CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Yawara Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ac8b4f81c265b6e4da926fa7ca270483bedefb72e7d9353beb321bf04130641
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yawara Esportsof BESTIA, Yawara Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked BESTIA | 59c | 4,903$2,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,877.16 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed BESTIA | 27c | 2,200$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.83 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed Yawara Esports | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.98 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Yawara Esports | 31c | 1,800$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.99 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Yawara Esports | 36c | 1,800$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.98 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked BESTIA | 71c | 1,401$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.81 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked BESTIA | 3c | 1,400$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 302 | 23.2%70 W · 232 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked Yawara Esports | 35c | 1,113$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.24 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed BESTIA | 74c | 1,106$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.5 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yawara Esports | 52c | 1,050$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.18 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BESTIA | 50c | 795.46$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.73 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…f8bbbacked BESTIA | 48c | 640.25$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ca…8487backed BESTIA | 34c | 637.18$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked BESTIA | 31c | 476.96$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yawara Esports | 52c | 436.21$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.63 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed BESTIA | 15c | 387.5$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed BESTIA | 13c | 370.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…f8febacked Yawara Esports | 29c | 370$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…df49backed Yawara Esports | 30c | 364$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.8 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed BESTIA | 62c | 335.53$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.91 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed BESTIA | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed BESTIA | 25c | 299.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.61 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed BESTIA | 78c | 276.91$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed BESTIA | 58c | 276.19$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.41 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…33a4backed Yawara Esports | 28c | 272.86$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.46 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed BESTIA | 76c | 262.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…391dbacked Yawara Esports | 29c | 255.48$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.39 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1d…c307backed Yawara Esports | 29c | 228.01$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.93 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked BESTIA | 56c | 219.6$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.11 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x304f…af95backed BESTIA | 72c | 190.82$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Yawara Esports | 49c | 180.2$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.2 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Yawara Esports | 58c | 165.21$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.63 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked BESTIA | 69c | 150$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.93 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yawara Esports | 61c | 134$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed BESTIA | 37c | 129.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7af…f22ebacked Yawara Esports | 52c | 126.96$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked BESTIA | 70c | 121.55$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.9 | 330 | 57.3%189 W · 141 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BESTIA | 26c | 119$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd2…0985backed BESTIA | 50c | 105$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…3bb3backed BESTIA | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yawara Esports | 53c | 98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…ffc2backed Yawara Esports | 51c | 97.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked BESTIA | 31c | 97.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed BESTIA | 63c | 93$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed BESTIA | 47c | 91.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Yawara Esports | 16c | 90$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.01 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed BESTIA | 63c | 84.15$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Yawara Esports | 64c | 77.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 242 | 60.3%146 W · 96 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Yawara Esports | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e8…f707backed Yawara Esports | 59c | 74.58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1d…9332backed BESTIA | 37c | 71.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf71e…917bbacked Yawara Esports | 72c | 69.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked BESTIA | 45c | 62.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed BESTIA | 41c | 59.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd7…70ddbacked BESTIA | 29c | 56.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4f…6e10backed Yawara Esports | 65c | 50.58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 188 | 71.8%135 W · 53 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked BESTIA | 33c | 50.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked BESTIA | 60c | 48.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Yawara Esports | 58c | 48.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BESTIA | 33c | 47.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed BESTIA | 42c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed BESTIA | 49c | 41.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf4…0e3dbacked Yawara Esports | 43c | 37.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked BESTIA | 69c | 34.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d15…4a14backed BESTIA | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked BESTIA | 70c | 26.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Yawara Esports | 55c | 24.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked BESTIA | 69c | 24.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +14.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfda1…06a4backed BESTIA | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Yawara Esports | 55c | 18.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Yawara Esports | 60c | 17.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…d118backed BESTIA | 65c | 15.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 44 | 86.4%38 W · 6 L | +7.4wins | +0.17per pick | 70cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Yawara Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group StageYawara Esports won
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 WinnerYawara Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs Yawara Esports (+1.5)Yawara Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.