91a2…e415backed BESTIA	49c	148$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.52	69	34.8%24 W · 45 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x945c…8ff3backed BESTIA	41c	139.45$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.75	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	+19%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed BESTIA	47c	139.1$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.05	191	46.6%89 W · 102 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcece…ffeebacked Yawara Esports	51c	138$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.62	118	44.1%52 W · 66 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x203a…935fbacked BESTIA	49c	132.65$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	279	54.5%152 W · 127 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f38…a0edbacked Yawara Esports	52c	126.03$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.08	78	57.7%45 W · 33 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked BESTIA	49c	120$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.8	393	38.2%150 W · 243 L	-13.0wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed BESTIA	49c	120$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.75	659	46.6%307 W · 352 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde4b…1222backed BESTIA	48c	118.13$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.7	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	+3.0wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc59…35f7backed BESTIA	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	69	42%29 W · 40 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39c1…3174backed BESTIA	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked BESTIA	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	133	32.3%43 W · 90 L	-8.4wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed BESTIA	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	59	55.9%33 W · 26 L	+3.9wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfdd…e70ebacked BESTIA	49c	102$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.98	138	36.2%50 W · 88 L	-11.8wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc84f…bb5bbacked BESTIA	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.73	67	43.3%29 W · 38 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9d…3373backed BESTIA	49c	99.51$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.76	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Yawara Esports	51c	97.1$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.1	111	46.8%52 W · 59 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1273…8eddbacked Yawara Esports	55c	90$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.5	207	57.5%119 W · 88 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed Yawara Esports	48c	85$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.2	77	51.9%40 W · 37 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ad3…1af6backed BESTIA	49c	81.63$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	53	41.5%22 W · 31 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed BESTIA	50c	80$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1,828	47.6%871 W · 957 L	-54.9wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4bb…22a9backed Yawara Esports	52c	76.55$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.92	276	47.1%130 W · 146 L	-9.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Yawara Esports	60c	74.99$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.7	4,220	49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L	+61.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb42…176ebacked BESTIA	49c	61.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8961…64cebacked Yawara Esports	52c	58.08$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.08	242	55.8%135 W · 107 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed Yawara Esports	52c	57.69$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.69	143	44.1%63 W · 80 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…33dabacked BESTIA	49c	56.89$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.82	224	55.8%125 W · 99 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Yawara Esports	68c	54.51$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.51	2,205	47.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L	-4.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03a9…77e3backed BESTIA	49c	50.97$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x061e…8f24backed Yawara Esports	51c	49.68$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.18	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5d1f…1e14backed BESTIA	50c	48.57$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.12	194	53.6%104 W · 90 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa5…00b2backed BESTIA	49c	46.47$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.77	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df7…3d27backed Yawara Esports	53c	41.51$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.51	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e71…9358backed BESTIA	46c	39.26$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.06	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Yawara Esports	52c	37.99$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.24	40	45%18 W · 22 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9506…6182backed BESTIA	53c	37.83$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	57	36.8%21 W · 36 L	-5.5wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed BESTIA	49c	35.79$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.54	498	56.6%282 W · 216 L	+17.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yawara Esports	52c	30.7$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.74	166	41%68 W · 98 L	-8.9wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x70b4…6815backed BESTIA	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	232	65.1%151 W · 81 L	+6.8wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2805…a007backed Yawara Esports	54c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	15	60%9 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x65af…5675backed Yawara Esports	52c	29$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.98	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaec8…c5d4backed Yawara Esports	52c	28.87$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.87	47	66%31 W · 16 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4eab…2caabacked Yawara Esports	53c	28.48$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.48	77	50.6%39 W · 38 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x589f…2fe4backed BESTIA	49c	26.06$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.77	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe573…ae05backed Yawara Esports	51c	24.77$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.05	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked BESTIA	49c	24.49$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	112	50%56 W · 56 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb476…ddc2backed BESTIA	50c	24.06$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.03	121	51.2%62 W · 59 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Yawara Esports	67c	23.04$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.66	3,217	51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L	+89.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7302…d7f4backed BESTIA	49c	22.45$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.22per pick	50cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb627…d968backed Yawara Esports	51c	22.24$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.9	185	63.2%117 W · 68 L	+14.3wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa01f…8192backed Yawara Esports	51c	20.05$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.79	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	62cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35ba…4390backed BESTIA	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.3wins	-0.39per pick	55cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x17d3…be06backed BESTIA	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-3.2wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb445…e4a3backed BESTIA	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs Yawara Esports (+1.5)this page
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group StageYawara Esports won
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Yawara Esports - Map 1 WinnerYawara Esports won
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 WinnerYawara Esports won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs Yawara Esports (+1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event