TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: NRG vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NRGof NRG, MIBR
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$298,746
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$326,486

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,746 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 294 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8660…93edbacked NRG57c56,804$32,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,167.6917948.6%87 W · 92 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed MIBR42c16,260$6,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,828.996038.3%23 W · 37 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked MIBR43c12,000$5,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1604542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed NRG58c10,000$5,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,188.4252155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed MIBR60c9,540$5,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,764.5940945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed NRG33c7,425$2,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,003.75955.9%33 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b13…294cbacked MIBR47c6,018$2,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.330%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed NRG55c5,885$3,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,648.2125554.9%140 W · 115 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed NRG42c5,800$2,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,389.8332245.7%147 W · 175 L+52.2wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed MIBR42c5,412$2,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,273.135952.5%31 W · 28 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked MIBR67c4,631$3,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,102.647443.2%32 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed MIBR43c4,539$1,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,951.745246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34ec…f538backed MIBR42c4,149$1,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,742.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-37.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed NRG35c4,127$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,696.9422344.4%99 W · 124 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed MIBR43c4,072$1,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,731.9593148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed MIBR71c3,844$2,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,738.8653159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed MIBR46c2,796$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.5512951.2%66 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed MIBR44c2,729$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.3322346.6%104 W · 119 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed NRG56c2,326$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.8693049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked NRG58c2,047$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.076347.6%30 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed MIBR44c2,000$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87063955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed MIBR67c1,966$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.8651749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed MIBR37c1,937$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.361,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed MIBR41c1,800$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.9941734.8%145 W · 272 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08e7…4f63backed MIBR38c1,703$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6504156.1%23 W · 18 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+39.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed NRG20c1,703$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.0554342.4%230 W · 313 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed MIBR42c1,588$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.193650%18 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed NRG25c1,500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.332152.6%169 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed NRG51c1,431$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.1232462.7%203 W · 121 L+31.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MIBR68c1,400$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.4294361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b55…076fbacked MIBR42c1,395$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.796137.7%23 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked MIBR64c1,361$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.3168458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked NRG33c1,285$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.8950944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed MIBR48c1,205$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.2681134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked MIBR41c1,124$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.6912143%52 W · 69 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x421e…1e47backed NRG54c1,117$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.763537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked MIBR75c1,116$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.0978562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed MIBR45c1,093$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.856352.4%33 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed MIBR38c1,091$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.826932.3%87 W · 182 L-25.7wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-42.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd679…91a0backed MIBR44c1,060$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.42445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed MIBR42c1,021$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.6244342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked MIBR44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44026450%132 W · 132 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bc8…adf7backed MIBR42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed NRG59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4106457.8%37 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked MIBR44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44012550.4%63 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked MIBR39c971.71$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.5657151%291 W · 280 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked NRG44c966.39$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.5477744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed NRG31c942.26$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.6774642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba58…6d74backed NRG56c932.59$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.2325555.7%142 W · 113 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed NRG53c919.99$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.321457%122 W · 92 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked MIBR43c917.86$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.6624551%125 W · 120 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked MIBR25c908.07$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.2435142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked MIBR42c888$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.9655152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed MIBR45c854$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.37655.3%42 W · 34 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked NRG31c839$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.3770043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked NRG62c838.25$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.5426650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked MIBR41c830.19$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.387338.4%28 W · 45 L-10.0wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-25.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked MIBR45c808$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.613741.6%57 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked NRG60c801.95$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.8265559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed NRG34c767.46$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.669640.6%39 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed MIBR44c752.98$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33023847.9%114 W · 124 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed NRG33c738.26$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.7746326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked MIBR36c715.13$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.131,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc444…416cbacked NRG41c702.44$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.443554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed NRG59c700$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28762156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c15…5b4bbacked MIBR42c700$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2942665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+36.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xac43…dcc3backed MIBR59c690.77$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.37955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed NRG49c688.6$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.755251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed MIBR3c686.65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed NRG75c679.4$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.1122455.4%124 W · 100 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4377…74c2backed NRG32c625$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4256848.5%33 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked NRG52c599.99$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.7960154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba66…0779backed MIBR41c598.91$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.16540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked NRG53c552$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.111,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x94f8…e851backed NRG62c550.47$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.866256.5%35 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed NRG24c542.63$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.035743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed NRG17c539.42$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.4219656.6%111 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed MIBR42c532.38$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.614941.6%62 W · 87 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03d8…e73cbacked MIBR42c531.57$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.863050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed MIBR45c511.11$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23018641.4%77 W · 109 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed NRG29c506$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.8323732.9%78 W · 159 L-20.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd4b6…5858backed NRG15c503.83$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.221233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed NRG14c500$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4303100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+270.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf035…052abacked MIBR42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked MIBR41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2058334.9%29 W · 54 L-9.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0181…9b5fbacked MIBR7c500$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3427850%139 W · 139 L+21.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked MIBR42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2106043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked MIBR43c499.99$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.996759.7%40 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x616b…f926backed MIBR46c497.96$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2303345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebdc…778abacked MIBR42c480$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.64045%18 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed MIBR41c474.54$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.1656357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed MIBR42c468.93$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.4828252.5%148 W · 134 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked MIBR30c468.32$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.1921136.5%77 W · 134 L-15.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed NRG46c456.14$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.1419847%93 W · 105 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253e…84e4backed MIBR46c450$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2075341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6955…867abacked NRG26c434.71$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.031338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-16%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed MIBR6c432.15$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9316547.9%79 W · 86 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed NRG67c414.09$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.6540944.3%181 W · 228 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked MIBR22c406.32$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2928743.2%124 W · 163 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c4c…9f95backed MIBR30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.