Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: NRG vs MIBR - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb732bcef71e64755210fc1bf920a60567d57f253c60909011147d61663a01147

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: MIBRof NRG, MIBR
Resolved: Jul 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $110,562
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $144,970

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,562 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6b13…294cbacked NRG	48c	8,113$3,927 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,927.36	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed NRG	11c	7,919$847 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$846.96	531	59.1%314 W · 217 L	+41.6wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked NRG	16c	7,197$1,126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,125.81	655	59.4%389 W · 266 L	+50.5wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked NRG	26c	6,924$1,785 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,785.44	266	50.8%135 W · 131 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked NRG	13c	6,291$849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$848.93	684	58.3%399 W · 285 L	+56.5wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed MIBR	51c	5,571$2,841 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,729.71	129	51.2%66 W · 63 L	+7.8wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked MIBR	68c	2,837$1,929 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$907.78	63	47.6%30 W · 33 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed MIBR	40c	2,618$1,059 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,559.31	149	38.3%57 W · 92 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed NRG	8c	1,965$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.22	565	51.2%289 W · 276 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x421e…1e47backed NRG	52c	1,446$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MIBR	70c	1,405$977 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$427.39	1,746	46.2%806 W · 940 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed NRG	14c	1,234$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.2	1,276	32.1%409 W · 867 L	-67.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked NRG	14c	999.99$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2248…bc0ebacked NRG	13c	792.75$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed MIBR	74c	718.79$534 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.95	930	49.4%459 W · 471 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x616b…f926backed MIBR	43c	691.45$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$391.45	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked NRG	19c	510$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.9	888	44.4%394 W · 494 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked NRG	14c	455.48$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.56	1,309	43.8%573 W · 736 L	-44.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed NRG	17c	441.43$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.49	338	38.5%130 W · 208 L	-21.7wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MIBR	58c	405.02$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.83	943	61.2%577 W · 366 L	+58.2wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed NRG	10c	400$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	113	54%61 W · 52 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4377…74c2backed MIBR	50c	398.67$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.67	68	48.5%33 W · 35 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a96…7a34backed NRG	50c	389.99$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.6	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	+3.2wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+57.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed NRG	15c	372.81$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.86	746	42.8%319 W · 427 L	-27.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked NRG	17c	313.06$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.76	571	51%291 W · 280 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked MIBR	50c	300$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	867	47.5%412 W · 455 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked NRG	15c	296$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.7	1,358	39%530 W · 828 L	-57.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-17%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed NRG	49c	289.95$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.31	931	48.1%448 W · 483 L	-11.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed NRG	7c	282$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.86	443	42%186 W · 257 L	-22.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed MIBR	77c	280.18$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.79	409	45.7%187 W · 222 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eb7…a3cdbacked MIBR	59c	238.84$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.84	38	63.2%24 W · 14 L	+3.0wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdaf2…dfa9backed MIBR	78c	232.16$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.16	64	56.3%36 W · 28 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked MIBR	68c	223.99$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.68	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51b6…1903backed NRG	27c	222.22$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	263	54.4%143 W · 120 L	-8.5wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed NRG	56c	220$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.2	214	57%122 W · 92 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed NRG	15c	219.34$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.21	563	57.9%326 W · 237 L	+36.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked MIBR	44c	200$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed NRG	22c	188.57$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.99	173	32.4%56 W · 117 L	-11.2wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-16%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked MIBR	64c	175$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.34	520	50%260 W · 260 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked MIBR	73c	175$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.14	553	48.3%267 W · 286 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed MIBR	52c	160.04$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.49	238	36.1%86 W · 152 L	-7.9wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked NRG	15c	157.11$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.12	777	44%342 W · 435 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0181…9b5fbacked MIBR	41c	152.56$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.2	278	50%139 W · 139 L	+21.8wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed NRG	12c	150$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	361	45.7%165 W · 196 L	+22.8wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed MIBR	70c	148.66$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.08	1,490	46.6%695 W · 795 L	-16.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed NRG	32c	143.02$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.82	55	20%11 W · 44 L	-11.5wins	-0.21per pick	41cpaid	-57%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0xa144…fc6cbacked NRG	11c	136$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.32	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10f8…e7f5backed MIBR	41c	122.73$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.73	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x499f…b72bbacked NRG	26c	119.54$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.08	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	+2.7wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed NRG	15c	117$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.25	811	34.9%283 W · 528 L	-60.9wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked NRG	13c	113$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.03	700	43.7%306 W · 394 L	-13.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ac…c9f4backed NRG	17c	109.95$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.35	72	54.2%39 W · 33 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed NRG	33c	103.31$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.32	653	47.3%309 W · 344 L	-18.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb378…e4c0backed NRG	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed MIBR	73c	100$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.53	796	50%398 W · 398 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7070…821cbacked NRG	20c	99.97$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	117	38.5%45 W · 72 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked NRG	18c	88$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.58	509	44.6%227 W · 282 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked MIBR	51c	85$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.65	1,601	37.5%600 W · 1,001 L	-75.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x91e5…0947backed NRG	65c	80$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-2.5wins	-0.16per pick	47cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3596…d91cbacked MIBR	50c	79.22$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.22	77	68.8%53 W · 24 L	+5.0wins	+0.07per pick	62cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed NRG	53c	75.62$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	105	48.6%51 W · 54 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed MIBR	44c	66.57$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.28	463	47.1%218 W · 245 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked MIBR	42c	66.18$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.51	1,247	49.6%619 W · 628 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed MIBR	75c	62.67$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.67	281	51.6%145 W · 136 L	-10.4wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa17b…95cbbacked MIBR	79c	59.31$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.31	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	69cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eba…cb3dbacked NRG	53c	56.02$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.64	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-4.6wins	-0.14per pick	59cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0ab6…4880backed MIBR	47c	53.36$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.36	205	47.8%98 W · 107 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ff2…149bbacked NRG	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9d7…a1ffbacked NRG	38c	45$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.05	86	52.3%45 W · 41 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1185…739ebacked MIBR	39c	38.04$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.04	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+4.3wins	+0.17per pick	45cpaid	+35.2%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked MIBR	52c	35$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.8	312	27.6%86 W · 226 L	-33.9wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6f8f…b302backed NRG	53c	33.34$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.67	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-3.0wins	-0.17per pick	59cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed NRG	63c	33.33$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-2.3wins	-0.16per pick	52cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed MIBR	52c	32.69$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.69	438	43.6%191 W · 247 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d25…ca81backed NRG	57c	31.84$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.17	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-3.3wins	-0.24per pick	52cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x35bc…cf79backed NRG	53c	30.19$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed MIBR	53c	30.07$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.13	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked MIBR	47c	25.03$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.27	245	51%125 W · 120 L	+6.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed NRG	48c	22.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.08	66	69.7%46 W · 20 L	+6.4wins	+0.10per pick	60cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: NRG vs MIBR - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs MIBR (+2.5)NRG won
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)MIBR won
Valorant: NRG vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaNRG won
Valorant: NRG vs MIBR - Map 2 WinnerNRG won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: NRG vs MIBR - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event