CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3e41de745373dd407547386ee248c0bb07118188379878b878d84edd1c2a1c4

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yawara Esportsof BESTIA, Yawara Esports
Resolved: Aug 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $33,687
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $43,705

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,687 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Yawara Esports	43c	1,773$768 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,005.41	630	57.1%360 W · 270 L	+40.4wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c76…c163backed Yawara Esports	28c	1,717$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,236.93	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.11per pick	35cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb454…a98cbacked BESTIA	62c	1,500$930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$930	55	36.4%20 W · 35 L	-7.4wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6421…045dbacked Yawara Esports	29c	1,076$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$763.76	153	49.7%76 W · 77 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61a8…1ad4backed Yawara Esports	78c	1,070$830 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.96	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa16b…b541backed BESTIA	54c	973.16$526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.5	430	55.1%237 W · 193 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07e8…faaebacked BESTIA	66c	762.77$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	147	47.6%70 W · 77 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed BESTIA	55c	712.61$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	266	24.4%65 W · 201 L	-26.9wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked BESTIA	63c	701.37$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444.39	2,221	41.3%917 W · 1,304 L	-22.6wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed BESTIA	71c	700$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494	450	58.9%265 W · 185 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5944…764ebacked BESTIA	75c	639.1$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.51	74	50%37 W · 37 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1568…2a89backed Yawara Esports	26c	633.96$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$466.66	50	28%14 W · 36 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc444…416cbacked BESTIA	38c	538.11$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.26	143	55.2%79 W · 64 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed BESTIA	76c	503.74$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.7	405	58.8%238 W · 167 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked BESTIA	20c	500$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	301	23.3%70 W · 231 L	-11.0wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa56e…1c76backed BESTIA	65c	406.7$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed BESTIA	73c	405.87$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.29	2,610	51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L	+16.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Yawara Esports	50c	276.79$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.39	1,008	69.3%699 W · 309 L	+152.8wins	+0.15per pick	54cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x5b20…6be5backed Yawara Esports	54c	263.55$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.55	104	46.2%48 W · 56 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x945c…8ff3backed Yawara Esports	28c	199.99$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.99	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	+19%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Yawara Esports	29c	192$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.32	1,062	42.2%448 W · 614 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked BESTIA	47c	163.48$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.02	2,119	42.9%909 W · 1,210 L	-66.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed Yawara Esports	55c	158.41$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.8	518	42.3%219 W · 299 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x401d…23c6backed BESTIA	45c	152$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.4	88	37.5%33 W · 55 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed BESTIA	74c	145.98$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.02	401	75.1%301 W · 100 L	+20.2wins	+0.05per pick	70cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f0c…a691backed BESTIA	64c	134.99$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.35	210	49.5%104 W · 106 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Yawara Esports	58c	130$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.2	3,165	45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L	-74.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Yawara Esports	73c	121$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.33	2,343	46.7%1,094 W · 1,249 L	-49.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Yawara Esports	27c	120$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.6	393	38.2%150 W · 243 L	-13.0wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Yawara Esports	34c	112.95$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.39	4,661	43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L	-85.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed Yawara Esports	51c	111.37$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.68	660	72.4%478 W · 182 L	+117.6wins	+0.18per pick	55cpaid	+25%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed Yawara Esports	22c	111$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.58	249	43%107 W · 142 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed BESTIA	45c	109.99$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.49	549	38.4%211 W · 338 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked BESTIA	47c	103.33$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.59	1,830	41.6%762 W · 1,068 L	-68.7wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6a0…2212backed BESTIA	34c	102.89$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.34	345	47.5%164 W · 181 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Yawara Esports	54c	96.1$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.79	4,220	49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L	+61.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked BESTIA	45c	89$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.36	2,330	42.5%991 W · 1,339 L	-71.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Yawara Esports	53c	88.6$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.21	3,217	51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L	+89.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb849…bce6backed BESTIA	22c	86.33$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.58	82	22%18 W · 64 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7af…f22ebacked Yawara Esports	55c	82.27$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.27	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+1.9wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+42.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yawara Esports	27c	79$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.67	478	36.8%176 W · 302 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde30…3159backed BESTIA	28c	77.53$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.64	242	60.3%146 W · 96 L	+13.0wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yawara Esports	29c	75$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.25	2,599	47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L	-30.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Yawara Esports	53c	74.99$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.9	2,205	47.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L	-4.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5833…a634backed Yawara Esports	27c	74.26$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.26	90	45.6%41 W · 49 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ff2…149bbacked Yawara Esports	27c	74.07$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.07	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+35.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ad4…9484backed BESTIA	74c	74$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.76	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc1d…9332backed Yawara Esports	55c	72.52$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.86	55	49.1%27 W · 28 L	+4.1wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…1044backed Yawara Esports	52c	71.01$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.43	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yawara Esports	41c	70.67$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.4	3,415	29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L	-275.1wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked BESTIA	49c	65.79$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.3	530	34.7%184 W · 346 L	-32.8wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked BESTIA	43c	65$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.06	2,454	34.4%845 W · 1,609 L	-189.3wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed BESTIA	35c	64.5$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.53	2,774	24.5%681 W · 2,093 L	-295.8wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked BESTIA	50c	62.62$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.51	2,084	47%979 W · 1,105 L	-64.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x176e…085cbacked BESTIA	63c	61.11$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.5	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-20%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cf1…d7febacked Yawara Esports	27c	55.56$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.56	232	35.3%82 W · 150 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-17%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b00…bef2backed BESTIA	45c	54.87$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.69	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x79c5…d2b3backed BESTIA	28c	54.68$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.55	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	35cpaid	-74.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70d9…b899backed BESTIA	56c	53.57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+68.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9135…8d9cbacked Yawara Esports	63c	50$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.5	77	40.3%31 W · 46 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x646a…cd90backed BESTIA	77c	49.61$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	93	53.8%50 W · 43 L	+6.8wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb66e…ffc2backed Yawara Esports	34c	48.35$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.91	39	59%23 W · 16 L	+3.8wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b55…cbc6backed Yawara Esports	34c	48.35$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.91	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb4f…6e10backed Yawara Esports	66c	44.72$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.06	188	71.8%135 W · 53 L	+15.7wins	+0.08per pick	63cpaid	+12%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5836…caa2backed Yawara Esports	74c	44$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.44	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	66cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked BESTIA	60c	41$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.8	3,888	36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L	-197.3wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked BESTIA	72c	40$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.93	1,476	51.8%765 W · 711 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Yawara Esports	46c	39.31$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.1	1,034	54.9%568 W · 466 L	-2.5wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf4…0e3dbacked BESTIA	72c	38.53$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.71	60	43.3%26 W · 34 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Yawara Esports	44c	36.37$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.39	4,897	37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L	-245.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26d4…ff90backed BESTIA	33c	34.76$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.47	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-3.0wins	-0.18per pick	41cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca5f…41f5backed BESTIA	50c	30.53$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.23	99	54.5%54 W · 45 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed BESTIA	56c	30.15$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.88	2,309	45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L	-62.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…1068backed Yawara Esports	76c	26.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.46	323	61.6%199 W · 124 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yawara Esports	56c	22.53$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.01	2,491	41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L	-114.2wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed BESTIA	70c	21.44$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	690	41.9%289 W · 401 L	-18.2wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5a…d118backed Yawara Esports	64c	20.58$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.33	44	86.4%38 W · 6 L	+7.4wins	+0.17per pick	70cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7275…8b45backed BESTIA	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	-5.6wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group StageYawara Esports won
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Yawara Esports - Map 1 WinnerYawara Esports won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs Yawara Esports (+1.5)Yawara Esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event