Valorant · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a5e1a408c4f2665d8ef3644e0b4c109ceff16607d8e2683290cc7696ed9e703
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Under | 53c | 3,950$2,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,096.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Over | 47c | 1,343$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.71 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 46c | 1,033$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.65 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Over | 48c | 850$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Over | 47c | 513.91$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.37 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Over | 47c | 501$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.53 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 40c | 231.47$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.98 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 37c | 219.29$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.72 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 61c | 207.11$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.43 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 49c | 183.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.67 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 183$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.82 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 48c | 181.82$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.82 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 46c | 127.18$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.68 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 29c | 108.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 47c | 101.71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 46c | 95.63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.39 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Under | 44c | 89.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe844…3d42backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 60c | 84.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 47c | 65.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4290…af07backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 39c | 60.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 264 | 47.3%125 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 26c | 52.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43c6…6dc9backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8412…55f3backed Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Over | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 41c | 40.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…28f5backed Over | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 47c | 37.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…ca81backed Over | 48c | 32.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…8f39backed Under | 52c | 28.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 89 | 68.5%61 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs MIBR (+2.5)NRG won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)MIBR won
- Valorant: NRG vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaNRG won
- Valorant: NRG vs MIBR - Map 1 WinnerMIBR won
- Valorant: NRG vs MIBR - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.