TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7ff2…149b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
32
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorantlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.52
Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs Enterprise Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: Joblife vs Pcific Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Valorant: DRX vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+495.6%+$99.12
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.87
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Pcific Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Pcific Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+291.7%+$41.46
Valorant: NRG vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Valorant: NRG vs MIBR - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.56
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-85.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Game Handicap: SK (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)backed SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: The Otter Side vs NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stagebacked NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.56
LoL: The Otter Side vs NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS - Game 1 Winnerbacked The Otter Side · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$8.09
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: SDM Tigres vs Zeu5 Esports (BO3) - LRN Regular seasonbacked SDM Tigres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+35.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MEIA NOITE (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffsbacked METANOIA WOLVES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+153.7%+$30.74
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Group Abacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Galorys (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked Galorys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+92.9%+$18.57
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Yawara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$54.07
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.44
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.